Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 25, 2018

Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Amgen)
AMGN latest price $183.2372 (-0.29%) ($182.0997 - $184.8953) on Thu. Jan. 25, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.89% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $183.2372(-0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMGN advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMGN advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(51%)    XHB(31%)    BLOK(18%)    GDXJ(13%)    VIXM(8%)
Factors Impacting AMGN price   AMGN will decline at least -0.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-14%)    INDA(-10%)    XLU(-8%)    SPLV(-8%)    SLV(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.445% (StdDev 0.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $183.99(-0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $181.64(0.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $177.33(3.33%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   13%
Market Cap   $107.45b

Amgen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of human therapeutics. Its products include the following brands: Aranesp, BLINCYTO, Corlanor, ENBREL, EPOGEN, IMLYGIC, KYPROLIS, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, Nplate, Parsabiv, Prolia, Repatha, Sensipar, Vectibix, and XGEVA. The company was founded by William K. Bowes, Jr., Franklin Pitcher Johnson, Jr., George B. Rathmann and Joseph Rubinfeld on April 8, 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, CA.

$. AMGN price fluctuates within 2.96% (three month std-dev: 0.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 28 Average positive next day return: 1.21%(57%) Average negative next day return: -1.52%(43%) Sample size 28 Average positive next three day return: 1.9%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -1.5%(54%) Sample size 28 Average positive next weekly return: 2.27%(64%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.73%(36%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_25_2018	172.94	177.33	181.64	183.99	184.65	184.13	183.24(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10	-50	154	2.47	66%	0.07	68.6	0.89%	0	1.1	79	137.4
2	Jan_24_2018	172.82	176.66	180.97	183.51	184.21	185.38	183.77(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	85	60	50	190	2.77	66%	0.09	65.8	0.92%	0	1.3	77	-1.4
3	Jan_23_2018	172.67	175.97	180.28	183.01	183.2	185.17	185.08(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	196	80	175	257	3.49	63%	0.08	64.1	0.91%	0	1.7	86	0.1
4	Jan_22_2018	172.54	175.2	179.18	181.76	181.9	183.04	185.41(1.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	178	50	155	247	3.58	63%	0.09	63.3	0.93%	0	2.1	89	0.9
5	Jan_19_2018	172.39	174.43	178.02	180.36	180.61	181.24	182.47(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	117	30	84	215	3.65	58%	0.08	62.1	0.91%	0	1.8	81	1

6	Jan_18_2018	172.26	173.8	177.08	178.95	179.4	180.75	180.84(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	120	60	93	202	3.08	58%	0.09	58.3	0.92%	0	1.7	76	-INF
7	Jan_17_2018	172.11	173.23	176.36	178.03	178.17	179.99	181.24(1.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	176	70	159	227	4.02	61%	0.1	56.4	0.92%	0	2.1	77	INF
8	Jan_16_2018	171.94	172.66	175.29	177.14	176.89	178.04	178.86(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	145	40	127	197	3.37	60%	0.15	59.7	0.95%	0	1.9	73	INF
9	Jan_12_2018	171.69	172.13	174.2	176.19	176.03	176.35	178.38(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	89	10	69	149	3.11	60%	0.09	60	0.95%	0	2.1	71	INF
10	Jan_11_2018	171.53	171.73	173.25	175.34	175.19	175.73	175.41(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	44	20	21	111	2.1	57%	0.08	59.7	0.93%	0	1.4	65	INF

11	Jan_10_2018	171.39	171.45	172.7	174.88	174.74	175.71	176.28(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	93	40	82	126	2.54	57%	0.08	54.5	0.93%	0	1.9	68	INF
12	Jan_9_2018	171.25	171.13	172.03	174.4	174.16	174.64	176.78(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	97	20	89	121	3.03	57%	0.09	52.3	0.93%	0	2.5	72	INF
13	Jan_8_2018	171.09	170.72	171.32	173.17	173.31	173.78	174.1(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	62	20	55	81	2.36	54%	0.08	42.3	0.91%	0	1.9	62	INF
14	Jan_5_2018	170.95	170.4	170.92	171.88	172.33	173.67	174.15(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	98	60	104	81	2.21	54%	0.08	18.9	0.91%	0	2.3	68	INF
15	Jan_4_2018	170.81	170.17	170.54	170.83	170.98	172.83	173.12(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	122	80	139	71	2.02	54%	0.06	13.6	0.92%	0	2	55	INF

16	Jan_3_2018	170.71	170.09	170.24	170.18	170.03	170.99	173.85(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	110	40	128	55	3.08	54%	0.06	29.9	0.92%	0	2.9	60	INF
17	Jan_2_2018	170.6	170.09	169.8	169.37	169.52	169.13	170.63(1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	0	-10	5	-14	2.3	50%	0.1	50	0.89%	0	0.6	50	INF
18	Dec_29_2017	170.43	169.98	169.79	169.25	169.53	169.07	167.64(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-65	-10	-72	-43	1.95	46%	0.04	70	0.86%	0	-2	47	INF
19	Dec_28_2017	170.36	170.08	169.92	169.79	169.97	169.92	168.94(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	0	-19	-6	1.64	46%	0.02	115.9	0.86%	0	-1.1	57	INF
20	Dec_27_2017	170.32	169.97	170.13	170.15	170.26	169.99	169.87(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-9	-10	-14	8	1.4	46%	0.03	106.2	0.86%	0	-0.1	50	INF

21	Dec_26_2017	170.27	169.71	170.14	170.15	170.56	170.02	169.75(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-20	-32	-4	1.34	46%	0.05	84.5	0.86%	0	0	42	INF
22	Dec_22_2017	170.18	169.43	170.21	170.28	170.61	170.54	170.07(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	0	-39	-13	1.48	46%	0.02	63.5	0.85%	0	0.3	43	INF
23	Dec_21_2017	170.14	169.16	170.13	170.4	170.75	171.09	170.32(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	20	38	14	2.11	46%	0.02	62.9	0.85%	0	0.5	49	INF
24	Dec_20_2017	170.1	168.85	169.89	170.07	170.51	170.67	170.73(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	20	10	28	-4	3.25	46%	0.04	58.2	0.86%	0	0.7	54	INF
25	Dec_19_2017	170.04	168.52	169.79	170.12	170.15	170.4	170.5(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	10	-1	-0	2.71	46%		57.5	0.87%	0	0.7	62	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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