Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Amgen)
AMGN latest price $136.9481 (-3.22%) ($136.4376 - $142.3042) on Tue. Jan. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.87% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $136.9481(-3.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMGN declines -1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMGN declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(52%)    XHB(34%)    IBB(30%)    XLV(25%)    XBI(23%)
Factors Impacting AMGN price   AMGN will decline at least -0.935% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-10%)    VIXM(-9%)    EMHY(-8%)    GLD(-6%)    SLV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.935% (StdDev 1.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.7%

Resistance Level   $145.71
5 Day Moving Average   $141.64(-3.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $143.17(-4.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $145.71(-6.01%)
To recent high   -10.9%
To recent low   17.7%
Market Cap   $80.306b

Amgen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of human therapeutics. Its products include the following brands: Aranesp, BLINCYTO, Corlanor, ENBREL, EPOGEN, IMLYGIC, KYPROLIS, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, Nplate, Parsabiv, Prolia, Repatha, Sensipar, Vectibix, and XGEVA. The company was founded by William K. Bowes, Jr., Franklin Pitcher Johnson, Jr., George B. Rathmann and Joseph Rubinfeld on April 8, 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, CA.

$. AMGN price fluctuates within 2.65% (three month std-dev: 1.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 27 Average positive next day return: 1.53%(44%) Average negative next day return: -1.72%(56%) Sample size 27 Average positive next three day return: 2.72%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -2.11%(56%) Sample size 27 Average positive next weekly return: 3.35%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.65%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_6_2015	134.51	145.71	143.17	141.64	142.01	140.19	136.95(-3.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-91	-80	-89	-98	5.08	64%	0.14	-57.4	1.87%	0	-2.3	45	0
2	Jan_5_2015	134.32	146.47	144.7	143.42	143.32	142.25	141.51(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-70	-50	-72	-62	4.09	67%	0.18	-42.9	1.83%	0	-1.3	43	0
3	Jan_2_2015	134.08	146.87	145.62	144.4	144.61	143.84	143.21(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-30	-26	-27	2.61	68%	0.35	-34.4	1.83%	0	-1	43	0
4	Dec_31_2014	133.61	147.24	145.96	144.54	145.19	144.4	142.67(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-20	-18	-26	2.69	68%	0.23	-28.6	1.84%	0	-1.3	43	0
5	Dec_30_2014	133.31	147.69	146.05	144.23	144.82	145.38	143.87(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	40	-17	-47	2.02	68%	0.24	-25.7	1.84%	0	-1.1	40	0

6	Dec_29_2014	132.99	147.97	146.02	144.92	144.57	145.98	145.86(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	60	25	-44	1.73	68%	0.26	-17.2	1.83%	0	-0.6	39	0
7	Dec_26_2014	132.65	148.09	146.16	146.24	145.32	144.25	146.41(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-70	-1	-48	1.71	68%	0.42	-3.9	1.83%	0	-0.5	44	0
8	Dec_24_2014	132.1	148.16	146.36	147.14	146.81	143.15	143.91(2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-113	-180	-121	-87	2.22	66%	0.23	6.1	1.82%	0	-1.3	45	0
9	Dec_23_2014	131.8	148.27	146.8	147.64	148.54	146.39	141.09(-4.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-111	-80	-119	-86	7.09	65%	0.21	10.8	1.81%	0	-2.2	39	0
10	Dec_22_2014	131.53	148.62	147.88	147.98	148.75	150.47	147.36(-3.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	14	100	27	-25	4.06	70%	0.28	22.7	1.73%	0	-0.4	44	0

11	Dec_19_2014	131.16	148.56	148.47	147.1	147.23	150.69	152.42(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	114	170	146	19	7.86	75%	0.3	21.2	1.68%	0	1.3	55	0
12	Dec_18_2014	130.77	148.22	148.31	146.09	145.58	147.04	150.9(3.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	82	60	110	-2	3.51	75%	0.28	14.5	1.69%	0	0.9	55	0
13	Dec_17_2014	130.41	147.96	148.1	145.66	145.02	143.77	146.42(2.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-44	-70	-37	-65	3.42	74%	0.29	12	1.65%	0	-0.5	49	0
14	Dec_16_2014	130.03	147.92	148.51	146	146.28	144.13	142.81(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-104	-100	-112	-81	4.49	72%	0.26	14.9	1.63%	0	-1.8	49	0
15	Dec_15_2014	129.69	147.97	149.43	147.78	147.99	146.27	142.95(-3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-97	-80	-114	-47	4.43	72%	0.26	26.5	1.63%	0	-1.7	45	0

16	Dec_12_2014	129.35	147.94	150.13	149.94	149.63	148.42	147.36(-0.93%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-55	-60	-75	6	3.38	77%	0.3	42.8	1.58%	0	-0.2	56	0
17	Dec_11_2014	128.96	147.8	150.25	150.78	151.05	149.71	148.75(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-20	-60	-40	39	3.18	77%	0.32	50.9	1.58%	0	0.3	59	0
18	Dec_10_2014	128.55	147.62	150.17	150.87	151.05	150.83	148.14(-2.36%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-30	-10	-54	41	3.49	78%	0.32	56.2	1.58%	0	0.2	58	0
19	Dec_9_2014	128.14	147.5	149.96	151.35	151.25	152.4	151.72(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	50	29	84	3.71	79%	0.36	63.6	1.55%	0	1.3	68	0
20	Dec_8_2014	127.68	147.19	149.5	151.33	150.99	151.66	153.73(1.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	80	20	69	112	3.95	79%	0.39	70.8	1.55%	0	2.1	79	0

21	Dec_5_2014	127.18	146.64	148.69	150.39	150.42	150.11	151.58(1.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	28	-10	8	87	2.55	79%	0.39	66.3	1.55%	0	1.8	79	0
22	Dec_4_2014	126.69	146.2	148.1	149.69	149.95	150.32	149.17(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	20	-3	79	3.36	78%	0.36	62	1.54%	0	1.1	64	0
23	Dec_3_2014	126.24	145.84	147.75	149.36	149.55	150.74	150.54(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	76	60	66	105	2.37	78%	0.38	57.6	1.54%	0	1.8	63	0
24	Dec_2_2014	125.76	145.45	147.22	148.32	148.52	149.59	151.62(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	77	50	72	93	3.29	78%	0.37	56.1	1.53%	0	2.5	65	0
25	Dec_1_2014	125.3	145.05	146.3	147.4	147.31	148.37	149.05(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	48	50	44	61	2.51	78%		83	1.53%	0	2	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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