Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 20, 2017

Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Dec. 21, 2023)

(Applied Materials, Inc.)
AMAT latest price $46.0783 (0.15%) ($45.2202 - $46.1661) on Thu. Jul. 20, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.73% (three month average)
RSI   91
Latest Price   $46.0783(0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMAT advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMAT advances 5.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(59%)    XHB(52%)    GDXJ(21%)    ARKK(7%)    KWEB(7%)
Factors Impacting AMAT price   AMAT will decline at least -0.865% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-12%)    XLU(-11%)    EMHY(-11%)    INDA(-9%)    XLP(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.865% (StdDev 1.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.51(1.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.64(3.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.02(7.11%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   19%
Market Cap   $41.47b

Applied Materials, Inc. engages in the provision of materials engineering solutions used to produce new chip and advanced display. It operates through the following segments: Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets. The Semiconductor Systems segment includes semiconductor capital equipment for deposition, etch, ion implantation, rapid thermal processing, chemical mechanical planarization, metrology and inspection, and wafer level packaging. The Applied Global Services segment provides solutions to optimize equipment, performance, and productivity. The Display and Adjacent Markets segment offers products for manufacturing liquid crystal displays, organic light-emitting diodes; coating systems and display technologies for television; personal computers, tablets, smart phones, and consumer-oriented devices. The company was founded on November 10, 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. AMAT price fluctuates within 4.51% (three month std-dev: 1.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 23 Average positive next day return: 1.42%(43%) Average negative next day return: -2.13%(57%) Sample size 23 Average positive next three day return: 2.16%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -3.83%(57%) Sample size 23 Average positive next weekly return: 3.01%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.38%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170820

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_20_2017	40.78	43.02	44.64	45.51	45.44	45.85	46.08(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	72	60	26	211	8.78	60%	0.27	44.6	1.73%	0	1.6	91	INF
2	Jul_19_2017	40.67	42.83	44.16	45.13	45.13	45.47	46.01(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	71	50	29	195	9.53	62%	0.27	41.7	1.74%	0	1.8	75	INF
3	Jul_18_2017	40.56	42.63	43.67	44.76	44.72	45.03	45.46(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	56	50	16	177	6.59	62%	0.25	35.6	1.77%	0	1.7	76	INF
4	Jul_17_2017	40.46	42.49	43.13	44.52	44.52	44.79	45.01(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	59	40	26	159	7.68	63%	0.25	34.4	1.77%	0	1.7	63	INF
5	Jul_14_2017	40.36	42.33	42.66	44.14	44.2	44.4	44.98(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	40	25	124	8.09	63%	0.25	24.7	1.77%	0	1.9	57	INF

6	Jul_13_2017	40.26	42.17	42.2	43.64	43.76	44.25	44.18(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	48	90	33	92	9.04	62%	0.22	1.4	1.78%	0	1.6	58	INF
7	Jul_12_2017	40.17	42.09	41.93	43.01	43.2	44	44.16(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	55	140	51	66	10.4	61%	0.22	-25.5	1.78%	0	1.8	56	INF
8	Jul_11_2017	40.08	42.05	41.58	42.4	42.36	43.27	44.27(2.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	53	150	60	31	13.53	59%	0.1	-48	1.79%	0	1.9	58	INF
9	Jul_10_2017	40.04	41.98	41.33	41.54	41.61	42.41	43.11(1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	35	140	53	-18	10.36	58%	0.23	-83.4	1.78%	0	1.1	48	INF
10	Jul_7_2017	39.95	41.99	41.28	40.98	40.97	41.45	42.46(3.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	15	80	35	-45	10.75	58%	0.2	-103.5	1.77%	0	0.4	52	INF

11	Jul_6_2017	39.87	42.16	41.23	40.57	40.62	40.82	41.07(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	40	7	-76	11.93	56%	0.18	-84	1.73%	0	-0.8	45	INF
12	Jul_5_2017	39.8	42.39	41.37	40.68	40.56	40.49	41.08(2.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	-20	2	-77	10.94	54%	0.33	-68.6	1.73%	0	-0.8	41	INF
13	Jul_3_2017	39.67	42.6	41.49	40.63	40.67	40.41	39.99(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-40	-24	-102	6.52	52%	0.13	-61.7	1.7%	0	-1.5	31	INF
14	Jun_30_2017	39.62	42.88	41.81	41.07	40.95	40.63	40.29(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-49	-60	-35	-90	10.04	52%	0.15	-53.9	1.68%	0	-1.5	36	INF
15	Jun_29_2017	39.56	43.15	42	41.61	41.5	40.94	40.41(-2.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-42	-100	-30	-76	12.36	52%	0.15	-43.9	1.68%	0	-1.6	35	INF

16	Jun_28_2017	39.5	43.38	42.19	41.98	42	41.28	41.63(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-120	-35	-94	14.31	55%	0.2	-37.5	1.64%	0	-1.1	29	INF
17	Jun_27_2017	39.42	43.54	42.32	42.17	42.32	42.07	40.85(-3.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-53	-30	-33	-112	12.73	53%	0.18	-33.1	1.62%	0	-1.8	26	INF
18	Jun_26_2017	39.35	43.73	42.61	42.45	42.57	42.73	42.18(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	30	-2	-103	10.91	56%	0.2	-27.3	1.57%	0	-1.1	34	INF
19	Jun_23_2017	39.27	43.85	42.71	42.66	42.59	42.58	43(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	-10	10	-110	13.95	58%	0.23	-19.6	1.55%	0	-0.6	36	INF
20	Jun_22_2017	39.18	43.9	42.77	42.46	42.63	42.42	42.27(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-20	-4	-144	7.63	57%	0.2	-20.1	1.53%	0	-1.2	31	INF

21	Jun_21_2017	39.1	43.97	43.14	42.43	42.59	42.6	42.54(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-42	10	-9	-139	9.71	54%	0.26	-15.2	1.53%	0	-1.1	39	INF
22	Jun_20_2017	39	44.05	43.47	42.5	42.52	42.85	42.28(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	60	-3	-122	9.08	54%	0.23	-14.8	1.57%	0	-1.4	38	INF
23	Jun_19_2017	38.91	44.05	43.78	42.79	42.65	42.58	43.19(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	-20	8	-100	9.65	57%	0.23	-7.4	1.54%	0	-0.8	44	INF
24	Jun_16_2017	38.82	44.12	44.01	42.8	42.87	42.19	42.04(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-50	-110	-30	-109	10.78	54%	0.26	-4.7	1.51%	0	-1.7	37	INF
25	Jun_15_2017	38.72	44.17	44.38	43.12	42.99	42.73	42.09(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-73	-50	-65	-96	11.52	56%		4.6	1.51%	0	-1.8	42	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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