Trading Signals: AMRC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 29, 2021

Trading Signals: AMRC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jan. 19, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Ameresco, Inc.)
AMRC latest price $65.4800 (1.02%) ($64.0700 - $65.7800) on Tue. Jun. 29, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.09% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $65.4800(1.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMRC advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMRC advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMRC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ACES(59%)    ICLN(58%)    TAN(55%)    IWO(54%)    DRIV(52%)
Factors Impacting AMRC price   AMRC will decline at least -1.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    UUP(-20%)    VXX(-14%)    TBT(-7%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.545% (StdDev 3.09%)
Hourly BBV 1.7 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $64.01(2.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.2(3.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $60.79(7.72%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   57.1%
Market Cap   $3.143b

$. AMRC price fluctuates within 5.4% (three month std-dev: 3.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.17%(44%) Average negative next day return: -1.93%(56%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 3.18%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -2.68%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 4.26%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.24%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210729

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_29_2021	53.25	60.79	63.2	64.01	64.29	64.71	65.48(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	60	21	75	0.73	50%	-0.06	81.7	3.09%	1.7	1.4	68	1.4
2	Jun_28_2021	53.28	60.27	62.82	63.52	63.62	64.11	64.82(3.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	60	14	75	0.19	50%	0	86.8	3.15%	1.1	1.4	69	1.7
3	Jun_25_2021	53.28	59.72	62.44	63	63.15	63.86	62.9(-2.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	37	90	22	81	0.9	50%	0	83.2	3.17%	-0.1	1	67	2
4	Jun_24_2021	53.28	59.29	62.13	62.54	62.51	63.12	64.45(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	70	17	84	0.28	47%	0.02	81.5	3.15%	1.6	1.5	75	1.7
5	Jun_23_2021	53.27	58.74	61.47	62.4	62.01	62.44	62.4(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	30	10	88	0.29	41%	-0.02	86	3.21%	1	1.1	74	1.7

6	Jun_22_2021	53.28	58.22	61.11	62.26	62.04	61.9	63.03(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	31	-30	9	95	0.18	41%	0.08	83.1	3.28%	1.3	1.4	76	1.4
7	Jun_21_2021	53.24	57.65	60.61	62.03	61.84	61.57	62.24(2.77%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	19	-40	-7	96	0.25	41%	0.11	83.8	3.29%	-0.2	1.3	76	0.6
8	Jun_18_2021	53.18	57.15	60.14	61.79	61.86	62.18	60.56(-5.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	32	40	6	111	0.58	35%	0.09	86.1	3.28%	-1.9	1	76	-0.2
9	Jun_17_2021	53.13	56.69	59.71	61.6	61.58	62.1	63.76(3.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	51	60	28	119	0.34	38%	0.19	88	3.47%	1.7	1.9	88	1
10	Jun_16_2021	53.03	56.03	58.84	60.4	60.62	61.54	61.72(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	120	20	103	0.27	38%	0.02	88.4	3.45%	0.3	1.6	87	0.9

11	Jun_15_2021	53.02	55.44	58.19	59.77	59.81	61.06	61.88(1.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	53	150	34	111	0.37	38%	0.09	86.3	3.45%	1.1	1.9	91	1
12	Jun_14_2021	52.97	54.81	57.49	58.98	59.06	59.7	61.01(2.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	50	80	30	108	0.22	38%	0.04	83.4	3.48%	1.3	1.9	90	1.4
13	Jun_11_2021	52.95	54.23	56.76	58.27	58.32	58.56	59.63(3.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	36	30	15	97	0.29	44%	0	77	3.48%	1.3	1.7	83	1.4
14	Jun_10_2021	52.95	53.62	56.2	57.53	57.72	58.42	57.74(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	90	15	92	0.22	44%	-0.02	66.8	3.58%	-0.5	1.3	83	1.2
15	Jun_9_2021	52.96	53.12	55.79	57.02	57.08	58.07	58.57(1.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	47	120	29	100	0.2	49%	0.04	58.9	3.57%	0.9	1.7	89	1

16	Jun_8_2021	52.94	52.66	55.1	56.35	56.1	57.03	57.97(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	41	100	24	90	0.36	45%	0.09	59.3	3.69%	1.8	1.8	89	1.2
17	Jun_7_2021	52.89	52.21	54.46	55.77	55.48	56.08	57.44(2.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	38	60	22	85	0.17	45%	0.06	54.9	3.83%	1.7	1.9	90	1.4
18	Jun_4_2021	52.86	51.95	53.92	55.04	55.03	55.18	55.91(1.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	26	20	10	73	0.22	37%	-0.04	53.2	4.06%	0.9	1.6	84	1.5
19	Jun_3_2021	52.88	51.62	53.44	54.68	54.6	54.89	55.2(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	30	5	74	0.2	35%	-0.08	45.8	4.23%	0.7	1.5	87	1.2
20	Jun_2_2021	52.92	51.29	53	54.35	54.38	54.87	55.25(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	60	17	83	0.31	34%	-0.09	37.2	4.31%	0.3	1.7	86	1.5

21	Jun_1_2021	52.97	50.93	52.49	53.63	53.76	54.31	55.06(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	80	15	73	0.2	37%	-0.23	20.7	4.38%	1.5	1.9	70	1.1
22	May_28_2021	53.09	50.72	51.92	52.94	53.07	53.9	53.76(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	120	14	63	0.18	37%	-0.11	12.9	4.44%	0.3	1.5	68	1.5
23	May_27_2021	53.15	50.64	51.51	52.62	52.57	53.22	54.13(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	80	19	54	0.39	37%	-0.04	14.5	4.47%	1.4	1.8	51	1.9
24	May_26_2021	53.17	50.55	50.85	52.02	52.06	52.25	53.56(3.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	30	10	37	0.33	37%	0.02	17.4	4.51%	2.3	1.7	61	1.5
25	May_25_2021	53.16	50.46	50.25	51.47	51.74	51.93	51.63(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	40	7	25	0.32	35%		21.1	4.49%	-0.3	0.7	59	1.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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