Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AMGN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Amgen)
AMGN latest price $137.3408 (-2.25%) ($136.9226 - $142.5042) on Wed. Sep. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.13% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $137.3408(-2.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMGN advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMGN declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(51%)    XHB(33%)    IBB(25%)    XBI(20%)    XLV(20%)
Factors Impacting AMGN price   AMGN will decline at least -1.065% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-10%)    EMHY(-10%)    VIXM(-6%)    XLU(-5%)    SLV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.065% (StdDev 2.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $130.59(-4.92%)
Resistance Level   $142.26
5 Day Moving Average   $137.12(0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $138.01(-0.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $142.26(-3.46%)
To recent high   -14%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $80.537b

Amgen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of human therapeutics. Its products include the following brands: Aranesp, BLINCYTO, Corlanor, ENBREL, EPOGEN, IMLYGIC, KYPROLIS, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, Nplate, Parsabiv, Prolia, Repatha, Sensipar, Vectibix, and XGEVA. The company was founded by William K. Bowes, Jr., Franklin Pitcher Johnson, Jr., George B. Rathmann and Joseph Rubinfeld on April 8, 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, CA.

$. AMGN price fluctuates within 5.31% (three month std-dev: 2.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 2.16%(57%) Average negative next day return: -0.88%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 3.5%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -1.69%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 3.15%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.39%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151009

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_9_2015	145.2	142.26	138.01	137.12	137.53	139.37	137.34(-2.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	61	100	83	-4	2.99	51%	-0.1	-57.1	2.13%	0	-0.7	37	0
2	Sep_8_2015	145.35	143	137.54	136.46	136.75	136.48	140.5(5.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	10	-10	36	-67	4.51	53%	-0.08	-61.4	2.12%	0	-0.3	38	0
3	Sep_4_2015	145.46	143.65	136.91	135.96	135.77	135.7	133.65(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-89	-10	-66	-157	3.36	49%	-0.12	-62	2.01%	0	-1.2	29	0
4	Sep_3_2015	145.63	144.76	137.65	137.57	137.22	137.03	135.66(-2.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-30	-20	5	-135	2.87	49%	-0.09	-61	2%	0	-1.1	33	0
5	Sep_2_2015	145.76	145.67	138.67	138.75	138.3	135.84	138.44(3.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-83	-130	-57	-161	4.34	50%	-0.05	-57.4	1.99%	0	-0.9	34	0

6	Sep_1_2015	145.84	146.7	139.85	139.06	139.33	137.41	134.05(-2.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-116	-90	-94	-183	5.52	48%	-0.09	-53.8	1.94%	0	-1.5	27	0
7	Aug_31_2015	145.97	147.93	141.64	138.64	140.01	140.76	137.98(-2.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-31	70	9	-150	4.35	50%	-0.06	-56.5	1.91%	0	-1.2	33	0
8	Aug_28_2015	146.06	148.98	143.2	137.89	138.97	141.25	141.71(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	33	140	87	-131	4.65	51%	-0.03	-55.4	1.89%	0	-0.9	34	0
9	Aug_27_2015	146.1	149.87	144.21	137.76	136.89	139.26	141.56(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	100	47	-156	4.91	51%	-0.02	-48.6	1.9%	0	-1	33	0
10	Aug_26_2015	146.13	150.59	145.33	138.75	137.7	136.69	139.98(6.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-43	-70	-1	-167	5.25	48%	-0.01	-43.3	1.9%	0	-1.4	35	0

11	Aug_25_2015	146.14	151.39	146.75	141.04	140.29	134.52	131.99(-1.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-226	-300	-217	-251	6.7	42%	-0.05	-33.8	1.77%	0	-2.6	16	0
12	Aug_24_2015	146.22	152.69	148.94	145.14	144.21	138.71	134.21(-4.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.8	-304	-290	-320	-255	8.7	42%	-0.08	-17.5	1.78%	0	-3.1	21	0
13	Aug_21_2015	146.34	153.6	151.09	149.16	149.19	146.05	141.08(-3.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-167	-150	-168	-162	6.21	47%	0	2.6	1.67%	0	-2.6	24	0
14	Aug_20_2015	146.34	153.85	152.65	151.44	151.44	149.72	146.5(-3.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-116	-80	-114	-123	3.49	51%	0.04	14	1.61%	0	-1.8	28	0
15	Aug_19_2015	146.28	154.02	153.42	152.79	152.58	152.34	151.42(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-54	-20	-44	-85	3.14	55%	0.05	25.7	1.56%	0	-0.7	45	0

16	Aug_18_2015	146.21	153.92	154.2	153.38	153.29	153.15	152.47(-1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-10	15	-45	2.27	55%	0.03	33.1	1.55%	0	-0.4	47	0
17	Aug_17_2015	146.16	153.74	154.76	153.39	153.06	152.82	154.35(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-28	-20	-19	-55	1.99	55%	0.05	36.8	1.55%	0	0.1	47	0
18	Aug_14_2015	146.08	153.48	155.18	153.4	153	153.43	152.47(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	10	-16	-35	2.7	57%	0.05	44.2	1.54%	0	-0.2	57	0
19	Aug_13_2015	146	153.28	155.9	154.09	153.76	153.3	153.25(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-30	23	26	1.9	57%	0.06	55.8	1.56%	0	-0	67	0
20	Aug_12_2015	145.91	153.02	156.15	154.14	153.74	152.58	154.39(1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-61	-60	-81	1	4.49	57%	0.03	64.1	1.56%	0	0.3	59	0

21	Aug_11_2015	145.86	152.59	156.26	155.19	154.74	154.22	152.52(-1.2%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-38	-30	-64	39	2.92	57%	0.01	74.1	1.56%	0	-0	57	0
22	Aug_10_2015	145.84	152.22	156.69	156.32	156.44	154.9	154.37(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-70	-32	88	2.73	57%	0.01	76.8	1.56%	0	0.4	60	0
23	Aug_7_2015	145.82	151.59	156.32	157.23	157.1	155.26	155.91(1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-69	-80	-116	71	4.16	60%	0.02	76.6	1.59%	0	0.7	61	0
24	Aug_6_2015	145.79	150.8	155.21	158	158.38	157.97	153.52(-3.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-17	-10	-56	101	3.78	60%	0.03	75.2	1.58%	0	0.4	60	0
25	Aug_5_2015	145.75	150.02	154.79	158.37	159.52	158.95	159.65(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	68	-0	38	156	2.15	63%		70.9	1.5%	0	1.4	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.