Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Dec. 21, 2023)

(Applied Materials, Inc.)
AMAT latest price $19.2263 (2.38%) ($18.8088 - $19.2886) on Fri. Mar. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.37% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $19.2263(2.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMAT advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMAT advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(59%)    XHB(52%)    GDXJ(17%)    SMH(10%)    ARKK(9%)
Factors Impacting AMAT price   AMAT will decline at least -1.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-11%)    XLU(-10%)    EMHY(-9%)    XLP(-6%)    VIXM(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.185% (StdDev 2.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.62(3.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.58(3.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.91(7.35%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   28.8%
Market Cap   $17.304b

Applied Materials, Inc. engages in the provision of materials engineering solutions used to produce new chip and advanced display. It operates through the following segments: Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets. The Semiconductor Systems segment includes semiconductor capital equipment for deposition, etch, ion implantation, rapid thermal processing, chemical mechanical planarization, metrology and inspection, and wafer level packaging. The Applied Global Services segment provides solutions to optimize equipment, performance, and productivity. The Display and Adjacent Markets segment offers products for manufacturing liquid crystal displays, organic light-emitting diodes; coating systems and display technologies for television; personal computers, tablets, smart phones, and consumer-oriented devices. The company was founded on November 10, 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. AMAT price fluctuates within 5.7% (three month std-dev: 2.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 2.39%(41%) Average negative next day return: -1.68%(59%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 2.87%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -3.73%(47%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 2.63%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.21%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160411

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_11_2016	16.99	17.91	18.58	18.62	18.58	18.86	19.23(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	100	15	50	15.39	51%	0.24	79.8	2.37%	0	1.3	74	0
2	Mar_10_2016	16.95	17.71	18.48	18.49	18.45	18.49	18.78(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	10	5	46	15.4	49%	0.18	60.2	2.37%	0	0.9	73	0
3	Mar_9_2016	16.92	17.54	18.41	18.47	18.46	18.31	18.4(2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-60	-6	63	10.11	49%	0.18	51.9	2.37%	0	0.7	81	0
4	Mar_8_2016	16.89	17.39	18.37	18.53	18.53	18.42	18.02(-3.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-40	-10	90	12.9	49%	0.24	47.7	2.35%	0	0.5	80	0
5	Mar_7_2016	16.85	17.27	18.36	18.64	18.6	18.6	18.66(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	37	-10	4	135	9.2	51%	0.18	44.1	2.31%	0	1	94	0

6	Mar_4_2016	16.82	17.13	18.27	18.53	18.57	18.65	18.61(-0.31%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	46	40	6	164	8.93	51%	0.24	40.2	2.31%	0	1.1	95	0
7	Mar_3_2016	16.78	17.04	18.16	18.46	18.46	18.59	18.66(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	57	50	9	201	8.14	50%	0.24	43.8	2.32%	0	1.3	97	0
8	Mar_2_2016	16.74	16.92	17.95	18.35	18.34	18.48	18.7(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	63	50	12	216	11.37	50%	0.3	44.1	2.33%	0	1.5	89	0
9	Mar_1_2016	16.69	16.79	17.72	18.2	18.22	18.33	18.59(2.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	66	50	13	225	10.15	51%	0.24	42.6	2.33%	0	1.6	86	0
10	Feb_29_2016	16.65	16.69	17.46	18.03	18.04	18.21	18.11(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	62	70	7	225	9.63	50%	0.18	44.7	2.31%	0	1.3	82	0

11	Feb_26_2016	16.62	16.62	17.2	17.96	17.93	18.11	18.23(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	64	70	13	218	10.63	50%	0.24	48	2.31%	0	1.6	71	0
12	Feb_25_2016	16.58	16.5	16.88	17.82	17.83	17.87	18.13(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	63	20	21	187	10.1	50%	0.18	46.7	2.32%	0	1.7	60	0
13	Feb_24_2016	16.55	16.4	16.59	17.47	17.73	17.74	17.94(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	50	19	139	10.67	50%	0.24	43.6	2.32%	0	1.8	61	0
14	Feb_23_2016	16.51	16.32	16.33	17.16	17.4	17.79	17.76(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	44	200	25	102	12.06	50%	0.24	41.9	2.32%	0	1.8	62	0
15	Feb_22_2016	16.47	16.23	16.08	16.8	17.02	17.72	17.74(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	50	330	47	58	15.3	50%	0.18	36.9	2.32%	0	2.1	55	0

16	Feb_19_2016	16.44	16.15	15.89	16.32	16.51	17.02	17.54(7.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	40	250	52	5	35.17	50%	0.24	22.6	2.32%	0	2.2	53	0
17	Feb_18_2016	16.4	16.07	15.79	15.79	15.88	16.31	16.39(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	8	210	25	-45	12.87	46%	0.18	4.2	2.14%	0	0.6	55	0
18	Feb_17_2016	16.37	16.03	15.78	15.57	15.53	16	16.36(2.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	5	200	28	-63	11.86	46%	0.12	-10.2	2.15%	0	0.6	50	0
19	Feb_16_2016	16.35	16	15.76	15.37	15.31	15.45	15.96(4.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-11	50	17	-93	22.15	47%	0.31	-22.1	2.13%	0	-0.1	45	0
20	Feb_12_2016	16.3	15.97	15.84	15.27	15.2	15.06	15.33(2.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	-80	-12	-104	8.71	47%	0.12	-32.2	2.15%	0	-1.1	44	0

21	Feb_11_2016	16.28	16.01	15.99	15.41	15.3	15.17	14.93(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-45	-80	-30	-91	11.21	45%	0.06	-29.4	2.13%	0	-2	39	0
22	Feb_10_2016	16.27	16.04	16.1	15.78	15.63	15.33	15.26(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-160	-22	-57	13.05	46%	0.06	-24.7	2.11%	0	-1.6	45	0
23	Feb_9_2016	16.26	16.08	16.22	16.03	15.96	15.42	15.37(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-27	-250	-27	-25	13.84	46%	0	-27.4	2.11%	0	-1.5	51	0
24	Feb_8_2016	16.26	16.12	16.34	16.21	16.26	15.94	15.45(-3.69%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.7	-24	-130	-33	3	15.38	46%	0.06	-35.5	2.12%	0	-1.5	51	0
25	Feb_5_2016	16.25	16.15	16.43	16.49	16.48	16.51	16.04(-4.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	4	10	-13	54	16.15	48%		-38.1	2.07%	0	-0.3	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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