Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 11, 2017

Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Dec. 21, 2023)

(Applied Materials, Inc.)
AMAT latest price $32.4745 (1.03%) ($31.8244 - $32.4842) on Wed. Jan. 11, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.66% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $32.4745(1.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMAT advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMAT declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(59%)    XHB(52%)    GDXJ(20%)    ARKK(8%)    KWEB(8%)
Factors Impacting AMAT price   AMAT will decline at least -0.83% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLU(-11%)    UUP(-11%)    EMHY(-11%)    XLP(-8%)    SPLV(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.83% (StdDev 1.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.73(2.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.6(2.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.64(2.64%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20.8%
Market Cap   $29.227b

Applied Materials, Inc. engages in the provision of materials engineering solutions used to produce new chip and advanced display. It operates through the following segments: Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets. The Semiconductor Systems segment includes semiconductor capital equipment for deposition, etch, ion implantation, rapid thermal processing, chemical mechanical planarization, metrology and inspection, and wafer level packaging. The Applied Global Services segment provides solutions to optimize equipment, performance, and productivity. The Display and Adjacent Markets segment offers products for manufacturing liquid crystal displays, organic light-emitting diodes; coating systems and display technologies for television; personal computers, tablets, smart phones, and consumer-oriented devices. The company was founded on November 10, 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. AMAT price fluctuates within 1.33% (three month std-dev: 1.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 0.86%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.54%(75%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 1.04%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.88%(50%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 1.13%(42%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.22%(58%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_11_2017	29.46	31.64	31.6	31.73	31.74	32.13	32.47(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	18	90	23	2	10.62	65%	0.14	26.3	1.66%	0	2	59	0
2	Jan_10_2017	29.42	31.57	31.56	31.49	31.48	31.81	32.14(1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	19	70	26	-3	8.75	65%	0.14	16.5	1.69%	0	1.4	58	0
3	Jan_9_2017	29.38	31.53	31.53	31.26	31.3	31.35	31.81(2.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	3	20	11	-20	9.27	65%	0.1	10.5	1.7%	0	0.7	53	0
4	Jan_6_2017	29.35	31.52	31.55	31.16	31.2	31.15	31.09(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10	-9	-35	7.06	63%	0.17	33.1	1.68%	0	-1.1	37	0
5	Jan_5_2017	29.3	31.55	31.6	31.28	31.32	31.15	31.15(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-10	-9	-24	7.29	63%	0.17	47.5	1.68%	0	-1.1	52	0

6	Jan_4_2017	29.25	31.53	31.66	31.44	31.46	31.24	31.28(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-50	-17	-12	9.46	63%	0.17	54.7	1.68%	0	-0.7	54	0
7	Jan_3_2017	29.2	31.5	31.69	31.65	31.7	31.4	30.99(-1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-14	-60	-20	4	13.21	63%	0.27	60.8	1.69%	0	-1.2	52	0
8	Dec_30_2016	29.12	31.49	31.75	31.84	31.97	31.67	31.31(-1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-8	-50	-17	19	5.89	65%	0.17	58.3	1.68%	0	-0.4	51	0
9	Dec_29_2016	29.07	31.39	31.83	31.98	32.05	32.01	31.69(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-0	-9	35	4.47	65%	0.24	35.9	1.69%	0	0.4	49	0
10	Dec_28_2016	29	31.37	31.79	31.96	32.14	32.27	31.92(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	50	10	39	5.39	65%	0.21	39.5	1.69%	0	0.8	55	0

11	Dec_27_2016	28.94	31.33	31.71	31.91	31.99	32.08	32.34(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	30	11	41	5.01	65%	0.35	44.2	1.68%	0	1.5	69	0
12	Dec_23_2016	28.84	31.26	31.58	31.74	31.84	32.01	31.92(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	50	8	35	4.03	61%	0.21	48.5	1.67%	0	1	67	0
13	Dec_22_2016	28.78	31.2	31.52	31.66	31.74	31.9	32.03(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	40	7	39	9.49	61%	0.24	55.3	1.69%	0	1.3	69	0
14	Dec_21_2016	28.71	31.15	31.48	31.67	31.74	31.68	31.61(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-0	7	67	6.52	61%	0.24	74.1	1.69%	0	0.8	76	0
15	Dec_20_2016	28.64	31.1	31.47	31.58	31.69	31.57	31.64(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-20	3	64	8.19	61%	0.21	86.8	1.69%	0	0.9	53	0

16	Dec_19_2016	28.58	31.04	31.38	31.47	31.54	31.71	31.48(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	15	40	2	53	10.39	61%	0.21	99	1.69%	0	0.7	52	0
17	Dec_16_2016	28.52	30.95	31.3	31.39	31.47	31.8	31.54(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	80	18	52	13.34	61%	0.21	101.9	1.69%	0	0.9	55	0
18	Dec_15_2016	28.46	30.86	31.2	31.35	31.25	31.38	32.08(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	20	10	43	11.74	64%	0.21	114.5	1.68%	0	1.8	58	0
19	Dec_14_2016	28.4	30.71	31.2	31.29	31.21	31.13	31.18(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-30	-5	16	10.48	61%	0.21	110.5	1.67%	0	0.6	53	0
20	Dec_13_2016	28.34	30.59	30.92	31.36	31.37	31.12	31.08(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-50	-2	28	6.32	61%	0.18	100	1.67%	0	0.6	54	0

21	Dec_12_2016	28.29	30.45	30.93	31.28	31.36	31.3	31.05(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10	-4	31	7.71	63%	0.21	82.2	1.67%	0	0.6	57	0
22	Dec_9_2016	28.23	30.3	30.91	31.19	31.25	31.62	31.39(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	90	16	46	10.77	59%	0.21	73.5	1.69%	0	1	64	0
23	Dec_8_2016	28.17	30.11	30.86	31.01	31.04	31.43	31.74(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	90	43	58	10.13	59%	0.21	61.1	1.73%	0	1.3	67	0
24	Dec_7_2016	28.11	29.93	30.77	30.5	30.57	30.88	31.54(2.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	80	13	34	12.59	59%	0.25	52.1	1.73%	0	1.3	71	0
25	Dec_6_2016	28.04	29.77	30.68	30.44	30.33	30.66	30.67(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	70	4	50	10.09	57%		55.2	1.7%	0	0.7	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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