Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 31, 2014

Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Amgen)
AMGN latest price $144.7070 (0.37%) ($144.0288 - $146.9108) on Fri. Oct. 31, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.55% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $144.7070(0.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMGN advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMGN advances 9.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(52%)    XHB(34%)    XLV(26%)    XBI(24%)    QQQ(15%)
Factors Impacting AMGN price   AMGN will decline at least -0.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    SHY(-10%)    EMHY(-7%)    GLD(-5%)    UNG(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.775% (StdDev 1.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $140.63(2.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $134.98(7.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $127.94(13.11%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   29.8%
Market Cap   $84.856b

Amgen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of human therapeutics. Its products include the following brands: Aranesp, BLINCYTO, Corlanor, ENBREL, EPOGEN, IMLYGIC, KYPROLIS, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, Nplate, Parsabiv, Prolia, Repatha, Sensipar, Vectibix, and XGEVA. The company was founded by William K. Bowes, Jr., Franklin Pitcher Johnson, Jr., George B. Rathmann and Joseph Rubinfeld on April 8, 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, CA.

$. AMGN price fluctuates within 6.84% (three month std-dev: 1.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 2.24%(44%) Average negative next day return: -2.46%(56%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 3.26%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -4.55%(56%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 4.24%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.09%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_31_2014	117.37	127.94	134.98	140.63	141.86	144.19	144.71(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	228	140	163	424	7.97	77%	0.36	53.5	1.55%	0	1.9	88	0
2	Oct_30_2014	116.95	126.83	132.46	137.96	138.33	142.02	144.17(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	213	190	159	373	3.86	79%	0.35	49.1	1.57%	0	2.2	78	0
3	Oct_29_2014	116.54	125.66	129.69	135.41	135.38	139.54	141.76(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	243	210	216	324	7.07	79%	0.33	44.8	1.69%	0	2.4	76	0
4	Oct_28_2014	116.16	124.68	127.17	132.69	132.77	134.64	140.25(6.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	187	100	167	245	11.63	79%	0.33	37.3	1.68%	0	2.7	69	0
5	Oct_27_2014	115.78	123.83	124.86	130.35	130.31	131.23	132.23(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	86	50	57	171	4.17	76%	0.24	32.8	1.53%	0	1.9	67	0

6	Oct_24_2014	115.5	123.42	123.51	128.44	128.95	130.9	131.39(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	133	120	125	155	5.32	76%	0.23	21	1.53%	0	1.9	62	0
7	Oct_23_2014	115.23	123.08	122.54	126.02	126.39	129.38	131.39(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	157	170	167	125	4.71	76%	0.23	2	1.53%	0	2.2	59	0
8	Oct_22_2014	114.97	122.69	121.56	123.02	123.48	126.99	128.16(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	178	210	208	89	5.22	75%	0.21	-25.1	1.5%	0	1.6	58	0
9	Oct_21_2014	114.73	122.58	121.13	120.75	120.34	123.4	128.57(4.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	149	170	185	42	8.95	75%	0.22	-44.1	1.51%	0	1.9	56	0
10	Oct_20_2014	114.48	122.37	120.31	118.63	117.93	119.97	122.69(2.86%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	73	100	112	-44	6.62	72%	0.18	-63.2	1.41%	0	0.1	44	0

11	Oct_17_2014	114.28	122.56	120.27	117.92	117.57	117.27	119.29(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-30	32	-99	7.35	69%	0.15	-60.3	1.4%	0	-1	37	0
12	Oct_16_2014	114.11	123.01	120.74	118.58	118	115.89	116.4(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-135	-140	-127	-157	7.91	67%	0.12	-48.7	1.4%	0	-2	28	0
13	Oct_15_2014	113.97	123.55	121.38	119.85	119.92	117.87	116.8(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-140	-120	-138	-146	4.7	64%	0.12	-39.5	1.4%	0	-2.3	33	0
14	Oct_14_2014	113.83	124.01	122.12	121.49	121.73	120.11	117.96(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-97	-90	-94	-107	3.74	64%	0.04	-26.9	1.41%	0	-2.4	31	0
15	Oct_13_2014	113.79	124.37	122.87	122.17	122.66	121.98	119.17(-2.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-68	-30	-63	-84	6.88	64%	0.16	-19.6	1.41%	0	-2.5	37	0

16	Oct_10_2014	113.61	124.6	123.48	122.9	122.92	123.36	122.59(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	30	-5	-56	5.75	69%	0.19	-14.8	1.36%	0	-1.1	40	0
17	Oct_9_2014	113.4	124.65	123.8	123.21	123.01	123.34	122.76(-1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	13	10	32	-44	2.75	69%	0.19	-10.1	1.36%	0	-1.1	36	0
18	Oct_8_2014	113.18	124.72	124	123.14	123.03	122.48	124.98(2.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-22	-30	-6	-69	3.63	72%	0.23	-9.7	1.34%	0	0.2	46	0
19	Oct_7_2014	112.92	124.68	124.16	122.92	123.08	122.67	121.37(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-69	-20	-60	-94	2.68	65%	0.2	-11.5	1.29%	0	-1.9	41	0
20	Oct_6_2014	112.7	124.78	124.59	123.71	123.72	123.58	122.78(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10	-12	-55	3.19	65%	0.21	0	1.32%	0	-1.3	48	0

21	Oct_3_2014	112.46	124.86	125	124.15	124.17	123.48	124.16(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-30	-40	-26	-41	3.43	66%	0.24	8	1.32%	0	-0.4	55	0
22	Oct_2_2014	112.19	124.82	125.41	124.49	124.51	123.85	122.42(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-49	-40	-56	-29	3.06	65%	0.21	11.8	1.32%	0	-1.5	51	0
23	Oct_1_2014	111.96	124.82	125.87	124.96	125.01	124.87	123.86(-1.17%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-20	-10	-27	2	3.76	67%	0.23	21.1	1.31%	0	-0.7	51	0
24	Sep_30_2014	111.7	124.88	126.07	125.57	125.35	125.17	125.33(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-20	-5	28	2.65	67%	0.24	35.2	1.31%	0	0.3	55	0
25	Sep_29_2014	111.43	124.77	125.99	125.61	125.58	125.15	124.98(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-12	-20	-25	27	2.22	67%		44.1	1.31%	0	0.1	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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