Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AMAT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Dec. 21, 2023)

(Applied Materials, Inc.)
AMAT latest price $19.0487 (0%) ($18.9048 - $19.1687) on Thu. May. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.72% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $19.0487(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMAT declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMAT declines -2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(59%)    XHB(52%)    GDXJ(17%)    SMH(10%)    ARKK(9%)
Factors Impacting AMAT price   AMAT will decline at least -0.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-11%)    XLU(-10%)    EMHY(-9%)    XLRE(-6%)    XLP(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.86% (StdDev 1.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $14.88(-21.88%)
Resistance Level   $20.03
5 Day Moving Average   $19.3(-1.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.75(-3.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.03(-4.9%)
To recent high   -7.9%
To recent low   27.6%
Market Cap   $17.144b

Applied Materials, Inc. engages in the provision of materials engineering solutions used to produce new chip and advanced display. It operates through the following segments: Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets. The Semiconductor Systems segment includes semiconductor capital equipment for deposition, etch, ion implantation, rapid thermal processing, chemical mechanical planarization, metrology and inspection, and wafer level packaging. The Applied Global Services segment provides solutions to optimize equipment, performance, and productivity. The Display and Adjacent Markets segment offers products for manufacturing liquid crystal displays, organic light-emitting diodes; coating systems and display technologies for television; personal computers, tablets, smart phones, and consumer-oriented devices. The company was founded on November 10, 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. AMAT price fluctuates within 2.4% (three month std-dev: 1.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 22 Average positive next day return: 1.35%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.89%(50%) Sample size 22 Average positive next three day return: 2.57%(59%) Average negative next three day return: -1.88%(41%) Sample size 22 Average positive next weekly return: 2.39%(64%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.98%(36%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160605

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_5_2016	18.18	20.03	19.75	19.3	19.27	19.07	19.05(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-40	-80	-18	-106	9.27	53%	0.06	-52.1	1.72%	0	-2	24	0
2	May_4_2016	18.17	20.08	19.86	19.49	19.42	19.21	19.05(-1.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-45	-90	-28	-97	12.12	53%	0.11	-50.9	1.82%	0	-2.4	24	0
3	May_3_2016	18.15	20.15	19.99	19.79	19.69	19.47	19.29(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-34	-90	-22	-71	16.63	53%	0.11	-38	1.82%	0	-2.4	31	0
4	May_2_2016	18.13	20.19	20.1	20.01	19.98	19.64	19.49(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-25	-120	-18	-47	11.77	49%	0.11	-20.1	1.82%	0	-2.3	43	0
5	Apr_29_2016	18.11	20.24	20.22	20.14	20.17	19.92	19.64(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-21	-80	-19	-28	14.88	55%	0.11	4.7	1.86%	0	-2.3	45	0

6	Apr_28_2016	18.09	20.28	20.32	20.26	20.17	20.32	19.97(-2.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-4	10	-4	-2	10.88	52%	0.11	44.2	1.97%	0	-1.3	53	0
7	Apr_27_2016	18.07	20.3	20.39	20.28	20.29	20.42	20.56(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	10	50	8	14	9.51	55%	0.11	68.5	1.96%	0	1.2	65	0
8	Apr_26_2016	18.05	20.28	20.38	20.23	20.22	20.25	20.41(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	10	3	11	9.23	58%	0.17	61.9	1.97%	0	0.5	55	0
9	Apr_25_2016	18.02	20.25	20.38	20.21	20.2	20.17	20.09(-0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-10	-8	5	6.77	58%	0.11	46.6	1.98%	0	-0.5	51	0
10	Apr_22_2016	18	20.22	20.35	20.33	20.28	20.19	20.25(0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-40	-6	13	9.14	58%	0.11	54.1	1.98%	0	0.1	49	0

11	Apr_21_2016	17.98	20.18	20.33	20.4	20.38	20.23	20.1(-0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-50	-10	10	8.93	60%	0.11	50	1.99%	0	-0.2	40	0
12	Apr_20_2016	17.96	20.15	20.32	20.51	20.48	20.37	20.29(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-40	-6	15	13.62	60%	0.11	56.2	2%	0	0.4	49	0
13	Apr_19_2016	17.94	20.14	20.31	20.54	20.51	20.53	20.34(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	7	0	2	22	12.24	61%	0.17	69.1	2%	0	0.5	54	0
14	Apr_18_2016	17.91	20.11	20.29	20.49	20.47	20.59	20.69(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	40	10	26	9.35	61%	0.17	75.8	2%	0	1.5	69	0
15	Apr_15_2016	17.88	20.06	20.25	20.37	20.34	20.49	20.6(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	50	11	29	12.35	57%	0.17	75.1	2.01%	0	1.4	74	0

16	Apr_14_2016	17.85	20	20.24	20.24	20.24	20.35	20.61(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	40	11	34	18.15	60%	0.17	76.2	2.1%	0	1.6	74	0
17	Apr_13_2016	17.82	19.94	20.2	20.11	20.16	20.2	20.45(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	20	5	32	8.39	57%	0.17	75.4	2.14%	0	1.3	69	0
18	Apr_12_2016	17.79	19.87	20.17	20.11	20.16	20.2	20.09(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	20	0	30	8.31	57%	0.17	81.6	2.19%	0	0.5	53	0
19	Apr_11_2016	17.76	19.82	20.14	20.06	20.16	20.12	20.09(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	20	-1	29	13.81	57%	0.17	81.6	2.19%	0	0.6	54	0
20	Apr_8_2016	17.73	19.78	20.08	20.11	20.08	20.05	19.95(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10	-6	27	8.67	55%	0.11	90.5	2.19%	0	0.4	56	0

21	Apr_7_2016	17.71	19.73	20.03	20.23	20.16	20.04	19.96(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-50	-6	36	9.18	53%	0.17	92.2	2.22%	0	0.5	60	0
22	Apr_6_2016	17.68	19.65	19.99	20.23	20.24	20.11	20.21(0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-50	-4	45	8.77	50%	0.23	81.1	2.25%	0	1	67	0
23	Apr_5_2016	17.64	19.55	19.96	20.3	20.24	20.28	20.1(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	-0	1	57	8.91	50%	0.17	67.6	2.32%	0	0.9	68	0
24	Apr_4_2016	17.61	19.48	19.93	20.23	20.28	20.37	20.32(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	40	13	68	7.94	50%	0.23	68	2.31%	0	1.3	72	0
25	Apr_1_2016	17.57	19.39	19.87	20.04	20.06	20.29	20.56(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	80	16	61	11.89	50%		64.2	2.31%	0	1.8	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.