Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Amgen)
AMGN latest price $159.2509 (0.2%) ($158.0959 - $159.6142) on Thu. Sep. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $159.2509(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMGN advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMGN declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(49%)    XHB(30%)    IBUY(18%)    IBB(13%)    GDXJ(12%)
Factors Impacting AMGN price   AMGN will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-13%)    SHY(-9%)    PCY(-8%)    XLU(-7%)    INDA(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

Resistance Level   $160.11
5 Day Moving Average   $158.78(0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $158.98(0.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $160.11(-0.54%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   18.9%
Market Cap   $93.385b

Amgen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of human therapeutics. Its products include the following brands: Aranesp, BLINCYTO, Corlanor, ENBREL, EPOGEN, IMLYGIC, KYPROLIS, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, Nplate, Parsabiv, Prolia, Repatha, Sensipar, Vectibix, and XGEVA. The company was founded by William K. Bowes, Jr., Franklin Pitcher Johnson, Jr., George B. Rathmann and Joseph Rubinfeld on April 8, 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, CA.

$. AMGN price fluctuates within 0.98% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161008

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_8_2016	149.47	160.11	158.98	158.78	158.66	158.72	159.25(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	0	7	-45	2.61	60%	0.07	-17.3	1.08%	0	-0.5	33	0
2	Sep_7_2016	149.37	160.09	158.96	158.61	158.52	158.69	158.93(-0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	10	2	-61	2.01	60%	0.07	-26.3	1.08%	0	-0.7	34	0
3	Sep_6_2016	149.27	160.13	159.28	158.64	158.58	158.6	159.13(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-0	6	-54	1.92	60%	0.08	-31.3	1.09%	0	-0.6	46	0
4	Sep_2_2016	149.15	160.16	159.58	158.76	158.7	158.36	158.13(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-20	-26	-67	2.08	60%	0.07	-35.4	1.08%	0	-1.3	35	0
5	Sep_1_2016	149.04	160.3	159.93	159.17	159.12	158.56	158.47(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-30	-31	-56	1.88	60%	0.07	-25	1.09%	0	-1.2	46	0

6	Aug_31_2016	148.93	160.39	160.36	159.19	159.45	159.04	158.4(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-10	-29	-47	2.94	60%	0.09	-21.6	1.09%	0	-1.4	48	0
7	Aug_30_2016	148.8	160.51	160.76	159.34	159.36	159.68	159.06(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	10	-26	-32	1.8	60%	0.1	-12	1.09%	0	-1.1	54	0
8	Aug_29_2016	148.65	160.62	160.91	160.01	159.71	159.86	159.75(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	11	0	14	0	2.51	60%	0.11	23.2	1.09%	0	-0.7	53	0
9	Aug_26_2016	148.49	160.7	161.2	160.54	160.35	159.03	160.18(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-60	-45	-4	2.93	60%	0.11	57.8	1.1%	0	-0.4	53	0
10	Aug_25_2016	148.33	160.67	161.23	160.85	160.99	159.55	158.56(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-106	-60	-130	-34	2.62	62%	0.08	81.6	1.09%	0	-1.5	44	0

11	Aug_24_2016	148.21	160.69	161.23	161.69	161.84	161.66	159.13(-2.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-39	-10	-56	11	3.05	65%	0.12	118	1.11%	0	-1.1	49	0
12	Aug_23_2016	148.03	160.66	161.39	162.34	162.38	162.42	162.45(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	0	33	54	2.38	69%	0.14	122.3	1.1%	0	1	56	0
13	Aug_22_2016	147.82	160.32	161.08	161.92	162.03	162.01	162.4(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-3	0	-11	23	2.6	69%	0.14	108.1	1.11%	0	1	53	0
14	Aug_19_2016	147.62	159.93	160.8	161.97	161.87	162.34	161.72(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	20	20	32	2.7	66%	0.16	101.3	1.11%	0	0.7	51	0
15	Aug_18_2016	147.38	159.54	160.7	161.67	161.71	162.06	162.77(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	57	20	60	47	3.42	66%	0.18	88.5	1.13%	0	1.1	61	0

16	Aug_17_2016	147.12	159.02	160.39	161.05	160.82	161.4	162.36(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	20	22	24	2.58	62%	0.17	77.3	1.13%	0	1	62	0
17	Aug_16_2016	146.87	158.49	160.19	160.29	160.36	161.37	160.36(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	61	50	69	37	2.62	61%	0.16	68.6	1.15%	0	0.5	60	0
18	Aug_15_2016	146.63	158.02	160.27	160.09	159.68	160.25	162.61(1.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	54	20	56	46	2.78	63%	0.11	63.8	1.14%	0	1.2	76	0
19	Aug_12_2016	146.47	157.44	160.1	159.49	159.3	159.35	160.23(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-0	4	36	1.86	61%	0.16	61.9	1.13%	0	0.7	75	0
20	Aug_11_2016	146.23	157.01	160.01	159.61	159.51	159.11	159.68(0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-20	-15	49	2.14	58%	0.16	64	1.13%	0	0.7	76	0

21	Aug_10_2016	146	156.57	159.92	159.65	159.83	159.25	158.57(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-16	-20	-41	60	2.48	58%	0.14	67.2	1.16%	0	0.5	77	0
22	Aug_9_2016	145.79	156.1	159.91	160.06	160.16	159.9	159.36(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10	-32	92	2.09	60%	0.16	72.6	1.17%	0	0.7	82	0
23	Aug_8_2016	145.55	155.65	159.55	160.44	160.4	160.4	159.6(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-0	-14	123	2.71	60%	0.18	80.5	1.18%	0	0.9	85	0
24	Aug_5_2016	145.29	155.1	159.07	160.78	160.81	160.41	160.82(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	41	-20	4	150	2.23	60%	0.2	88.2	1.18%	0	1.2	88	0
25	Aug_4_2016	145	154.51	158.36	160.48	160.83	160.39	159.9(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-10	-25	144	2.12	60%		92	1.18%	0	1.1	85	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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