Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 27, 2017

Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Amgen)
AMGN latest price $162.4855 (-1.62%) ($162.4094 - $165.4052) on Tue. Jun. 27, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $162.4855(-1.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMGN advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMGN advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(50%)    XHB(31%)    GDXJ(12%)    IBB(8%)    IPO(7%)
Factors Impacting AMGN price   AMGN will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-14%)    INDA(-9%)    XLU(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    PCY(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $164(-0.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $160.48(1.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $156.9(3.56%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   11.7%
Market Cap   $95.281b

Amgen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of human therapeutics. Its products include the following brands: Aranesp, BLINCYTO, Corlanor, ENBREL, EPOGEN, IMLYGIC, KYPROLIS, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, Nplate, Parsabiv, Prolia, Repatha, Sensipar, Vectibix, and XGEVA. The company was founded by William K. Bowes, Jr., Franklin Pitcher Johnson, Jr., George B. Rathmann and Joseph Rubinfeld on April 8, 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, CA.

$. AMGN price fluctuates within 3.45% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.56%(45%) Average negative next day return: -0.97%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.86%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -0.51%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 3.04%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.13%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170727

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_27_2017	157.15	156.9	160.48	164	164.49	164.38	162.49(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	62	0	19	189	2.94	60%	0.04	81.7	0.93%	0	1	71	INF
2	Jun_26_2017	157.08	156.11	159.88	163.13	163.79	164.65	165.17(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	117	50	82	222	3.04	66%	0.05	79.5	0.9%	0	1.7	81	INF
3	Jun_23_2017	157	155.22	159.01	161.5	162.06	164.61	164.05(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	204	120	189	248	14.37	66%	0.1	72.5	0.9%	0	1.7	77	INF
4	Jun_22_2017	156.85	154.39	158.17	159.58	160	162.92	165.31(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	291	140	299	268	5.75	66%	0.1	62.9	0.9%	0	2.2	82	INF
5	Jun_21_2017	156.69	153.45	157.05	157.73	157.48	159.52	162.96(3.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	200	90	196	211	5.49	63%	0.1	56.4	0.89%	0	2.1	84	INF

6	Jun_20_2017	156.53	152.6	156.09	156.54	156.24	157.08	158.15(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	136	30	118	189	3.86	53%	0.08	47.6	0.82%	0	1.4	81	INF
7	Jun_19_2017	156.4	151.98	155.46	156.19	155.89	155.45	157.01(1.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	40	-30	-0	160	3.04	53%	0.06	38	0.82%	0	1.2	82	INF
8	Jun_16_2017	156.3	151.55	155.01	156.15	155.99	155.41	154.47(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-16	-30	-59	112	5.89	27%	0.08	36.6	1.12%	0	0.7	73	INF
9	Jun_15_2017	156.18	151.33	154.74	156.46	156.52	156.34	156.08(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	33	-10	-7	154	3.59	32%	0.07	38.8	1.12%	0	1.2	77	INF
10	Jun_14_2017	156.07	150.97	154.03	156.18	156.51	156.57	157.02(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	54	10	17	165	2.59	32%	0.1	35.7	1.14%	0	1.6	82	INF

11	Jun_13_2017	155.92	150.69	153.12	155.53	155.91	156.7	156.38(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	77	40	45	171	2.57	32%	0.09	31	1.14%	0	1.6	82	INF
12	Jun_12_2017	155.78	150.43	152.14	154.6	155.05	156.44	156.81(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	121	70	101	181	4.34	32%	0.08	23.1	1.14%	0	2	85	INF
13	Jun_9_2017	155.66	150.11	151.18	153.71	153.82	155.11	156.03(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	114	60	98	160	4.09	36%	0.08	12.4	1.15%	0	2	67	INF
14	Jun_8_2017	155.54	149.83	150.33	152.78	152.89	153.65	154.69(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	98	40	87	132	3.56	36%	0.06	-2.9	1.15%	0	1.9	59	INF
15	Jun_7_2017	155.45	149.63	149.54	151.56	151.93	152.54	153.75(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	71	40	63	94	3.57	36%	0.05	-23.4	1.14%	0	1.7	60	INF

16	Jun_6_2017	155.37	149.6	148.8	150.34	150.76	152.13	151.72(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	78	70	83	61	3	32%	-0.02	-38.1	1.13%	0	0.9	46	INF
17	Jun_5_2017	155.4	149.68	148.17	149.26	149.46	151.33	152.38(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	108	90	132	37	4.61	32%	0.04	-47.6	1.13%	0	1.1	48	INF
18	Jun_2_2017	155.34	149.76	147.76	148.27	148.15	149.4	151.36(1.86%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	79	60	105	-1	3.32	32%	0.04	-54.4	1.14%	0	0.6	48	INF
19	Jun_1_2017	155.28	149.91	147.58	147.56	147.47	147.6	148.59(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	18	0	39	-47	3.01	25%	0.01	-55.4	1.11%	0	-0.5	41	INF
20	May_31_2017	155.27	150.2	147.63	147.25	147.33	146.9	147.64(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	-20	-17	-83	3.89	25%	-0.01	-57.4	1.12%	0	-0.8	36	INF

21	May_30_2017	155.28	150.53	148.03	147.02	147.34	147.33	146.32(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	10	-10	-92	2.72	25%	0.04	-60.4	1.13%	0	-1.4	25	INF
22	May_26_2017	155.22	150.9	148.6	146.87	147.08	147.75	147.42(-0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	40	28	-87	2.73	25%	0.03	-65.3	1.12%	0	-1.2	28	INF
23	May_25_2017	155.18	151.24	148.97	147.15	146.61	147.34	147.82(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	20	23	-95	2.97	25%	0.03	-61.5	1.13%	0	-1.2	27	INF
24	May_24_2017	155.14	151.54	149.3	147.63	147.07	146.41	147.03(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-40	-2	-111	2.67	25%	0.04	-56.8	1.13%	0	-1.5	23	INF
25	May_23_2017	155.08	151.97	149.76	148.1	147.8	145.88	146.53(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-135	-100	-125	-163	3.58	25%		-50	1.13%	0	-1.9	23	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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