Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Dec. 21, 2023)

(Applied Materials, Inc.)
AMAT latest price $32.0767 (2.86%) ($31.0094 - $32.1155) on Thu. Dec. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.68% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $32.0767(2.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMAT advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMAT advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(59%)    XHB(52%)    GDXJ(19%)    ARKK(8%)    KWEB(8%)
Factors Impacting AMAT price   AMAT will decline at least -0.84% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLU(-11%)    UUP(-11%)    EMHY(-11%)    XLP(-8%)    SPLV(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.84% (StdDev 1.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.35(2.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.2(2.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.86(3.94%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.3%
Market Cap   $28.869b

Applied Materials, Inc. engages in the provision of materials engineering solutions used to produce new chip and advanced display. It operates through the following segments: Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets. The Semiconductor Systems segment includes semiconductor capital equipment for deposition, etch, ion implantation, rapid thermal processing, chemical mechanical planarization, metrology and inspection, and wafer level packaging. The Applied Global Services segment provides solutions to optimize equipment, performance, and productivity. The Display and Adjacent Markets segment offers products for manufacturing liquid crystal displays, organic light-emitting diodes; coating systems and display technologies for television; personal computers, tablets, smart phones, and consumer-oriented devices. The company was founded on November 10, 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. AMAT price fluctuates within 2.2% (three month std-dev: 1.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 1.16%(47%) Average negative next day return: -0.74%(53%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 1.44%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.97%(33%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 1.78%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.35%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170115

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_15_2016	28.46	30.86	31.2	31.35	31.25	31.38	32.08(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	20	10	43	11.74	64%	0.21	114.5	1.68%	0	1.8	58	0
2	Dec_14_2016	28.4	30.71	31.2	31.29	31.21	31.13	31.18(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-30	-5	16	10.48	61%	0.21	110.5	1.67%	0	0.6	53	0
3	Dec_13_2016	28.34	30.59	30.92	31.36	31.37	31.12	31.08(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-50	-2	28	6.32	61%	0.18	100	1.67%	0	0.6	54	0
4	Dec_12_2016	28.29	30.45	30.93	31.28	31.36	31.3	31.05(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10	-4	31	7.71	63%	0.21	82.2	1.67%	0	0.6	57	0
5	Dec_9_2016	28.23	30.3	30.91	31.19	31.25	31.62	31.39(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	90	16	46	10.77	59%	0.21	73.5	1.69%	0	1	64	0

6	Dec_8_2016	28.17	30.11	30.86	31.01	31.04	31.43	31.74(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	90	43	58	10.13	59%	0.21	61.1	1.73%	0	1.3	67	0
7	Dec_7_2016	28.11	29.93	30.77	30.5	30.57	30.88	31.54(2.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	80	13	34	12.59	59%	0.25	52.1	1.73%	0	1.3	71	0
8	Dec_6_2016	28.04	29.77	30.68	30.44	30.33	30.66	30.67(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	70	4	50	10.09	57%	0.18	55.2	1.7%	0	0.7	70	0
9	Dec_5_2016	27.99	29.66	30.65	30.55	30.49	30.27	30.59(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	24	-60	4	83	13.04	57%	0.18	58.4	1.7%	0	0.7	73	0
10	Dec_2_2016	27.94	29.5	30.57	30.61	30.57	30.01	30.5(4.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-130	-28	96	15.23	57%	0.18	55.9	1.71%	0	0.8	74	0

11	Dec_1_2016	27.89	29.35	30.5	30.7	30.83	30.71	29.2(-6.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	13	-10	-30	140	25.17	52%	0.18	54.2	1.62%	0	-0.1	72	0
12	Nov_30_2016	27.84	29.28	30.52	31.04	31	31.13	31.24(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	67	30	14	227	14.88	62%	0.22	59.2	1.4%	0	1.4	79	0
13	Nov_29_2016	27.78	29.11	30.26	30.94	30.88	30.95	31.2(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	67	10	14	227	8.98	62%	0.25	60.4	1.4%	0	1.5	72	0
14	Nov_28_2016	27.71	28.95	29.96	30.76	30.79	30.86	30.89(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	67	20	17	215	8.41	62%	0.25	60.6	1.4%	0	1.5	72	0
15	Nov_25_2016	27.64	28.78	29.66	30.53	30.59	30.8	30.93(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	68	50	20	211	4.7	62%	0.44	60	1.4%	0	1.8	78	0

16	Nov_23_2016	27.52	28.62	29.3	30.29	30.31	30.72	30.93(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	78	100	37	202	9.88	65%	0.29	62.7	1.4%	0	2.1	77	0
17	Nov_22_2016	27.44	28.46	29.02	29.91	29.99	30.38	30.73(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	79	100	45	180	8.96	65%	0.15	63.2	1.44%	0	2.4	72	0
18	Nov_21_2016	27.4	28.31	28.78	29.49	29.57	29.9	30.32(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	69	90	41	154	13.08	65%	0.26	65.7	1.45%	0	2.5	67	0
19	Nov_18_2016	27.33	28.19	28.57	29.03	29.15	29.59	29.73(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	50	120	32	105	23.96	69%	0.26	68.9	1.67%	0	2.3	62	0
20	Nov_17_2016	27.26	28.08	28.32	28.66	28.79	29.24	29.72(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	53	120	44	79	19.15	69%	0.26	63.8	1.68%	0	2.8	65	0

21	Nov_16_2016	27.19	27.96	28.08	28.17	28.33	28.72	29.03(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	25	110	23	30	16.1	67%	0.26	57	1.66%	0	2.3	59	0
22	Nov_15_2016	27.12	27.87	27.93	28	28.06	28.35	28.64(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	14	80	15	12	12.68	67%	0.26	48.3	1.65%	0	1.8	56	0
23	Nov_14_2016	27.05	27.79	27.85	27.98	27.97	27.95	28.04(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10	2	6	12.29	65%	0.22	40	1.64%	0	0.6	51	0
24	Nov_11_2016	26.99	27.74	27.86	28.04	28.02	27.78	27.87(2.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-0	-60	-3	8	12.75	65%	0.15	28.3	1.65%	0	0.3	47	0
25	Nov_10_2016	26.95	27.7	27.84	27.93	28.12	27.99	27.25(-3.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-4	-10	-6	1	14.8	63%		4.1	1.63%	0	-1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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