Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 18, 2015

Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Amgen)
AMGN latest price $149.9547 (2.13%) ($145.7138 - $150.9086) on Wed. Mar. 18, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.69% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $149.9547(2.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMGN advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMGN advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(52%)    XHB(34%)    IBB(29%)    XLV(24%)    XBI(23%)
Factors Impacting AMGN price   AMGN will decline at least -0.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-10%)    VIXM(-9%)    EMHY(-8%)    GLD(-6%)    SLV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.845% (StdDev 1.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $144.27(3.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $142.15(5.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $142.24(5.42%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   11.6%
Market Cap   $87.933b

Amgen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of human therapeutics. Its products include the following brands: Aranesp, BLINCYTO, Corlanor, ENBREL, EPOGEN, IMLYGIC, KYPROLIS, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, Nplate, Parsabiv, Prolia, Repatha, Sensipar, Vectibix, and XGEVA. The company was founded by William K. Bowes, Jr., Franklin Pitcher Johnson, Jr., George B. Rathmann and Joseph Rubinfeld on April 8, 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, CA.

$. AMGN price fluctuates within 2.12% (three month std-dev: 1.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 23 Average positive next day return: 1.62%(48%) Average negative next day return: -0.73%(52%) Sample size 23 Average positive next three day return: 1.14%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -1.38%(43%) Sample size 23 Average positive next weekly return: 1.65%(61%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.81%(39%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150418

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_18_2015	143	142.24	142.15	144.27	144.37	147.42	149.95(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	112	150	125	73	3.69	52%	0.07	47.6	1.69%	0	2.6	62	0
2	Mar_17_2015	142.9	141.72	141.38	141.78	141.96	145.36	146.83(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	141	170	169	58	2.62	52%	0.11	34.8	1.71%	0	2	59	0
3	Mar_16_2015	142.75	141.31	140.89	140.07	139.86	141.32	146.79(5.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.9	92	70	117	16	5.2	52%	0.11	26.5	1.74%	0	2.4	60	0
4	Mar_13_2015	142.59	140.86	140.49	138.63	138.38	138.56	138.9(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	0	-0	-52	2.74	42%	0.06	16.1	1.61%	0	-1	38	0
5	Mar_12_2015	142.51	140.84	140.8	138.74	138.58	138.41	138.89(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-25	-10	-14	-56	1.89	42%	0.08	19	1.62%	0	-0.9	41	0

6	Mar_11_2015	142.4	140.82	141.23	139.7	139.2	138.2	137.49(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-55	-60	-55	-54	2.49	42%	0.07	36.4	1.62%	0	-1.6	43	0
7	Mar_10_2015	142.3	140.85	141.75	140.87	140.69	138.75	138.29(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-65	-100	-73	-40	3.51	40%	0.11	53.9	1.62%	0	-1.2	46	0
8	Mar_9_2015	142.14	140.7	142.14	141.77	141.78	140.2	139.57(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-81	-80	-98	-30	2.13	40%	0.15	52.8	1.64%	0	-0.5	56	0
9	Mar_6_2015	141.93	140.53	142.47	142.6	142.71	142.63	139.46(-2.96%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-23	-0	-36	17	4.09	40%	0.17	56.7	1.65%	0	-0.4	58	0
10	Mar_5_2015	141.69	140.45	142.77	143.11	143.22	143.36	143.71(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	34	10	25	60	2.47	45%	0.2	56.8	1.62%	0	1.2	76	0

11	Mar_4_2015	141.41	140.05	142.46	143	142.85	142.79	143.34(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-10	-7	53	3.1	45%	0.19	50	1.63%	0	1.2	76	0
12	Mar_3_2015	141.14	139.7	142.16	142.8	142.8	143.09	142.77(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	26	10	12	66	2.33	45%	0.17	39.4	1.64%	0	1.1	76	0
13	Mar_2_2015	140.9	139.39	141.79	142.58	142.54	142.91	143.73(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	20	19	77	3.48	47%	0.16	27.7	1.64%	0	1.5	87	0
14	Feb_27_2015	140.68	139.01	141.25	142.37	142.28	142.5	142.01(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	10	10	80	2.47	47%	0.14	15.6	1.62%	0	1.1	76	0
15	Feb_26_2015	140.48	138.89	140.86	142.36	142.29	142.18	143.14(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10	15	84	3.38	49%	0.14	11.3	1.63%	0	1.6	69	0

16	Feb_25_2015	140.29	138.63	140.34	141.83	141.96	142.05	142.34(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	10	0	77	3.26	49%	0.16	1.2	1.64%	0	1.6	72	0
17	Feb_24_2015	140.07	138.59	139.84	141.42	141.57	142.4	141.7(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	40	33	88	2.06	49%	0.14	-1.2	1.65%	0	1.3	67	0
18	Feb_23_2015	139.87	138.61	139.14	140.85	140.9	141.86	142.64(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	67	50	60	87	3.09	49%	0.14	-5.6	1.65%	0	1.6	69	0
19	Feb_20_2015	139.68	138.59	138.42	139.96	139.89	140.73	141.96(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	52	40	47	68	4.41	49%	0.14	-2.7	1.65%	0	1.3	69	0
20	Feb_19_2015	139.48	138.59	137.93	139.16	139.01	139.94	140.51(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	40	41	49	3.91	49%	0.13	-4.8	1.64%	0	0.7	49	0

21	Feb_18_2015	139.3	138.6	137.43	138.63	138.47	139.06	140.27(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	30	42	35	3.3	51%	0.11	-6.9	1.64%	0	0.6	53	0
22	Feb_17_2015	139.15	138.62	137.01	138.05	138.13	138.07	138.88(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-0	25	5	3.9	51%	0.2	-11	1.66%	0	0.1	39	0
23	Feb_13_2015	138.87	138.75	136.77	137.14	137.52	137.88	138.2(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	30	8	-30	3.59	49%	0.1	-16.2	1.66%	0	-0.2	36	0
24	Feb_12_2015	138.73	138.67	136.57	136.63	136.78	138.2	137.93(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	18	80	38	-42	2.94	49%	0.08	-29.1	1.67%	0	-0.3	35	0
25	Feb_11_2015	138.62	138.72	136.73	136.51	136.44	137.16	137.86(0.35%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	38	40	64	-41	4	49%		-34.7	1.67%	0	-0.3	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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