Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Dec. 21, 2023)

(Applied Materials, Inc.)
AMAT latest price $28.5683 (7.08%) ($27.6044 - $28.6647) on Fri. Aug. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.34% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $28.5683(7.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMAT advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMAT advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(59%)    XHB(52%)    IBUY(44%)    GDXJ(19%)    ARKK(9%)
Factors Impacting AMAT price   AMAT will decline at least -1.17% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLU(-10%)    UUP(-10%)    EMHY(-10%)    XLP(-7%)    SPLV(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.17% (StdDev 2.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.85(6.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.38(8.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.96(10.05%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   49.5%
Market Cap   $25.711b

Applied Materials, Inc. engages in the provision of materials engineering solutions used to produce new chip and advanced display. It operates through the following segments: Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets. The Semiconductor Systems segment includes semiconductor capital equipment for deposition, etch, ion implantation, rapid thermal processing, chemical mechanical planarization, metrology and inspection, and wafer level packaging. The Applied Global Services segment provides solutions to optimize equipment, performance, and productivity. The Display and Adjacent Markets segment offers products for manufacturing liquid crystal displays, organic light-emitting diodes; coating systems and display technologies for television; personal computers, tablets, smart phones, and consumer-oriented devices. The company was founded on November 10, 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. AMAT price fluctuates within 2.81% (three month std-dev: 2.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.93%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.12%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.59%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.22%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160919

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_19_2016	22.67	25.96	26.38	26.85	26.85	27.38	28.57(7.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.4	54	140	41	93	53.89	80%	0.35	50.9	2.34%	0	3.6	80	INF
2	Aug_18_2016	22.59	25.79	26.09	26.38	26.43	26.43	26.68(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	10	10	64	20.77	77%	0.31	55.7	2.2%	0	2.1	70	INF
3	Aug_17_2016	22.52	25.72	25.96	26.21	26.3	26.33	26.3(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	20	6	51	10.26	77%	0.31	53.4	2.2%	0	1.5	59	INF
4	Aug_16_2016	22.45	25.68	25.86	26.04	26.16	26.43	26.24(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	90	9	36	6.7	77%	0.27	52.1	2.21%	0	1.6	53	INF
5	Aug_15_2016	22.39	25.64	25.74	25.96	25.98	26.28	26.48(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	18	80	15	27	10.77	77%	0.22	63.6	2.2%	0	2.5	57	INF

6	Aug_12_2016	22.34	25.6	25.62	25.84	25.83	25.89	26.2(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	10	20	8	15	9.85	73%	0.31	86.2	2.2%	0	2.1	59	INF
7	Aug_11_2016	22.27	25.55	25.53	25.77	25.78	25.69	25.85(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-20	2	8	7.6	73%	0.27	109.8	2.22%	0	1.2	57	INF
8	Aug_10_2016	22.21	25.52	25.51	25.68	25.77	25.76	25.46(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	2	10	0	6	6.23	73%	0.27	127.4	2.22%	0	-0.2	55	INF
9	Aug_9_2016	22.15	25.5	25.51	25.64	25.68	25.87	25.82(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	60	11	10	6.92	73%	0.27	124.1	2.2%	0	0.9	51	INF
10	Aug_8_2016	22.09	25.43	25.55	25.48	25.49	25.77	25.86(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	80	13	5	5.75	73%	0.27	107.3	2.2%	0	1	56	INF

11	Aug_5_2016	22.03	25.36	25.51	25.37	25.3	25.5	25.84(1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	8	50	11	-3	6.91	73%	0.32	98.4	2.2%	0	1	52	INF
12	Aug_4_2016	21.96	25.27	25.46	25.27	25.22	25.21	25.42(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-3	-10	0	-13	4.93	73%	0.27	80.8	2.2%	0	0.2	51	INF
13	Aug_3_2016	21.9	25.18	25.45	25.32	25.26	25.1	25.25(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-50	-10	-13	5.62	73%	0.27	73.8	2.21%	0	0.1	53	INF
14	Aug_2_2016	21.84	25.08	25.5	25.46	25.43	25.24	25.03(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-10	-60	-13	0	10.46	73%	0.28	74.6	2.22%	0	-0.1	54	INF
15	Aug_1_2016	21.78	24.99	25.54	25.62	25.63	25.43	25.32(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-50	-7	22	6.46	73%	0.28	87.1	2.21%	0	0.4	66	INF

16	Jul_29_2016	21.72	24.88	25.58	25.66	25.63	25.62	25.34(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-20	-5	39	8.81	73%	0.32	84.5	2.23%	0	0.5	69	INF
17	Jul_28_2016	21.65	24.78	25.59	25.67	25.72	25.84	25.66(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	18	40	4	58	8.24	68%	0.37	78.6	2.23%	0	0.8	77	INF
18	Jul_27_2016	21.57	24.64	25.54	25.6	25.62	25.82	25.93(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	24	60	8	73	10.22	68%	0.37	71.5	2.26%	0	1.2	85	INF
19	Jul_26_2016	21.49	24.45	25.45	25.55	25.5	25.6	25.84(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	28	20	7	90	11.88	68%	0.33	62.5	2.26%	0	1.2	86	INF
20	Jul_25_2016	21.42	24.24	25.32	25.47	25.48	25.42	25.53(0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	24	-20	-1	99	6.86	68%	0.33	51.3	2.27%	0	1	86	INF

21	Jul_22_2016	21.35	24.08	25.19	25.47	25.5	25.4	25.42(0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-30	-4	114	5.29	68%	0.33	51.3	2.27%	0	1	85	INF
22	Jul_21_2016	21.28	23.99	25.06	25.49	25.55	25.54	25.28(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	0	1	129	14.64	68%	0.33	56.4	2.27%	0	1	82	INF
23	Jul_20_2016	21.21	23.88	24.89	25.46	25.5	25.59	25.69(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	41	30	7	142	9.81	68%	0.33	58.8	2.26%	0	1.5	91	INF
24	Jul_19_2016	21.14	23.73	24.64	25.32	25.37	25.56	25.44(-0.79%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	47	60	13	150	16	68%	0.33	59.7	2.26%	0	1.5	93	INF
25	Jul_18_2016	21.07	23.59	24.4	25.13	25.17	25.41	25.64(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	54	70	19	160	13.47	68%		56.7	2.27%	0	1.8	97	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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