Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 18, 2010

Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Sep. 28, 2010 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Amyris Inc.)
AMRS latest price $294.3000 (7.98%) ($273.7500 - $294.3000) on Thu. Nov. 18, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.89% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $294.3000(7.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMRS advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMRS advances 5.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMRS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(19%)    PEJ(17%)    QQQ(16%)    SPY(16%)    XLY(16%)
Factors Impacting AMRS price   AMRS will decline at least -1.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    TIP(-3%)    SHY(-3%)    LQD(-1%)    IGOV(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.445% (StdDev 2.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $286.35(2.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $277.55(6.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $267.53(10.01%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   18.9%
Market Cap   $60.219b

Amyris, Inc. engages in the provision of bioscience solutions. It offers its products to health and wellness, clean beauty, and flavor and fragrance markets. The company was founded by Jack D. Newman, Kinkead Keith Reiling, and Neil Renninger on July 17, 2003 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. AMRS price fluctuates within 5.26% (three month std-dev: 2.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.94%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.97%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 2.72%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.27%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 2.5%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.41%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_18_2010	262.71	267.53	277.55	286.35	284.11	279.05	294.3(7.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	56	-150	30	132	0	70%	0.33	54.6	2.89%	0	1.9	69	0
2	Nov_17_2010	261.85	265.54	273.76	282.72	285.63	276.93	272.55(-0.82%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-189	-180	-257	15	0	65%	0.11	52.2	2.64%	0	0.6	62	0
3	Nov_16_2010	261.55	264.74	272.28	284.7	287.42	289.16	274.8(-4.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-29	70	-72	100	0	65%	0.14	56.9	2.67%	0	0.8	63	0
4	Nov_15_2010	261.18	263.77	270.58	282.18	285.82	294.33	288.45(-4.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	284	250	297	244	0	72%	0.31	48.5	2.56%	0	2	73	0
5	Nov_12_2010	260.37	262.22	267.27	276.03	276.4	285.68	301.65(9.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.3	272	240	291	216	0.01	80%	0.48	36.7	2.46%	0	3.5	84	0

6	Nov_11_2010	259.12	260.06	262.4	267.6	268.62	277.31	276.15(-2.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	321	240	357	211	0.01	74%	0.2	29.8	1.96%	0	2.4	72	0
7	Nov_10_2010	258.59	259.05	260.32	263.67	263.25	267.12	282.45(7.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.3	242	100	272	153	0.01	80%	0.3	17.5	1.93%	0	4.2	84	0
8	Nov_9_2010	257.82	257.71	257.5	258.36	259.12	259.93	262.2(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	41	30	44	30	0	72%	0.05	-15.2	1.43%	0	1.7	66	0
9	Nov_8_2010	257.68	257.85	256.88	257.28	258.19	259.39	257.7(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	40	52	25	0.01	70%	0	-19	1.42%	0	-0.1	58	0
10	Nov_5_2010	257.67	258.2	256.82	256.98	257.63	258.3	259.5(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	51	30	61	21	0.01	70%	0.02	-8.5	1.44%	0	0.4	45	0

11	Nov_4_2010	257.61	258.2	256.82	256.98	257.05	256.99	256.5(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	10	0	-16	0	70%	-0.02	-16.2	1.45%	0	-0.5	26	0
12	Nov_3_2010	257.65	258.07	256.67	256.32	257.08	256.96	255.9(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	10	-3	-19	0	70%	-0.03	-20.5	1.48%	0	-0.7	47	0
13	Nov_2_2010	257.72	258.12	256.75	256.47	256.95	257.11	256.8(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	10	-2	-19	0	70%	-0.01	-12.9	1.51%	0	-0.4	47	0
14	Nov_1_2010	257.75	258.43	256.66	256.41	256.93	257.19	256.2(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	2	10	12	-29	0	70%	-0.03	8	1.54%	0	-0.7	32	0
15	Oct_29_2010	257.82	258.44	257.01	256.62	256.96	256.78	256.2(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-0	-19	-47	0	70%	-0.03	0	1.57%	0	-0.7	34	0

16	Oct_28_2010	257.89	258.57	257.67	256.62	258.01	256.67	256.5(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-30	-20	-35	0	70%	-0.02	0	1.61%	0	-0.7	51	0
17	Oct_27_2010	257.95	258.69	257.8	256.62	258.34	257.13	256.65(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-68	-20	-73	-54	0.01	70%	-0.02	0	1.64%	0	-0.6	52	0
18	Oct_26_2010	258.01	258.54	257.97	257.07	258.64	259.34	256.5(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	40	-5	-25	0	70%	-0.03	0	1.68%	0	-0.5	52	0
19	Oct_25_2010	258.09	258.16	258.9	256.92	258.62	259.56	257.25(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	50	61	4	0	70%	-0.02	0	1.72%	0	-0.2	43	0
20	Oct_22_2010	258.13	258.16	259.67	257.46	257.68	257.95	258.45(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	10	-17	-7	0	70%	0	0	1.76%	0	60.5	54	0

21	Oct_21_2010	258.12	258.16	259.56	258.45	258.87	257.69	256.5(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	-30	-4	-2	0.01	70%	-0.03	0	1.81%	0	58.6	49	0
22	Oct_20_2010	258.21	258.16	259.59	258.66	259.49	257.42	256.65(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-63	-50	-74	-30	0	70%	-0.04	0	1.86%	0	57.2	49	0
23	Oct_19_2010	258.31	258.16	259.64	258.99	259.61	260.06	255.75(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-60	20	-71	-28	0	70%	-0.07	0	1.92%	0	55.5	55	0
24	Oct_18_2010	258.48	258.16	260.42	261.12	261.1	261.57	259.95(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	44	10	52	21	0	70%	0.04	0	1.92%	0	55.1	63	0
25	Oct_15_2010	258.38	258.16	260.06	262.2	261.54	259.15	263.4(2.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-32	-70	-38	-15	0	70%		0	1.94%	0	54.1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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