Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 31, 2016

Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Dec. 21, 2023)

(Applied Materials, Inc.)
AMAT latest price $23.5370 (-0.08%) ($23.2286 - $23.5804) on Tue. May. 31, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.15% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $23.5370(-0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMAT advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMAT advances 10.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(59%)    XHB(52%)    GDXJ(18%)    ARKK(9%)    KWEB(9%)
Factors Impacting AMAT price   AMAT will decline at least -1.075% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-11%)    XLU(-10%)    EMHY(-9%)    XLRE(-6%)    XLP(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.075% (StdDev 2.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.08(1.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.73(8.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.44(15.15%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   30.6%
Market Cap   $21.183b

Applied Materials, Inc. engages in the provision of materials engineering solutions used to produce new chip and advanced display. It operates through the following segments: Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets. The Semiconductor Systems segment includes semiconductor capital equipment for deposition, etch, ion implantation, rapid thermal processing, chemical mechanical planarization, metrology and inspection, and wafer level packaging. The Applied Global Services segment provides solutions to optimize equipment, performance, and productivity. The Display and Adjacent Markets segment offers products for manufacturing liquid crystal displays, organic light-emitting diodes; coating systems and display technologies for television; personal computers, tablets, smart phones, and consumer-oriented devices. The company was founded on November 10, 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. AMAT price fluctuates within 8.81% (three month std-dev: 2.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 2.32%(44%) Average negative next day return: -1.7%(56%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 2.95%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -1.18%(44%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 3.44%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.37%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_31_2016	18.71	20.44	21.73	23.08	23.11	23.37	23.54(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	94	80	23	306	18.8	68%	0.54	49.7	2.15%	0	1.7	87	0
2	May_27_2016	18.61	20.22	21.28	22.77	22.84	23.08	23.56(2.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	92	80	25	294	18.56	70%	0.38	48.5	2.14%	0	2.1	88	0
3	May_26_2016	18.54	20.01	20.8	22.41	22.5	22.84	22.87(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	103	120	44	280	12.33	67%	0.32	45.9	2.13%	0	2	86	0
4	May_25_2016	18.48	19.85	20.39	21.65	22.12	22.6	22.8(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	98	220	56	225	14.76	67%	0.33	33.9	2.13%	0	2.3	86	0
5	May_24_2016	18.42	19.71	20.01	20.92	21.18	22.17	22.64(3.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	87	360	59	170	19.04	67%	0.27	21.5	2.14%	0	2.7	86	0

6	May_23_2016	18.37	19.58	19.64	20.16	20.34	21.64	21.98(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	85	470	74	116	24.85	64%	0.16	2.9	2.11%	0	2.7	78	0
7	May_20_2016	18.34	19.47	19.32	19.57	19.59	20.19	21.75(13.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3	64	220	65	60	53.38	64%	0.27	-22.7	2.09%	0	3.2	73	0
8	May_19_2016	18.29	19.38	19.03	18.99	18.99	19.04	19.11(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	20	9	-34	14.19	53%	0.05	-63.1	1.24%	0	-0.5	33	0
9	May_18_2016	18.28	19.42	19.02	18.93	18.93	18.98	19.12(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	20	-0	-55	10.02	53%	0	-66.7	1.51%	0	-0.5	28	0
10	May_17_2016	18.28	19.48	19.01	18.95	18.94	18.94	18.85(-1.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-24	-0	-4	-84	7.84	58%	0.05	-65.7	1.5%	0	-1.1	14	0

11	May_16_2016	18.27	19.55	19.06	18.95	18.99	18.87	19.05(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-27	-50	-3	-97	7.8	64%	0.05	-59.6	1.52%	0	-0.8	21	0
12	May_13_2016	18.26	19.63	19.1	19.02	19.04	18.93	18.82(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-40	-10	-107	10.18	64%	0	-53.9	1.59%	0	-1.3	25	0
13	May_12_2016	18.26	19.72	19.18	19.07	19.11	19.11	18.84(-1.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-31	10	-4	-110	11.79	67%	0.05	-48	1.6%	0	-1.4	24	0
14	May_11_2016	18.25	19.81	19.29	19.12	19.09	19.14	19.2(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-24	10	4	-106	20.5	66%	0.05	-44.2	1.6%	0	-1	32	0
15	May_10_2016	18.24	19.88	19.41	19.09	19.09	19.1	19.17(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-26	10	1	-105	11.66	66%	0.11	-45.5	1.64%	0	-1.2	29	0

16	May_9_2016	18.22	19.93	19.53	19.11	19.06	19.04	19.09(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	-20	-5	-106	5.62	66%	0.11	-47	1.64%	0	-1.5	26	0
17	May_6_2016	18.2	19.98	19.63	19.19	19.11	19.02	19.07(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-50	-11	-107	7.07	60%	0.11	-48.8	1.71%	0	-1.8	22	0
18	May_5_2016	18.18	20.03	19.75	19.3	19.27	19.07	19.05(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-40	-80	-18	-106	9.27	53%	0.06	-52.1	1.72%	0	-2	24	0
19	May_4_2016	18.17	20.08	19.86	19.49	19.42	19.21	19.05(-1.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-45	-90	-28	-97	12.12	53%	0.11	-50.9	1.82%	0	-2.4	24	0
20	May_3_2016	18.15	20.15	19.99	19.79	19.69	19.47	19.29(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-34	-90	-22	-71	16.63	53%	0.11	-38	1.82%	0	-2.4	31	0

21	May_2_2016	18.13	20.19	20.1	20.01	19.98	19.64	19.49(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-25	-120	-18	-47	11.77	49%	0.11	-20.1	1.82%	0	-2.3	43	0
22	Apr_29_2016	18.11	20.24	20.22	20.14	20.17	19.92	19.64(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-21	-80	-19	-28	14.88	55%	0.11	4.7	1.86%	0	-2.3	45	0
23	Apr_28_2016	18.09	20.28	20.32	20.26	20.17	20.32	19.97(-2.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-4	10	-4	-2	10.88	52%	0.11	44.2	1.97%	0	-1.3	53	0
24	Apr_27_2016	18.07	20.3	20.39	20.28	20.29	20.42	20.56(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	10	50	8	14	9.51	55%	0.11	68.5	1.96%	0	1.2	65	0
25	Apr_26_2016	18.05	20.28	20.38	20.23	20.22	20.25	20.41(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	10	3	11	9.23	58%		61.9	1.97%	0	0.5	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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