Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 9, 2017

Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Amgen)
AMGN latest price $168.9390 (0.64%) ($167.1922 - $169.1278) on Thu. Mar. 9, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $168.9390(0.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMGN advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMGN advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(50%)    XHB(31%)    GDXJ(12%)    IBB(9%)    PAVE(6%)
Factors Impacting AMGN price   AMGN will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-14%)    XLU(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    PCY(-8%)    INDA(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $168.78(0.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $167.88(0.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $164.68(2.59%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   25.6%
Market Cap   $99.066b

Amgen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of human therapeutics. Its products include the following brands: Aranesp, BLINCYTO, Corlanor, ENBREL, EPOGEN, IMLYGIC, KYPROLIS, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, Nplate, Parsabiv, Prolia, Repatha, Sensipar, Vectibix, and XGEVA. The company was founded by William K. Bowes, Jr., Franklin Pitcher Johnson, Jr., George B. Rathmann and Joseph Rubinfeld on April 8, 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, CA.

$. AMGN price fluctuates within 2.44% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 22 Average positive next day return: 0.96%(45%) Average negative next day return: -0.63%(55%) Sample size 22 Average positive next three day return: 1.04%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -1.05%(45%) Sample size 22 Average positive next weekly return: 1.39%(77%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.82%(23%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170409

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_9_2017	145.67	164.68	167.88	168.78	168.26	168.08	168.94(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	31	-20	13	85	2.51	92%	0.14	83.6	1.2%	0	1.1	75	0
2	Mar_8_2017	145.47	164.12	167.43	168.62	168.47	167.67	167.86(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-7	-40	-33	70	2.32	92%	0.12	90.1	1.22%	0	0.9	75	0
3	Mar_7_2017	145.3	163.57	166.98	168.7	168.51	168.44	167.48(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-10	-36	84	3.33	81%	0.12	97.7	1.22%	0	0.9	81	0
4	Mar_6_2017	145.13	163.02	166.61	168.54	168.63	169.28	169.45(-0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	70	30	50	129	3.28	81%	0.13	106.5	1.27%	0	1.4	90	0
5	Mar_3_2017	144.94	162.39	166.02	167.91	167.93	168.57	170.15(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	78	30	57	141	2.9	81%	0.12	117.5	1.26%	0	1.8	94	0

6	Mar_2_2017	144.76	161.38	165.23	166.85	166.96	167.97	168.14(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	78	40	57	140	3.49	81%	0.11	108.5	1.27%	0	1.4	94	0
7	Mar_1_2017	144.6	160.48	164.63	166.08	165.99	167.28	168.3(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	106	50	89	156	3.53	81%	0.11	103.2	1.27%	0	1.5	90	0
8	Feb_28_2017	144.44	159.44	163.68	165.02	164.87	165.94	166.68(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	92	40	75	141	3.37	81%	0.07	94.8	1.28%	0	1.3	90	0
9	Feb_27_2017	144.34	158.37	162.86	164.38	164.03	164.69	166.3(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	72	20	53	130	2.85	81%	0.08	85.8	1.28%	0	1.3	90	0
10	Feb_24_2017	144.23	157.43	161.98	163.84	163.5	163.79	164.82(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	53	10	32	117	2.68	81%	0.07	84.1	1.28%	0	1.2	81	0

11	Feb_23_2017	144.13	156.39	161.22	163.38	163.02	163.37	164.3(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	46	10	19	126	2.19	81%	0.06	77.2	1.29%	0	1.2	89	0
12	Feb_22_2017	144.04	155.42	160.55	162.96	162.64	163.22	162.98(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	75	20	48	155	2.58	81%	0.05	73.3	1.29%	0	1.1	88	0
13	Feb_21_2017	143.97	154.41	159.9	162.1	161.84	162.67	163.48(-0.09%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	93	30	65	177	3.94	81%	-0.03	65.6	1.29%	0	1.3	92	0
14	Feb_17_2017	144.01	153.39	159.16	161.06	160.51	162.05	163.62(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	105	60	74	198	4.15	81%	0.07	59.2	1.3%	0	1.5	93	0
15	Feb_16_2017	143.91	152.44	158.47	159.83	159.53	161.02	162.51(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	143	60	116	225	2.66	81%	0.03	56.3	1.3%	0	1.5	81	0

16	Feb_15_2017	143.87	151.51	157.22	158.73	158.37	158.97	162.21(2.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	102	20	66	209	4.06	81%	0.02	53.1	1.3%	0	1.7	84	0
17	Feb_14_2017	143.84	150.67	155.99	157.82	157.42	158.05	158.68(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	65	20	21	198	3.12	80%	-0.02	51	1.28%	0	1.3	78	0
18	Feb_13_2017	143.87	149.97	154.86	157.38	157.18	157.77	158.31(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	95	20	53	221	3.6	80%	-0.03	47.7	1.29%	0	1.4	80	0
19	Feb_10_2017	143.92	149.34	153.57	156.96	156.72	156.78	157.44(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	64	-0	17	206	2.93	82%	-0.04	48.4	1.31%	0	1.5	77	0
20	Feb_9_2017	143.98	148.72	152.57	156.89	156.35	156.58	157.04(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	60	-0	11	205	4.28	86%	-0.03	53.3	1.38%	0	1.6	70	0

21	Feb_8_2017	144.03	148.17	151.24	155.41	156.34	156.65	157.65(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	98	30	68	188	3.49	86%	-0.03	52.6	1.54%	0	2	73	0
22	Feb_7_2017	144.07	147.67	149.91	153.82	154.4	156.13	156.44(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	82	90	56	159	3.58	87%	-0.03	57.2	1.54%	0	2	66	0
23	Feb_6_2017	144.11	147.24	148.49	151.92	152.52	156.03	156.21(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	175	170	176	172	4.39	87%	-0.03	65.4	1.57%	0	2.4	67	0
24	Feb_3_2017	144.16	146.73	147.15	149.64	149.93	152.68	157.1(4.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	171	130	183	136	7.37	81%	-0.02	71.2	1.57%	0	3.3	65	0
25	Feb_2_2017	144.19	146	145.84	147.7	147.35	149.01	149.65(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	86	70	91	72	4.45	78%		91.1	1.5%	0	1.7	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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