Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 25, 2014

Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Amgen)
AMGN latest price $98.3904 (-2.03%) ($98.2933 - $100.3422) on Fri. Apr. 25, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.07% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $98.3904(-2.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMGN declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMGN declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(34%)    XLV(27%)    XBI(26%)    QQQ(16%)    SPY(14%)
Factors Impacting AMGN price   AMGN will decline at least -1.035% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-10%)    GLD(-6%)    EMHY(-6%)    TIP(-4%)    SLV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.035% (StdDev 2.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

Resistance Level   $103.85
5 Day Moving Average   $101.52(-3.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $101.21(-2.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $103.85(-5.26%)
To recent high   -12.6%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $57.696b

Amgen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of human therapeutics. Its products include the following brands: Aranesp, BLINCYTO, Corlanor, ENBREL, EPOGEN, IMLYGIC, KYPROLIS, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, Nplate, Parsabiv, Prolia, Repatha, Sensipar, Vectibix, and XGEVA. The company was founded by William K. Bowes, Jr., Franklin Pitcher Johnson, Jr., George B. Rathmann and Joseph Rubinfeld on April 8, 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, CA.

$. AMGN price fluctuates within 3.75% (three month std-dev: 2.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 9.85%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.4%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 5.87%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.4%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 5.95%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.99%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140525

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_25_2014	105.71	103.85	101.21	101.52	101.27	99.8	98.39(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-42	-110	-39	-51	4.51	42%	-0.24	-37.1	2.07%	0	-1.4	37	0
2	Apr_24_2014	105.96	104.34	101.49	102.23	102.11	100.62	100.43(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-64	-110	-61	-71	6.11	42%	-0.19	-38.7	2.08%	0	-1	32	0
3	Apr_23_2014	106.16	104.64	102.01	102.56	102.62	102.74	100.07(-5.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-36	10	-26	-65	10.97	42%	-0.21	-44.4	2.12%	0	-1.3	30	0
4	Apr_22_2014	106.38	104.98	102.42	102.85	102.86	103.6	105.36(1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	27	50	54	-53	4.28	50%	-0.04	-52.3	1.94%	0	0.1	35	0
5	Apr_21_2014	106.42	105.05	102.32	101.8	101.92	102.5	103.34(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	40	30	-92	2.66	46%	-0.11	-63.3	1.93%	0	-0.5	38	0

6	Apr_17_2014	106.54	105.31	102.47	100.9	101.22	102.11	101.97(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	70	31	-110	3.24	46%	-0.19	-65.6	1.95%	0	-0.9	42	0
7	Apr_16_2014	106.74	105.81	103.17	100.66	100.66	101.33	102.04(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-20	50	12	-117	3.45	46%	-0.19	0	1.99%	0	-1	39	0
8	Apr_15_2014	106.94	106.29	104.03	101.45	100.98	100.33	101.56(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-35	-60	-12	-102	4.75	46%	-0.22	0	2.03%	0	-1.2	43	0
9	Apr_14_2014	107.18	106.83	104.97	101.98	102.04	99.99	100.08(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-77	-140	-68	-105	5.43	46%	-0.32	0	2.04%	0	-1.8	40	0
10	Apr_11_2014	107.52	107.33	105.88	102.95	103.35	101.62	98.86(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-90	-110	-88	-95	7.26	46%	-0.41	0	2.06%	0	-2.4	36	0

11	Apr_10_2014	107.96	107.84	106.72	104.21	104.46	104.1	100.77(-4.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-59	-20	-56	-69	6.2	46%	-0.34	0	2.08%	0	-2.4	36	0
12	Apr_9_2014	108.33	107.84	107.51	105.98	105.63	105.08	105.98(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	-50	-27	-11	3.44	59%	-0.13	0	1.83%	0	41.6	36	0
13	Apr_8_2014	108.47	107.84	107.55	107.04	107.02	104.83	104.19(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-65	-140	-76	-30	4.18	59%	-0.23	0	1.83%	0	40.9	33	0
14	Apr_7_2014	108.72	107.84	107.84	108.47	108.55	106.18	104.93(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-94	-150	-111	-44	4.81	59%	-0.21	0	1.88%	0	43.7	33	0
15	Apr_4_2014	108.95	107.84	108.1	109.27	110	109.2	105.19(-4.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-43	-30	-50	-20	5.02	59%	-0.23	0	1.94%	0	46.1	43	0

16	Apr_3_2014	109.2	107.84	108.47	109.52	110.22	110.92	109.62(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	60	20	8	3.04	76%	0.03	0	1.7%	0	51.5	54	0
17	Apr_2_2014	109.17	107.84	108.67	109.2	109.48	110.79	111.26(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	55	90	64	26	2.89	76%	0.15	0	1.71%	0	50.6	50	0
18	Apr_1_2014	109.01	107.84	108.66	108.16	108.6	109.51	111.34(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	53	70	62	25	3.16	76%	0.17	0	1.78%	0	50.6	50	0
19	Mar_31_2014	108.82	107.84	108.71	107.2	107.76	108.17	108.93(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	40	24	10	4.76	71%	0.01	0	1.75%	0	50	50	0
20	Mar_28_2014	108.81	107.84	108.75	106.84	107.39	107.68	106.46(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	30	6	2	3.25	64%	-0.21	0	1.68%	0	46.7	50	0

21	Mar_27_2014	109.04	107.84	108.96	107.26	107.35	107.34	108(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-13	0	-15	-6	4.55	64%	-0.11	0	1.71%	0	47.8	50	0
22	Mar_26_2014	109.16	107.84	108.96	108.1	108.09	107.11	106.07(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-35	-60	-41	-16	3.84	55%	-0.36	0	1.68%	0	45.1	50	0
23	Mar_25_2014	109.55	107.84	108.96	109.24	109.26	107.37	106.53(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-68	-120	-80	-32	3.86	55%	-0.39	0	1.79%	0	48.2	50	0
24	Mar_24_2014	109.98	107.84	108.96	110.45	110.49	109.07	107.11(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-62	-90	-73	-29	4.45	55%	-0.43	0	1.93%	0	53	50	0
25	Mar_21_2014	110.46	107.84	108.96	110.9	111.44	111.16	108.56(-3.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-11	-0	-13	-5	7.1	55%		0	2.04%	0	61	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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