Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Dec. 21, 2023)

(Applied Materials, Inc.)
AMAT latest price $24.2406 (0.88%) ($24.0941 - $24.3852) on Mon. Jul. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.27% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $24.2406(0.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMAT advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMAT advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(59%)    XHB(52%)    GDXJ(19%)    ARKK(9%)    KWEB(9%)
Factors Impacting AMAT price   AMAT will decline at least -1.135% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLU(-10%)    UUP(-10%)    EMHY(-10%)    XLP(-7%)    SPLV(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.135% (StdDev 2.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.56(2.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.07(5.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.98(5.49%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   28.8%
Market Cap   $21.817b

Applied Materials, Inc. engages in the provision of materials engineering solutions used to produce new chip and advanced display. It operates through the following segments: Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets. The Semiconductor Systems segment includes semiconductor capital equipment for deposition, etch, ion implantation, rapid thermal processing, chemical mechanical planarization, metrology and inspection, and wafer level packaging. The Applied Global Services segment provides solutions to optimize equipment, performance, and productivity. The Display and Adjacent Markets segment offers products for manufacturing liquid crystal displays, organic light-emitting diodes; coating systems and display technologies for television; personal computers, tablets, smart phones, and consumer-oriented devices. The company was founded on November 10, 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. AMAT price fluctuates within 2.57% (three month std-dev: 2.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.6%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.61%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.55%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.65%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.28%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.34%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160811

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_11_2016	20.7	22.98	23.07	23.56	23.57	24.01	24.24(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	130	23	49	11.03	68%	0.34	14.4	2.27%	0	2.1	61	INF
2	Jul_8_2016	20.63	22.92	22.87	23.32	23.24	23.57	24.03(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	23	90	20	31	14.15	68%	0.39	0.9	2.27%	0	2.1	61	INF
3	Jul_7_2016	20.55	22.89	22.81	23.13	23.03	23.12	23.41(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	10	12	25	10.06	66%	0.34	-11	2.25%	0	1.1	55	INF
4	Jul_6_2016	20.48	22.89	22.77	22.99	22.93	22.9	23.13(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-20	8	17	9.63	66%	0.34	-21	2.26%	0	0.5	53	INF
5	Jul_5_2016	20.41	22.88	22.75	22.79	22.84	22.94	22.98(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	40	14	7	8.75	66%	0.39	-34.8	2.25%	0	0.2	51	INF

6	Jul_1_2016	20.33	22.9	22.73	22.49	22.62	22.96	23.03(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	7	120	14	-16	8.59	66%	0.4	-53.3	2.25%	0	0.3	49	INF
7	Jun_30_2016	20.25	22.92	22.68	22.36	22.33	22.75	23.1(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-3	130	7	-34	10.26	66%	0.4	-52.9	2.23%	0	0.4	48	INF
8	Jun_29_2016	20.17	22.94	22.65	22.47	22.25	22.28	22.71(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	-20	2	-37	13.32	66%	0.4	-39.4	2.24%	0	-0.4	42	INF
9	Jun_28_2016	20.09	22.98	22.66	22.54	22.48	21.91	22.11(2.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-190	-18	-46	13.57	64%	0.3	-28.6	2.23%	0	-1.6	38	INF
10	Jun_27_2016	20.03	23.05	22.74	22.72	22.76	22.23	21.48(-4.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-36	-160	-32	-46	20.47	61%	0.3	-7.2	2.2%	0	-3.1	30	INF

11	Jun_24_2016	19.97	23.16	22.91	22.97	23.03	23.05	22.39(-5.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-12	10	-8	-23	35.72	69%	0.3	32.9	2.15%	0	-2.1	38	INF
12	Jun_23_2016	19.91	23.19	22.99	23.01	23.1	23.3	23.63(2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	9	70	17	-15	10.94	76%	0.35	94.2	2.04%	0	1.4	49	INF
13	Jun_22_2016	19.84	23.15	22.97	22.85	22.9	23	23.1(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	40	6	-32	11.65	73%	0.35	134.8	2.06%	0	-0.2	35	INF
14	Jun_21_2016	19.77	23.13	22.99	22.8	22.9	22.91	22.97(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	30	4	-39	7.72	73%	0.3	175.5	2.06%	0	-0.5	36	INF
15	Jun_20_2016	19.71	23.08	23.02	22.78	22.8	22.79	22.78(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-11	-0	0	-45	13.02	73%	0.31	175.8	2.06%	0	-0.7	30	INF

16	Jun_17_2016	19.65	23.04	23.07	22.84	22.78	22.69	22.58(-1.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-20	-40	-10	-49	22.14	73%	0.36	178.3	2.06%	0	-0.9	23	INF
17	Jun_16_2016	19.58	22.89	23.17	22.97	22.89	22.81	22.83(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-30	-10	-34	12.83	73%	0.36	97.7	2.05%	0	-0.1	53	INF
18	Jun_15_2016	19.51	22.73	23.25	23.11	23.05	22.87	22.84(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-60	-8	-15	13.91	73%	0.31	79	2.05%	0	0.1	55	INF
19	Jun_14_2016	19.45	22.54	23.32	23.21	23.16	22.98	22.88(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-8	-60	-11	0	14.6	73%	0.36	68.5	2.05%	0	0.2	59	INF
20	Jun_13_2016	19.38	22.37	23.39	23.29	23.28	23.23	23.07(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-20	-6	26	11.25	73%	0.36	63.8	2.05%	0	0.4	74	INF

21	Jun_10_2016	19.31	22.17	23.44	23.34	23.34	23.34	23.2(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	0	-3	52	12.63	76%	0.36	59.5	2.07%	0	0.6	79	INF
22	Jun_9_2016	19.24	21.96	23.41	23.4	23.36	23.33	23.54(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	24	-10	-2	103	11.92	76%	0.42	57.5	2.06%	0	0.8	94	INF
23	Jun_8_2016	19.16	21.75	23.34	23.42	23.4	23.35	23.35(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	36	-20	-3	151	8.01	68%	0.42	57.4	2.07%	0	0.8	94	INF
24	Jun_7_2016	19.08	21.54	23.28	23.45	23.47	23.39	23.3(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	48	-20	-3	200	10.48	68%	0.21	57.7	2.13%	0	0.9	94	INF
25	Jun_6_2016	19.04	21.33	23.16	23.49	23.5	23.44	23.3(-0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	58	-20	-5	247	13.55	68%		57.6	2.13%	0	1	90	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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