Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 28, 2017

Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Dec. 21, 2023)

(Applied Materials, Inc.)
AMAT latest price $49.4790 (3.64%) ($47.5534 - $49.7331) on Thu. Sep. 28, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.95% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $49.4790(3.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMAT advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMAT advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(59%)    XHB(53%)    GDXJ(21%)    ARKK(7%)    KWEB(7%)
Factors Impacting AMAT price   AMAT will decline at least -0.975% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-13%)    XLU(-11%)    EMHY(-11%)    INDA(-10%)    XLP(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.975% (StdDev 1.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.82(5.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.68(6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.57(8.58%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   23.7%
Market Cap   $44.531b

Applied Materials, Inc. engages in the provision of materials engineering solutions used to produce new chip and advanced display. It operates through the following segments: Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets. The Semiconductor Systems segment includes semiconductor capital equipment for deposition, etch, ion implantation, rapid thermal processing, chemical mechanical planarization, metrology and inspection, and wafer level packaging. The Applied Global Services segment provides solutions to optimize equipment, performance, and productivity. The Display and Adjacent Markets segment offers products for manufacturing liquid crystal displays, organic light-emitting diodes; coating systems and display technologies for television; personal computers, tablets, smart phones, and consumer-oriented devices. The company was founded on November 10, 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. AMAT price fluctuates within 3.42% (three month std-dev: 1.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 1.72%(42%) Average negative next day return: -5%(58%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 2.24%(47%) Average negative next three day return: -6.61%(53%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 2.52%(37%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.26%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171028

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_28_2017	43.75	45.57	46.68	46.82	46.64	47.78	49.48(3.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	76	160	69	96	22.11	62%	0.18	61.7	1.95%	0	2.5	77	0
2	Sep_27_2017	43.67	45.3	46.31	46.14	46.05	46.05	47.74(6.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	35	-10	25	66	20.36	58%	0.16	66.4	1.92%	0	1.9	67	0
3	Sep_26_2017	43.6	45.06	46.31	45.83	45.85	45.5	44.89(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-13	-50	-32	45	11.09	52%	0.11	60.9	1.8%	0	-0.1	60	0
4	Sep_25_2017	43.55	44.96	46.04	46.29	46.21	46.05	45.29(-3.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	7	-30	-17	79	11.45	52%	0.09	67.9	1.82%	0	0.2	63	0
5	Sep_22_2017	43.51	44.83	45.99	46.63	46.51	46.21	46.69(1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	24	-50	-4	106	5.87	56%	0.16	68	1.78%	0	1.3	67	0

6	Sep_21_2017	43.44	44.63	45.67	46.5	46.68	46.37	46.09(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-30	-12	95	8.53	56%	0.12	68.9	1.78%	0	1	64	0
7	Sep_20_2017	43.39	44.47	45.49	46.48	46.67	46.82	46.21(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	30	6	103	11.02	54%	0.14	68.8	1.78%	0	1.2	62	0
8	Sep_19_2017	43.33	44.33	45.25	46.26	46.39	46.98	47.17(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	54	100	34	112	9.38	58%	0.16	69.4	1.78%	0	2.1	76	0
9	Sep_18_2017	43.26	44.08	44.87	45.75	45.89	46.53	46.97(1.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	57	110	42	100	11.22	58%	0.19	62.7	1.81%	0	2.3	76	0
10	Sep_15_2017	43.18	43.87	44.56	45.26	45.32	45.8	46.08(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	50	80	36	91	13.88	55%	0.14	66.5	1.8%	0	2.1	75	0

11	Sep_14_2017	43.12	43.67	44.35	44.72	44.86	45.25	45.99(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	39	70	27	75	12.34	53%	0.14	60.7	1.81%	0	2.3	70	0
12	Sep_13_2017	43.06	43.53	44.18	44.36	44.42	44.85	45.08(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	70	21	68	7.5	52%	0.14	64.2	1.82%	0	1.8	64	0
13	Sep_12_2017	43	43.41	43.97	44.09	44.17	44.47	44.62(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	50	23	56	7.23	52%	0.12	61.7	1.82%	0	1.6	58	0
14	Sep_11_2017	42.95	43.31	43.78	43.86	43.91	43.99	44.55(2.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	18	20	9	44	8.89	52%	0.14	56	1.82%	0	1.7	65	0
15	Sep_8_2017	42.89	43.18	43.56	43.77	43.72	43.87	43.35(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	20	-4	29	8.13	46%	0.09	54.9	1.92%	0	0.2	52	0

16	Sep_7_2017	42.85	43.07	43.51	43.92	43.8	43.83	44.2(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-0	5	44	8.29	48%	0.16	48.2	1.91%	0	1.3	63	0
17	Sep_6_2017	42.78	42.99	43.39	43.97	43.85	43.56	43.72(0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-50	-3	42	12.12	48%	0.14	59.1	1.91%	0	0.9	52	0
18	Sep_5_2017	42.72	42.94	43.36	43.83	43.87	43.78	43.48(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10	-1	42	9.21	48%	0.16	54.9	1.91%	0	0.7	54	0
19	Sep_1_2017	42.65	42.91	43.24	43.66	43.64	44.13	44.08(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	80	19	41	5.31	50%	0.19	47.3	1.9%	0	1.5	58	0
20	Aug_31_2017	42.57	42.79	43.14	43.31	43.26	43.96	44.1(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	37	110	35	42	9.21	50%	0.16	22	1.9%	0	1.7	61	0

21	Aug_30_2017	42.5	42.67	42.94	43.04	42.85	43.14	44.45(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	28	30	26	35	8.8	50%	0.19	-6.9	1.9%	0	2.4	67	0
22	Aug_29_2017	42.42	42.52	42.8	42.75	42.64	43.14	43.03(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	1	-20	-4	16	6.77	47%	0.12	-53.4	1.86%	0	0.8	52	0
23	Aug_28_2017	42.37	42.51	42.78	42.84	42.77	42.55	42.65(0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-40	-5	19	5.55	47%	0.12	-65.5	1.87%	0	0.2	50	0
24	Aug_25_2017	42.32	42.54	42.79	42.76	42.9	42.73	42.33(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-20	-11	13	6.39	47%	0.12	-76.3	1.87%	0	-0.3	48	0
25	Aug_24_2017	42.27	42.62	42.77	42.93	42.91	42.99	42.73(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	10	-0	27	9.25	47%		-65.7	1.87%	0	0.1	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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