Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 17, 2017

Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Amgen)
AMGN latest price $163.6231 (0.69%) ($159.4685 - $163.6892) on Fri. Feb. 17, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   93
Latest Price   $163.6231(0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMGN advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMGN advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(50%)    XHB(31%)    GDXJ(12%)    IBB(9%)    VIXM(6%)
Factors Impacting AMGN price   AMGN will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-14%)    XLU(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    PCY(-8%)    INDA(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $161.06(1.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $159.16(2.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $153.39(6.67%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   24.1%
Market Cap   $95.949b

Amgen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of human therapeutics. Its products include the following brands: Aranesp, BLINCYTO, Corlanor, ENBREL, EPOGEN, IMLYGIC, KYPROLIS, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, Nplate, Parsabiv, Prolia, Repatha, Sensipar, Vectibix, and XGEVA. The company was founded by William K. Bowes, Jr., Franklin Pitcher Johnson, Jr., George B. Rathmann and Joseph Rubinfeld on April 8, 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, CA.

$. AMGN price fluctuates within 4.58% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.05%(42%) Average negative next day return: -1.02%(58%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.95%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -1.95%(46%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.79%(66%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.6%(34%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170317

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_17_2017	144.01	153.39	159.16	161.06	160.51	162.05	163.62(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	105	60	74	198	4.15	81%	0.07	59.2	1.3%	0	1.5	93	INF
2	Feb_16_2017	143.91	152.44	158.47	159.83	159.53	161.02	162.51(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	143	60	116	225	2.66	81%	0.03	56.3	1.3%	0	1.5	81	INF
3	Feb_15_2017	143.87	151.51	157.22	158.73	158.37	158.97	162.21(2.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	102	20	66	209	4.06	81%	0.02	53.1	1.3%	0	1.7	84	INF
4	Feb_14_2017	143.84	150.67	155.99	157.82	157.42	158.05	158.68(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	65	20	21	198	3.12	80%	-0.02	51	1.28%	0	1.3	78	INF
5	Feb_13_2017	143.87	149.97	154.86	157.38	157.18	157.77	158.31(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	95	20	53	221	3.6	80%	-0.03	47.7	1.29%	0	1.4	80	INF

6	Feb_10_2017	143.92	149.34	153.57	156.96	156.72	156.78	157.44(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	64	-0	17	206	2.93	82%	-0.04	48.4	1.31%	0	1.5	77	INF
7	Feb_9_2017	143.98	148.72	152.57	156.89	156.35	156.58	157.04(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	60	-0	11	205	4.28	86%	-0.03	53.3	1.38%	0	1.6	70	INF
8	Feb_8_2017	144.03	148.17	151.24	155.41	156.34	156.65	157.65(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	98	30	68	188	3.49	86%	-0.03	52.6	1.54%	0	2	73	INF
9	Feb_7_2017	144.07	147.67	149.91	153.82	154.4	156.13	156.44(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	82	90	56	159	3.58	87%	-0.03	57.2	1.54%	0	2	66	INF
10	Feb_6_2017	144.11	147.24	148.49	151.92	152.52	156.03	156.21(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	175	170	176	172	4.39	87%	-0.03	65.4	1.57%	0	2.4	67	INF

11	Feb_3_2017	144.16	146.73	147.15	149.64	149.93	152.68	157.1(4.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	171	130	183	136	7.37	81%	-0.02	71.2	1.57%	0	3.3	65	INF
12	Feb_2_2017	144.19	146	145.84	147.7	147.35	149.01	149.65(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	86	70	91	72	4.45	78%	-0.07	91.1	1.5%	0	1.7	57	INF
13	Feb_1_2017	144.29	145.68	145.26	146.46	146.45	147.17	149.73(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	71	30	80	42	3.92	78%	-0.06	88.5	1.51%	0	2	54	INF
14	Jan_31_2017	144.37	145.26	144.83	145.42	145.37	145.7	146.93(1.46%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	11	10	16	-6	3.35	70%	-0.1	82	1.5%	0	0.8	44	INF
15	Jan_30_2017	144.51	144.8	144.63	144.51	144.94	145.72	144.82(-1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	27	50	42	-19	3.76	70%	-0.07	70	1.53%	0	0	39	INF

16	Jan_27_2017	144.61	144.52	144.77	144.19	144.1	145.04	147.38(2.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	19	40	32	-21	4.89	56%	-0.08	51.6	1.95%	0	1.1	50	INF
17	Jan_26_2017	144.73	144.09	144.56	143.72	143.7	144.17	143.46(-0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	12	20	24	-26	3.37	53%	-0.11	44.2	1.92%	0	-0.2	52	INF
18	Jan_25_2017	144.89	143.9	144.89	143.88	143.81	143.15	144.51(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	-30	-8	-31	3.48	53%	-0.1	43.1	1.92%	0	0.2	55	INF
19	Jan_24_2017	145.04	143.62	145.29	144.19	144.08	143.23	142.4(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-44	-40	-49	-30	3.03	53%	-0.02	41.6	1.91%	0	-0.4	56	INF
20	Jan_23_2017	145.07	143.4	145.95	144.74	144.89	144.46	143.21(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-14	-20	-22	10	2.46	53%	-0.11	41	1.91%	0	-0.1	68	INF

21	Jan_20_2017	145.23	143.13	146.36	145.38	145.23	144.93	145.04(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-20	-16	37	3.07	50%	-0.1	40.9	1.92%	0	0.5	67	INF
22	Jan_19_2017	145.37	142.79	146.24	145.51	145.52	145.33	144.23(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-10	-12	51	2.57	49%	-0.1	38.6	1.92%	0	0.4	66	INF
23	Jan_18_2017	145.51	142.52	146.21	146.04	145.73	145.53	146.07(0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	5	-20	-16	66	2.43	49%	-0.1	42.7	1.92%	0	0.8	68	INF
24	Jan_17_2017	145.65	142.21	145.79	146.6	146.17	145.71	145.16(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-30	-25	79	3.4	49%	-0.21	52.2	1.91%	0	0.7	69	INF
25	Jan_13_2017	145.95	141.99	145.07	147.36	147	145.94	146.4(0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-60	-26	90	2.64	47%		69.3	1.91%	0	1.1	74	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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