Trading Signals: AMRC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 3, 2020

Trading Signals: AMRC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jan. 19, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Ameresco, Inc.)
AMRC latest price $43.5100 (12.63%) ($39.8000 - $43.9000) on Tue. Nov. 3, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.45% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $43.5100(12.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMRC advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMRC declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMRC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ACES(64%)    ICLN(63%)    TAN(59%)    IWO(58%)    DRIV(54%)
Factors Impacting AMRC price   AMRC will decline at least -1.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    UUP(-22%)    VXX(-16%)    EDOC(-8%)    TBT(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.725% (StdDev 3.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.46(10.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.25(8.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.77(9.4%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   54%
Market Cap   $2.088b

$. AMRC price fluctuates within 5.13% (three month std-dev: 3.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 3.6%(25%) Average negative next day return: -3.18%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 4.05%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -0.87%(25%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 6.52%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.43%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201203

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_3_2020	31.78	39.77	40.25	39.46	39.41	40.44	43.51(12.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	34	180	48	-8	0.7	69%	0.73	57.5	3.45%	0	1.8	64	-0.6
2	Nov_2_2020	31.55	39.39	40.1	38.7	38.4	38.53	38.63(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-12	0	-4	-35	0.66	64%	0.57	54.3	3.11%	0	-0.4	54	-1.4
3	Oct_30_2020	31.37	39.26	40.36	38.88	38.7	38.39	38.39(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-70	-18	-23	0.24	64%	0.58	55.5	3.13%	0	-0.4	55	-1.7
4	Oct_29_2020	31.19	39.06	40.62	39.75	39.34	38.26	38.92(2.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-20	-220	-29	8	0.23	64%	0.55	63.8	3.13%	0	-0.1	58	-1.4
5	Oct_28_2020	31.02	38.82	40.76	40.28	40.27	39.02	37.86(-4.63%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-26	-220	-45	32	0.35	64%	0.49	70.4	3.12%	0	-0.3	59	-2.6

6	Oct_27_2020	30.87	38.63	40.9	41.12	41.23	40.42	39.7(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-10	-130	-36	68	0.26	68%	0.55	80.8	3.06%	0	0.4	64	-0.5
7	Oct_26_2020	30.7	38.33	40.8	41.69	42.21	41.51	39.51(-7.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	14	-80	-16	105	0.38	68%	0.52	87.9	3.07%	0	0.4	68	-0.4
8	Oct_23_2020	30.54	38.01	40.69	42.02	42.48	42.04	42.74(2.79%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	32	-40	-5	142	0.28	77%	0.69	91	2.92%	0	1.4	87	1.1
9	Oct_22_2020	30.33	37.47	40.2	41.62	42.2	42.91	41.58(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	47	160	9	162	0.26	77%	0.63	88.1	2.91%	0	1.2	89	1.2
10	Oct_21_2020	30.14	36.92	39.74	41.32	41.8	42.93	42.07(-1.17%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	83	220	47	190	0.74	77%	0.67	83.1	2.94%	0	1.4	92	0.9

11	Oct_20_2020	29.94	36.33	39.25	40.64	40.7	41.49	42.57(3.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	75	140	37	190	0.35	77%	0.67	77	2.93%	0	1.7	96	0.6
12	Oct_19_2020	29.74	35.7	38.59	39.79	39.86	40.67	41.14(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	70	150	32	182	0.27	75%	0.68	72.3	2.91%	0	1.5	94	0.7
13	Oct_16_2020	29.54	35.11	38.03	39.17	39.08	39.91	40.75(1.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	70	140	32	183	0.3	75%	0.68	69.9	2.91%	0	1.6	95	1.4
14	Oct_15_2020	29.34	34.58	37.33	38.57	38.47	39.04	40.09(3.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	68	100	31	180	0.4	75%	0.65	71.8	2.91%	0	1.7	95	1.6
15	Oct_14_2020	29.15	34.11	36.67	37.92	37.95	38.25	38.67(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	55	60	15	175	0.33	74%	0.59	72.4	2.89%	0	1.5	96	2

16	Oct_13_2020	28.98	33.7	36.15	37.63	37.61	37.89	38.3(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	58	50	13	191	0.13	74%	0.35	74.3	2.89%	0	1.5	96	2.1
17	Oct_12_2020	28.88	33.28	35.66	37.2	37.5	37.64	38.02(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	66	50	20	205	0.29	74%	0.59	73.8	2.89%	0	1.6	96	2.7
18	Oct_9_2020	28.71	32.84	35.13	36.7	36.99	37.32	37.78(2.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	70	90	22	214	0.2	74%	0.63	70.4	2.9%	0	1.8	96	2.6
19	Oct_8_2020	28.53	32.37	34.53	35.87	36.31	37.37	36.83(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	77	240	35	203	0.26	74%	0.56	63.6	2.92%	0	1.7	84	1.7
20	Oct_7_2020	28.37	32	33.9	35.21	35.3	36.66	37.24(3.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	84	280	49	187	0.65	74%	0.64	57.9	2.94%	0	2.2	81	1

21	Oct_6_2020	28.19	31.63	33.18	34.44	34.31	35.26	36.13(1.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	69	180	40	157	0.22	74%	0.61	45	2.92%	0	2.2	79	0.3
22	Oct_5_2020	28.02	31.28	32.57	33.9	33.71	33.94	35.53(5.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	52	30	25	134	0.2	74%	0.61	31.4	2.95%	0	2.3	80	0.6
23	Oct_2_2020	27.85	30.99	31.95	33.34	33.31	33.36	33.64(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	34	10	8	113	0.21	71%	0.58	18.9	2.9%	0	1.7	79	0.4
24	Oct_1_2020	27.69	30.81	31.62	32.96	33.1	33.49	33.49(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	47	100	23	117	0.19	74%	0.54	5.2	2.93%	0	1.9	81	0.8
25	Sep_30_2020	27.54	30.69	31.34	32.36	32.53	33.25	33.4(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	50	170	31	105	0.33	74%		-16.2	2.99%	0	2.1	69	0.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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