Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 15, 2015

Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Dec. 21, 2023)

(Applied Materials, Inc.)
AMAT latest price $21.1710 (1.6%) ($20.7039 - $21.3165) on Wed. Apr. 15, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.69% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $21.1710(1.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMAT advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMAT declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(59%)    XHB(52%)    GDXJ(17%)    SMH(13%)    IBB(12%)
Factors Impacting AMAT price   AMAT will decline at least -0.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    UUP(-8%)    XLU(-7%)    EMHY(-7%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.845% (StdDev 1.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

Resistance Level   $21.41
5 Day Moving Average   $21.05(0.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.97(0.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.41(-1.12%)
To recent high   -12%
To recent low   2.6%
Market Cap   $19.054b

Applied Materials, Inc. engages in the provision of materials engineering solutions used to produce new chip and advanced display. It operates through the following segments: Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets. The Semiconductor Systems segment includes semiconductor capital equipment for deposition, etch, ion implantation, rapid thermal processing, chemical mechanical planarization, metrology and inspection, and wafer level packaging. The Applied Global Services segment provides solutions to optimize equipment, performance, and productivity. The Display and Adjacent Markets segment offers products for manufacturing liquid crystal displays, organic light-emitting diodes; coating systems and display technologies for television; personal computers, tablets, smart phones, and consumer-oriented devices. The company was founded on November 10, 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. AMAT price fluctuates within 3.27% (three month std-dev: 1.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150515

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_15_2015	22.4	21.41	20.97	21.05	20.98	20.91	21.17(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-30	1	-15	15.02	49%	-0.04	-52.6	1.69%	0	-0.3	48	INF
2	Apr_14_2015	22.41	21.48	20.96	21.01	20.98	20.94	20.84(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-20	-1	-38	12.36	49%	-0.04	-47	1.68%	0	-0.9	26	INF
3	Apr_13_2015	22.42	21.59	21.01	20.97	20.99	21.05	20.96(-0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-12	20	3	-57	8.91	49%	0	-43.4	1.69%	0	-0.8	26	INF
4	Apr_10_2015	22.42	21.68	21.06	20.94	20.91	21.04	21.12(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	40	7	-76	12.04	46%	0	-42.3	1.71%	0	-0.7	26	INF
5	Apr_9_2015	22.42	21.74	21.06	20.9	20.91	20.93	21.13(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	20	6	-104	14.37	46%	0	-46.2	1.72%	0	-0.7	27	INF

6	Apr_8_2015	22.42	21.79	21.05	20.88	20.83	20.78	21.01(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-35	-20	-2	-134	18.05	50%	-0.04	-51.9	1.72%	0	-1	23	INF
7	Apr_7_2015	22.43	21.84	21.18	20.91	20.89	20.74	20.64(-0.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-46	-50	-14	-140	28.79	48%	0	-57.7	1.75%	0	-1.5	19	INF
8	Apr_6_2015	22.43	21.94	21.36	21.06	21.01	20.89	20.8(-0.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-45	-50	-14	-137	32.22	44%	0.04	-64.3	1.76%	0	-1.5	18	INF
9	Apr_2_2015	22.42	22.03	21.54	21.18	21.19	21.04	20.91(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-50	-5	-120	9.28	42%	0	-71.4	1.84%	0	-1.6	26	INF
10	Apr_1_2015	22.42	22.12	21.71	21.21	21.25	21.13	21.02(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-30	-7	-117	16.06	42%	0	-80.2	1.84%	0	-1.7	36	INF

11	Mar_31_2015	22.42	22.22	21.89	21.25	21.22	21.33	21.18(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	30	-16	-107	13.75	42%	0	-88	1.86%	0	-1.7	43	INF
12	Mar_30_2015	22.42	22.31	22.05	21.5	21.38	21.37	21.38(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-20	-9	-78	19.36	42%	0.04	-77	1.86%	0	-1.3	44	INF
13	Mar_27_2015	22.41	22.44	22.22	21.73	21.65	21.12	21.43(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-180	-25	-62	20.15	42%	0	-65.7	1.85%	0	-1.5	38	INF
14	Mar_26_2015	22.41	22.54	22.35	21.97	21.99	21.39	21.03(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-45	-190	-44	-48	34.67	40%	0	-59	1.84%	0	-2.3	36	INF
15	Mar_25_2015	22.41	22.67	22.5	22.29	22.43	22.17	21.24(-5.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-28	-60	-30	-22	25.74	40%	0.04	-52.7	1.84%	0	-2.4	35	INF

16	Mar_24_2015	22.4	22.79	22.6	22.61	22.65	22.59	22.43(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-10	-6	5	11.83	44%	0.09	-34.3	1.73%	0	-0.7	45	INF
17	Mar_23_2015	22.38	22.85	22.57	22.67	22.67	22.68	22.5(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	0	-8	-4	11.44	44%	0.09	-22.4	1.73%	0	-0.7	42	INF
18	Mar_20_2015	22.36	22.9	22.58	22.78	22.72	22.72	22.64(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	-10	-1	-11	17.35	46%	0.13	-10	1.74%	0	-0.5	32	INF
19	Mar_19_2015	22.33	22.94	22.56	22.81	22.77	22.66	22.61(-1.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-4	-40	2	-23	9.7	46%	0.09	-0.8	1.75%	0	-0.6	40	INF
20	Mar_18_2015	22.31	22.98	22.57	22.75	22.75	22.72	22.88(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10	7	-36	23.02	49%	0.18	2.1	1.74%	0	-0.2	44	INF

21	Mar_17_2015	22.27	22.98	22.55	22.58	22.62	22.87	22.72(-1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	80	12	-59	12.97	51%	0.13	-7.1	1.77%	0	-0.5	40	INF
22	Mar_16_2015	22.24	22.97	22.57	22.45	22.45	22.78	23.07(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-5	100	19	-77	12.94	53%	0.14	-8.2	1.79%	0	0.2	40	INF
23	Mar_13_2015	22.21	22.95	22.65	22.36	22.29	22.37	22.76(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-12	20	11	-81	14.83	53%	0.18	-12.5	1.79%	0	-0.3	43	INF
24	Mar_12_2015	22.17	22.94	22.72	22.29	22.26	22.12	22.32(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-50	-9	-97	14.31	51%	0.14	-14.1	1.78%	0	-1.1	36	INF
25	Mar_11_2015	22.14	22.97	22.83	22.37	22.36	22.22	22.02(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-50	-15	-95	16.24	51%		-5.7	1.78%	0	-1.7	36	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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