Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Dec. 21, 2023)

(Applied Materials, Inc.)
AMAT latest price $22.6168 (0.75%) ($22.3445 - $22.7107) on Mon. Mar. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.78% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $22.6168(0.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMAT declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMAT declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(59%)    XHB(52%)    GDXJ(17%)    SMH(14%)    IBB(12%)
Factors Impacting AMAT price   AMAT will decline at least -0.89% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    UUP(-8%)    XLU(-7%)    EMHY(-7%)    SHY(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.89% (StdDev 1.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

Resistance Level   $23.02
5 Day Moving Average   $22.71(-0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.16(-2.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.02(-1.75%)
To recent high   -6%
To recent low   5.9%
Market Cap   $20.355b

Applied Materials, Inc. engages in the provision of materials engineering solutions used to produce new chip and advanced display. It operates through the following segments: Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets. The Semiconductor Systems segment includes semiconductor capital equipment for deposition, etch, ion implantation, rapid thermal processing, chemical mechanical planarization, metrology and inspection, and wafer level packaging. The Applied Global Services segment provides solutions to optimize equipment, performance, and productivity. The Display and Adjacent Markets segment offers products for manufacturing liquid crystal displays, organic light-emitting diodes; coating systems and display technologies for television; personal computers, tablets, smart phones, and consumer-oriented devices. The company was founded on November 10, 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. AMAT price fluctuates within 2.3% (three month std-dev: 1.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.76%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.36%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.2%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.93%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150409

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_9_2015	22.07		23.16	22.71	22.64	22.5	22.62(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-50	-21	-46	9.92	51%	0.18	23.5	1.78%	0	-0.8	52	0
2	Mar_6_2015	22.03	23.02	23.24	23	22.87	22.62	22.45(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-90	-19	-13	18.04	48%	0.18	50.4	1.81%	0	-1.1	51	0
3	Mar_5_2015	21.99	23.03	23.36	23.21	23.18	22.77	22.7(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-10	-130	-19	17	10.05	50%	0.23	65.7	1.82%	0	-0.6	55	0
4	Mar_4_2015	21.94	23	23.36	23.35	23.36	23.12	22.79(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-8	-70	-22	36	12.45	50%	0.23	71.6	1.85%	0	-0.4	54	0
5	Mar_3_2015	21.89	22.97	23.44	23.5	23.49	23.59	22.99(-4.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	7	30	-9	54	18.99	53%	0.23	72.9	1.85%	0	0	56	0

6	Mar_2_2015	21.84	22.89	23.42	23.67	23.54	23.6	24.06(2.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	32	0	13	89	17.09	56%	0.28	62.4	1.8%	0	1.7	80	0
7	Feb_27_2015	21.78	22.76	23.28	23.53	23.54	23.4	23.52(0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	17	-40	-3	75	13.29	55%	0.23	49	1.76%	0	1.1	61	0
8	Feb_26_2015	21.73	22.68	23.19	23.53	23.51	23.48	23.39(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-10	-5	79	21.34	57%	0.14	44.7	1.77%	0	1	63	0
9	Feb_25_2015	21.7	22.61	23.12	23.55	23.57	23.62	23.57(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	20	14	96	11.74	57%	0.23	39.7	1.8%	0	1.4	69	0
10	Feb_24_2015	21.65	22.53	23.03	23.36	23.43	23.54	23.81(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	40	16	94	13.38	57%	0.23	33.3	1.79%	0	1.9	73	0

11	Feb_23_2015	21.6	22.46	22.85	23.13	23.18	23.52	23.39(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	110	16	86	14.2	55%	0.19	32.2	1.79%	0	1.6	76	0
12	Feb_20_2015	21.56	22.41	22.77	22.98	22.97	23.33	23.59(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	45	110	27	97	23.56	55%	0.23	33.9	1.79%	0	2.1	79	0
13	Feb_19_2015	21.51	22.38	22.65	22.78	22.75	22.85	23.41(3.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	33	30	17	82	29.23	55%	0.19	39.9	1.79%	0	2.1	63	0
14	Feb_18_2015	21.47	22.33	22.51	22.64	22.57	22.61	22.63(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	16	0	-2	70	11.43	53%	0.14	44.6	1.74%	0	0.7	60	0
15	Feb_17_2015	21.44	22.31	22.44	22.65	22.58	22.65	22.65(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	27	10	11	76	12.95	53%	0.14	46	1.74%	0	0.8	57	0

16	Feb_13_2015	21.41	22.27	22.32	22.65	22.52	22.53	22.64(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	0	3	44	12.98	53%	0.14	30.7	1.75%	0	0.8	49	0
17	Feb_12_2015	21.38	22.23	22.2	22.52	22.4	22.5	22.57(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	20	1	28	19.82	53%	0.09	22.8	1.75%	0	0.8	50	0
18	Feb_11_2015	21.36	22.18	22.15	22.48	22.47	22.51	22.68(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	10	14	18	14.9	53%	0.14	16	1.74%	0	1.1	45	0
19	Feb_10_2015	21.33	22.13	22.06	22.37	22.36	22.3	22.7(3.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	-20	6	-8	11.14	53%	0.09	10.1	1.75%	0	1.2	49	0
20	Feb_9_2015	21.31	22.1	21.99	22.21	22.28	22.3	21.98(-2.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	1	60	9	-23	11.72	50%	0.05	-4	1.7%	0	-0.3	50	0

21	Feb_6_2015	21.3	22.1	22.05	22.09	22.14	22.43	22.66(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	19	100	30	-16	16.9	53%	0.09	-17.8	1.66%	0	1.2	58	0
22	Feb_5_2015	21.28	22.13	22.02	21.83	21.8	22.13	22.4(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	2	100	15	-36	13.21	55%	0.05	-39.9	1.65%	0	0.6	57	0
23	Feb_4_2015	21.27	22.1	22.07	21.76	21.67	21.85	22.08(0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	50	14	-21	14.64	55%	0.09	-61.3	1.67%	0	-0	58	0
24	Feb_3_2015	21.25	22.09	22.13	21.72	21.63	21.47	21.92(2.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-8	-60	-4	-19	11.81	55%	0.05	-81.7	1.67%	0	-0.4	52	0
25	Feb_2_2015	21.24	22.12	22.15	21.74	21.75	21.48	21.37(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-90	-28	-28	14.15	52%		-88.2	1.64%	0	-1.6	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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