Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 31, 2016

Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Amgen)
AMGN latest price $137.9378 (0.3%) ($137.2018 - $138.8845) on Thu. Mar. 31, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.8% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $137.9378(0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMGN advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMGN advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(50%)    XHB(31%)    IBB(17%)    XBI(13%)    XLV(12%)
Factors Impacting AMGN price   AMGN will decline at least -0.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-12%)    SHY(-9%)    XLU(-7%)    PCY(-7%)    SLV(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.9% (StdDev 1.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $137.36(0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $136.48(1.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $134.65(2.44%)
To recent high   -7%
To recent low   6.4%
Market Cap   $80.887b

Amgen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of human therapeutics. Its products include the following brands: Aranesp, BLINCYTO, Corlanor, ENBREL, EPOGEN, IMLYGIC, KYPROLIS, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, Nplate, Parsabiv, Prolia, Repatha, Sensipar, Vectibix, and XGEVA. The company was founded by William K. Bowes, Jr., Franklin Pitcher Johnson, Jr., George B. Rathmann and Joseph Rubinfeld on April 8, 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, CA.

$. AMGN price fluctuates within 1.92% (three month std-dev: 1.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.11%(44%) Average negative next day return: -0.74%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 2.39%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -0.75%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 2.86%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.38%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160501

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_31_2016	139.84	134.65	136.48	137.36	137.28	137.73	137.94(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	34	20	20	74	2.8	57%	-0.04	29.2	1.8%	0	1.3	77	0
2	Mar_30_2016	139.89	134.51	135.96	137.14	137.12	137.16	137.52(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	0	7	73	2.32	57%	-0.05	28.6	1.8%	0	1.2	77	0
3	Mar_29_2016	139.96	134.43	135.4	137.35	137.17	136.83	137.53(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	-20	-4	71	2.74	57%	-0.06	33.7	1.8%	0	1.3	61	0
4	Mar_28_2016	140.04	134.1	134.95	136.9	137.23	137.07	136.5(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-0	2	63	2.11	57%	-0.11	18.2	1.81%	0	1	51	0
5	Mar_24_2016	140.2	134.04	134.59	136.37	136.65	137.5	137.3(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	50	27	64	3.03	57%	-0.07	8.6	1.81%	0	1.4	56	0

6	Mar_23_2016	140.3	133.9	133.85	135.43	135.66	137.38	136.86(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	71	90	74	60	3.11	57%	-0.09	-7.7	1.81%	0	1.3	55	0
7	Mar_22_2016	140.42	133.8	133.13	134.55	134.3	135.79	138.57(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	70	70	81	38	4.21	57%	-0.06	-26.2	1.81%	0	2.2	54	0
8	Mar_21_2016	140.51	133.61	132.51	133.19	133.18	133.94	135.25(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	32	40	44	-4	3.18	55%	-0.06	-47.4	1.8%	0	0.8	44	0
9	Mar_18_2016	140.6	133.65	132.47	132.75	132.65	132.81	133.87(0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	10	15	-12	6.8	55%	-0.09	-42.4	1.79%	0	0.1	58	0
10	Mar_17_2016	140.73	133.84	132.48	132.58	132.51	132.41	132.6(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-4	-10	3	-23	4.9	55%	-0.11	-27.6	1.8%	0	-0.5	44	0

11	Mar_16_2016	140.88	134.07	132.62	132.01	132.47	132.49	132.46(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	10	11	-30	6.1	55%	-0.11	-22.9	1.81%	0	-0.6	46	0
12	Mar_15_2016	141.04	134.38	132.92	131.44	131.87	132.61	131.76(-0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	50	9	-38	3.03	57%	-0.09	-15.1	1.82%	0	-1.1	44	0
13	Mar_14_2016	141.17	134.57	133.37	131.7	131.46	132.44	133.05(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	13	50	26	-26	3.01	57%	-0.06	-3.8	1.85%	0	-0.6	45	0
14	Mar_11_2016	141.26	134.6	133.19	132.2	131.79	131.13	133.01(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-40	6	-40	4.86	54%	-0.04	2.7	1.87%	0	-0.6	43	0
15	Mar_10_2016	141.31	134.49	133.45	132.45	132.38	130.47	129.75(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-77	-100	-78	-75	4.57	52%	-0.05	-6.1	1.87%	0	-1.8	33	0

16	Mar_9_2016	141.38	134.65	134	133.34	133.49	132.45	129.63(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-73	-50	-74	-68	6.08	52%	-0.06	-6.6	1.88%	0	-2	36	0
17	Mar_8_2016	141.46	134.76	134.62	134.55	134.45	134.29	133.06(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-10	-19	-39	3.06	55%	-0.05	-4.6	1.86%	0	-0.7	37	0
18	Mar_7_2016	141.53	134.67	134.87	135.24	134.88	134.53	135.53(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-30	6	-20	3.28	55%	-0.03	-12.4	1.85%	0	0.3	51	0
19	Mar_4_2016	141.57	134.53	134.96	134.32	134.8	134.61	134.3(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-19	0	-14	-33	3.47	59%	-0.03	-35.3	1.86%	0	-0.1	54	0
20	Mar_3_2016	141.61	134.65	135.32	134.62	134.47	135.24	134.18(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	40	-1	-8	2.99	55%	-0.01	-28.6	1.94%	0	-0.2	60	0

21	Mar_2_2016	141.62	134.81	135.63	134.78	134.87	134.98	135.69(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	10	35	19	3.69	55%	0.01	-26.4	1.99%	0	0.3	57	0
22	Mar_1_2016	141.6	134.87	135.93	134.71	134.72	133.7	136.52(4.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-16	-50	-25	11	4.48	55%	-0.02	-32.3	1.99%	0	0.6	61	0
23	Feb_29_2016	141.63	134.98	135.81	134.51	134.74	134.75	130.9(-3.6%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-33	10	-47	11	5.19	51%	-0.04	-33.8	1.9%	0	-1.4	54	0
24	Feb_26_2016	141.68	135.42	136.12	135.66	135.48	135.74	135.79(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	31	10	22	58	3.41	55%	0	-27.7	1.85%	0	0.1	58	0
25	Feb_25_2016	141.68	135.4	135.62	136.13	135.56	134.73	135.01(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-13	-60	-27	30	3.45	55%		-30	1.87%	0	-0.1	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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