Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 9, 2016

Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Amgen)
AMGN latest price $136.3837 (5.76%) ($132.9652 - $142.3729) on Wed. Nov. 9, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.8% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $136.3837(5.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMGN advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMGN declines -6.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(50%)    XHB(31%)    IBB(12%)    GDXJ(11%)    XBI(9%)
Factors Impacting AMGN price   AMGN will decline at least -0.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-14%)    SHY(-9%)    PCY(-9%)    XLU(-8%)    SLV(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.9% (StdDev 1.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $118.68(-12.98%)
Resistance Level   $140.53
5 Day Moving Average   $129.42(5.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $132.16(3.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $140.53(-2.95%)
To recent high   -16.6%
To recent low   8.3%
Market Cap   $79.975b

Amgen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of human therapeutics. Its products include the following brands: Aranesp, BLINCYTO, Corlanor, ENBREL, EPOGEN, IMLYGIC, KYPROLIS, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, Nplate, Parsabiv, Prolia, Repatha, Sensipar, Vectibix, and XGEVA. The company was founded by William K. Bowes, Jr., Franklin Pitcher Johnson, Jr., George B. Rathmann and Joseph Rubinfeld on April 8, 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, CA.

$. AMGN price fluctuates within 7.14% (three month std-dev: 1.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.72%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.47%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.69%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_9_2016	152.36	140.53	132.16	129.42	130.34	133.21	136.38(5.76%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	83	180	161	-151	11.79	32%	-0.01	-61.5	1.8%	0	-0.4	32	0
2	Nov_8_2016	152.38	141.31	133.12	127.98	128.07	129.22	128.96(-0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-27	60	46	-245	3.67	23%	-0.07	-65.7	1.64%	0	-1.2	20	0
3	Nov_7_2016	152.49	142.53	134.86	128.41	128.24	127.47	129.67(2.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-64	-50	4	-268	5.15	23%	-0.06	-66.5	1.64%	0	-1.3	19	0
4	Nov_4_2016	152.58	143.89	136.62	128.77	128.77	126.92	126.12(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-173	-100	-121	-330	5.05	18%	-0.1	-67.3	1.6%	0	-1.8	11	0
5	Nov_3_2016	152.73	145.43	138.81	130.59	130.81	129	125.95(-2.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-187	-90	-141	-324	5.79	18%	-0.1	-67.9	1.59%	0	-2.1	13	0

6	Nov_2_2016	152.88	146.97	141.31	135.32	133.23	130.63	129.19(-1.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-215	-180	-190	-290	4.62	19%	-0.08	-61.8	1.57%	0	-2.1	13	0
7	Nov_1_2016	153	148.36	143.46	139.1	138.07	132.61	131.11(-0.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-222	-300	-211	-254	5.59	22%	-0.07	-58.3	1.57%	0	-2.3	15	0
8	Oct_31_2016	153.11	149.67	145.59	142.29	142.27	135.83	131.48(-2.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-319	-320	-337	-265	8.69	22%	-0.08	-58.1	1.58%	0	-2.9	15	0
9	Oct_28_2016	153.23	150.97	147.71	145.57	145.68	143.54	135.23(-9.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.2	-228	-100	-239	-195	18.31	23%	-0.07	-64.4	1.55%	0	-3.3	15	0
10	Oct_27_2016	153.33	152.05	149.39	148.05	148.28	148.71	149.56(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	10	20	46	-100	3.37	36%	0.02	-88.3	1.02%	0	-0.8	29	0

11	Oct_26_2016	153.3	152.28	149.7	148.22	148.12	147.82	148.09(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-52	-20	-25	-133	2.72	36%	0.01	-95.8	1.04%	0	-1.3	27	0
12	Oct_25_2016	153.29	152.78	150.15	148.61	148.77	147.85	147.07(-0.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-89	-40	-66	-156	2.41	36%	-0.01	-94.2	1.03%	0	-1.7	22	0
13	Oct_24_2016	153.3	153.41	150.76	149.53	149.66	148.43	147.88(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-115	-50	-99	-161	2.92	36%	0	-86.7	1.04%	0	-1.5	22	0
14	Oct_21_2016	153.3	154.09	151.63	150.25	150.66	149.69	147.65(-1.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-98	-40	-84	-139	3.54	36%	0	-75.5	1.04%	0	-1.7	22	0
15	Oct_20_2016	153.3	154.85	152.47	150.88	151.28	150.89	150.43(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-70	-10	-55	-116	2.92	38%	0.03	-67.7	1.02%	0	-1.1	31	0

16	Oct_19_2016	153.26	155.49	152.97	151.4	151.7	151.63	150.04(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	0	-18	-87	2.5	38%	0.03	-61.3	1.02%	0	-1.4	37	0
17	Oct_18_2016	153.22	156.08	153.55	151.92	152.02	151.66	151.64(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	-10	-16	-85	2	40%	-0.01	-55.2	1.01%	0	-1.1	29	0
18	Oct_17_2016	153.24	156.57	154	152.2	152.27	151.76	151.47(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-81	-20	-69	-115	2.35	40%	0.04	-51.3	1.01%	0	-1.4	25	0
19	Oct_14_2016	153.18	157	154.45	153.26	153.09	152.38	150.8(-1.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-77	-40	-65	-112	2.82	42%	0.05	-46.1	1.01%	0	-1.7	20	0
20	Oct_13_2016	153.11	157.53	154.95	154.3	154.18	152.78	153.03(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-93	-70	-82	-124	2.43	45%	0.06	-33.8	1.01%	0	-1.3	21	0

21	Oct_12_2016	153.02	157.93	155.09	154.79	155.06	153.79	152.65(-0.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-124	-50	-112	-158	2.25	45%	0.08	-29.3	1.02%	0	-1.6	18	0
22	Oct_11_2016	152.9	158.25	155.63	155.42	155.61	155.58	153.06(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-76	0	-55	-137	2.76	45%	0.1	-27	1.02%	0	-1.7	27	0
23	Oct_10_2016	152.75	158.52	156.3	156.02	155.99	156.33	156.77(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	10	42	-98	1.63	49%	0.12	-25.7	0.98%	0	-0.6	34	0
24	Oct_7_2016	152.57	158.69	156.73	155.84	155.87	155.63	156.02(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-20	-10	8	-105	1.68	55%	0.12	-24	1.04%	0	-0.9	40	0
25	Oct_6_2016	152.38	158.68	157.36	155.71	155.61	155.66	155.46(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	0	-18	-114	1.9	55%		-31.3	1.04%	0	-1.2	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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