Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 13, 2017

Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Amgen)
AMGN latest price $181.6294 (-0.68%) ($179.7240 - $182.8166) on Wed. Sep. 13, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $181.6294(-0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMGN advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMGN advances 4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(51%)    XHB(31%)    GDXJ(12%)    VIXM(7%)    IBB(6%)
Factors Impacting AMGN price   AMGN will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-14%)    INDA(-9%)    XLU(-8%)    SLV(-8%)    SHY(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $177.81(2.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $173.97(4.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $168.49(7.8%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   17.6%
Market Cap   $106.507b

Amgen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of human therapeutics. Its products include the following brands: Aranesp, BLINCYTO, Corlanor, ENBREL, EPOGEN, IMLYGIC, KYPROLIS, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, Nplate, Parsabiv, Prolia, Repatha, Sensipar, Vectibix, and XGEVA. The company was founded by William K. Bowes, Jr., Franklin Pitcher Johnson, Jr., George B. Rathmann and Joseph Rubinfeld on April 8, 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, CA.

$. AMGN price fluctuates within 4.02% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.71%(48%) Average negative next day return: -1.77%(52%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 4.24%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -2.94%(52%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 4.7%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.09%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171013

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_13_2017	160.89	168.49	173.97	177.81	178.09	181.21	181.63(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	212	130	183	300	3.03	64%	0.17	60.9	1.17%	0	1.9	88	INF
2	Sep_12_2017	160.62	167.5	172.29	175.64	175.76	178.82	182.87(2.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	274	120	262	308	3.89	64%	0.18	56.2	1.16%	0	2.5	87	INF
3	Sep_11_2017	160.33	166.45	170.39	172.91	173.1	174.98	178.56(3.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	182	80	163	239	3.79	62%	0.17	51.2	1.13%	0	2.4	86	INF
4	Sep_8_2017	160.05	165.53	168.76	171.42	171.33	172.7	172.95(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	120	50	91	205	1.99	58%	0.13	46.6	1.07%	0	1.8	84	INF
5	Sep_7_2017	159.85	164.9	167.74	170.87	170.74	171.23	173.02(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	128	20	101	209	2.99	60%	0.13	40.9	1.07%	0	2.1	81	INF

6	Sep_6_2017	159.64	164.45	166.61	169.52	169.82	169.95	170.79(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	61	10	31	151	2.24	58%	0.12	35.3	1.07%	0	1.9	64	INF
7	Sep_5_2017	159.45	164.13	165.79	168.34	168.68	170.25	169.22(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	95	70	76	150	2.06	58%	0.11	27.7	1.07%	0	1.7	64	INF
8	Sep_1_2017	159.28	163.93	164.97	167.39	167.3	169.68	171.11(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	182	100	186	171	2.43	62%	0.12	20.8	1.07%	0	2.5	68	INF
9	Aug_31_2017	159.09	163.59	163.85	165.67	165.61	167.12	170.21(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	149	60	157	125	3.98	62%	0.1	4.1	1.07%	0	2.8	70	INF
10	Aug_30_2017	158.93	163.32	162.85	164.17	164.27	164.93	166.26(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	73	30	75	65	2.31	59%	0.08	-12.6	1.04%	0	1.5	65	INF

11	Aug_29_2017	158.8	163.27	162.58	163.28	163.43	164.1	164.9(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	30	43	32	1.48	59%	0.07	-29.1	1.04%	0	0.9	48	INF
12	Aug_28_2017	158.69	163.28	162.33	162.87	162.94	163.61	164.47(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	51	30	60	23	2.36	59%	0.07	-49.2	1.05%	0	0.6	46	INF
13	Aug_25_2017	158.58	163.34	162.18	162.18	162.53	162.77	162.52(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	34	20	47	-4	1.51	58%	0.06	-71	1.04%	0	-0.4	39	INF
14	Aug_24_2017	158.49	163.5	162.05	161.71	161.92	162.27	162.72(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	20	19	-39	1.92	58%	0.06	-90.2	1.04%	0	-0.4	42	INF
15	Aug_23_2017	158.39	163.56	161.86	161.3	161.39	162.3	161.81(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	8	40	30	-59	1.28	58%	0.04	-104.6	1.04%	0	-0.8	39	INF

16	Aug_22_2017	158.32	163.82	162.15	161.76	161.38	161.57	162.83(1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	20	0	43	-49	1.93	54%	0.05	-83.7	1.04%	0	-0.4	40	INF
17	Aug_21_2017	158.24	164.25	162.35	161.75	161.73	160.48	161.01(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-65	-50	-57	-89	1.53	52%	0.04	-68.4	1.08%	0	-1	35	INF
18	Aug_18_2017	158.18	164.78	162.84	162.2	162.39	161.2	160.17(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-101	-50	-101	-99	1.74	52%	0.03	-57.1	1.08%	0	-1.4	31	INF
19	Aug_17_2017	158.13	165.34	163.36	162.4	162.98	162.97	160.67(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	10	-23	-68	2.63	49%	0.04	-52.7	1.08%	0	-1.4	32	INF
20	Aug_16_2017	158.06	165.83	163.87	162.43	162.78	163.58	164.1(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	18	40	37	-39	1.62	52%	0.06	-48.7	1.07%	0	-0.5	52	INF

21	Aug_15_2017	157.97	166.14	164.03	162.62	162.39	162.98	162.81(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	12	20	30	-43	1.96	52%	0.04	-40.1	1.07%	0	-1	36	INF
22	Aug_14_2017	157.9	166.44	164.31	163.09	162.78	161.99	163.27(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-40	-17	-74	1.92	52%	0.04	-31.8	1.07%	0	-1	27	INF
23	Aug_11_2017	157.83	166.72	164.58	163.65	163.47	161.81	161.14(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-123	-70	-122	-126	1.57	50%	0.03	-20.9	1.06%	0	-1.8	20	INF
24	Aug_10_2017	157.79	167.12	165.1	164.49	164.52	163.57	160.83(-2.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-111	-40	-107	-122	3.44	48%	0.02	-6.5	1.06%	0	-2.2	23	INF
25	Aug_9_2017	157.76	167.44	165.45	165.45	165.32	165.13	165.05(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-10	-22	-94	1.97	52%		9.3	1.03%	0	-0.9	33	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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