Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Amgen)
AMGN latest price $162.7718 (0.25%) ($161.6703 - $164.5322) on Thu. Aug. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $162.7718(0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMGN advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMGN advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(49%)    XHB(30%)    IBUY(18%)    IBB(13%)    GDXJ(12%)
Factors Impacting AMGN price   AMGN will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-13%)    SHY(-9%)    PCY(-8%)    XLU(-7%)    INDA(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $161.67(0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $160.7(1.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $159.54(2.03%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   21.6%
Market Cap   $95.449b

Amgen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of human therapeutics. Its products include the following brands: Aranesp, BLINCYTO, Corlanor, ENBREL, EPOGEN, IMLYGIC, KYPROLIS, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, Nplate, Parsabiv, Prolia, Repatha, Sensipar, Vectibix, and XGEVA. The company was founded by William K. Bowes, Jr., Franklin Pitcher Johnson, Jr., George B. Rathmann and Joseph Rubinfeld on April 8, 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, CA.

$. AMGN price fluctuates within 1.82% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 0.67%(30%) Average negative next day return: -0.59%(70%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 2.51%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -1.32%(40%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 3.66%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.23%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160918

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_18_2016	147.38	159.54	160.7	161.67	161.71	162.06	162.77(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	57	20	60	47	3.42	66%	0.18	88.5	1.13%	0	1.1	61	0
2	Aug_17_2016	147.12	159.02	160.39	161.05	160.82	161.4	162.36(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	20	22	24	2.58	62%	0.17	77.3	1.13%	0	1	62	0
3	Aug_16_2016	146.87	158.49	160.19	160.29	160.36	161.37	160.36(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	61	50	69	37	2.62	61%	0.16	68.6	1.15%	0	0.5	60	0
4	Aug_15_2016	146.63	158.02	160.27	160.09	159.68	160.25	162.61(1.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	54	20	56	46	2.78	63%	0.11	63.8	1.14%	0	1.2	76	0
5	Aug_12_2016	146.47	157.44	160.1	159.49	159.3	159.35	160.23(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-0	4	36	1.86	61%	0.16	61.9	1.13%	0	0.7	75	0

6	Aug_11_2016	146.23	157.01	160.01	159.61	159.51	159.11	159.68(0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-20	-15	49	2.14	58%	0.16	64	1.13%	0	0.7	76	0
7	Aug_10_2016	146	156.57	159.92	159.65	159.83	159.25	158.57(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-16	-20	-41	60	2.48	58%	0.14	67.2	1.16%	0	0.5	77	0
8	Aug_9_2016	145.79	156.1	159.91	160.06	160.16	159.9	159.36(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10	-32	92	2.09	60%	0.16	72.6	1.17%	0	0.7	82	0
9	Aug_8_2016	145.55	155.65	159.55	160.44	160.4	160.4	159.6(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-0	-14	123	2.71	60%	0.18	80.5	1.18%	0	0.9	85	0
10	Aug_5_2016	145.29	155.1	159.07	160.78	160.81	160.41	160.82(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	41	-20	4	150	2.23	60%	0.2	88.2	1.18%	0	1.2	88	0

11	Aug_4_2016	145	154.51	158.36	160.48	160.83	160.39	159.9(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-10	-25	144	2.12	60%	0.19	92	1.18%	0	1.1	85	0
12	Aug_3_2016	144.72	153.78	157.61	160.22	160.52	161.22	160.61(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	60	40	25	166	3.91	57%	0.21	93.8	1.19%	0	1.4	89	0
13	Aug_2_2016	144.42	152.98	156.69	159.71	159.64	161.28	161.28(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	127	70	104	197	6.59	57%	0.19	95.5	1.21%	0	1.6	94	0
14	Aug_1_2016	144.14	152.06	155.61	158.51	158.35	159.83	161.28(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	145	60	129	191	3.57	57%	0.2	104.4	1.21%	0	1.9	85	0
15	Jul_29_2016	143.85	151.13	154.55	157.1	156.79	158	159.31(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	109	50	92	161	3.12	55%	0.21	107.4	1.21%	0	1.7	85	0

16	Jul_28_2016	143.55	150.22	153.71	155.92	155.45	156.87	158.62(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	105	50	91	146	5.19	55%	0.21	99.7	1.23%	0	1.8	79	0
17	Jul_27_2016	143.25	149.24	152.88	154.61	154.43	155.58	158.06(1.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	118	50	108	149	4.2	55%	0.18	90.8	1.23%	0	1.8	84	0
18	Jul_26_2016	142.99	148.22	151.92	153.24	153.15	154.04	155.27(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	79	40	65	122	2.88	53%	0.14	80.2	1.22%	0	1.4	82	0
19	Jul_25_2016	142.79	147.18	151.37	152.28	152.21	153.27	154.25(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	80	50	64	127	2.7	53%	0.14	63.1	1.22%	0	1.3	83	0
20	Jul_22_2016	142.59	146.26	150.77	151.6	151.58	152.26	153.42(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	79	30	61	134	2.5	53%	0.14	55.4	1.21%	0	1.2	83	0

21	Jul_21_2016	142.39	145.63	150.33	151.16	151.16	151.15	152.05(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	46	-0	16	136	1.97	53%	0.11	55.6	1.21%	0	1.1	84	0
22	Jul_20_2016	142.23	144.96	149.66	150.89	151.06	150.89	151.18(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	35	-0	-2	145	2.16	53%	0.11	53.5	1.22%	0	1.1	85	0
23	Jul_19_2016	142.08	144.31	149.02	150.39	150.9	151.17	150.48(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	47	20	8	165	2.25	53%	0.14	49.3	1.22%	0	1.1	86	0
24	Jul_18_2016	141.88	143.75	148.3	150.29	150.54	151.23	150.88(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	83	40	41	210	1.82	53%	0.11	48.4	1.22%	0	1.3	90	0
25	Jul_15_2016	141.72	143.11	147.52	149.78	150.07	150.64	151.21(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	95	30	49	232	3.18	53%		43.6	1.22%	0	1.6	83	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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