Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 30, 2015

Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Dec. 21, 2023)

(Applied Materials, Inc.)
AMAT latest price $21.3544 (-3.3%) ($21.3076 - $22.1771) on Fri. Jan. 30, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $21.3544(-3.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMAT declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMAT declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(59%)    XHB(52%)    GDXJ(16%)    SMH(14%)    IBB(12%)
Factors Impacting AMAT price   AMAT will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    UUP(-8%)    XLU(-7%)    EMHY(-7%)    SHY(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.4%

Resistance Level   $22.22
5 Day Moving Average   $22(-2.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.22(-3.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.22(-3.9%)
To recent high   -10.1%
To recent low   7.5%
Market Cap   $19.219b

Applied Materials, Inc. engages in the provision of materials engineering solutions used to produce new chip and advanced display. It operates through the following segments: Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets. The Semiconductor Systems segment includes semiconductor capital equipment for deposition, etch, ion implantation, rapid thermal processing, chemical mechanical planarization, metrology and inspection, and wafer level packaging. The Applied Global Services segment provides solutions to optimize equipment, performance, and productivity. The Display and Adjacent Markets segment offers products for manufacturing liquid crystal displays, organic light-emitting diodes; coating systems and display technologies for television; personal computers, tablets, smart phones, and consumer-oriented devices. The company was founded on November 10, 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. AMAT price fluctuates within 2.3% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 0.99%(45%) Average negative next day return: -0.84%(55%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 1.66%(30%) Average negative next three day return: -1.57%(70%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 1.49%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.2%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150302

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_30_2015	21.23	22.22	22.22	22	21.97	21.8	21.35(-3.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-20	-60	-23	-12	13.07	56%	0	-70.9	1.7%	0	-1.7	38	INF
2	Jan_29_2015	21.23	22.31	22.28	22.24	22.19	22.03	22.08(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-60	-17	-1	8.52	59%	0.05	-67	1.64%	0	-0.5	43	INF
3	Jan_28_2015	21.22	22.38	22.23	22.42	22.39	22.15	21.85(-0.83%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-12	-80	-19	10	10.84	59%	0.05	-52.7	1.64%	0	-1	51	INF
4	Jan_27_2015	21.21	22.47	22.24	22.6	22.54	22.35	22.04(-2.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	0	-70	-10	31	13.43	59%	0.05	-37.6	1.64%	0	-0.7	55	INF
5	Jan_26_2015	21.2	22.54	22.25	22.61	22.62	22.62	22.66(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	0	7	34	7.79	63%	0.09	-33.1	1.6%	0	0.2	50	INF

6	Jan_23_2015	21.18	22.58	22.25	22.47	22.49	22.72	22.54(-2.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	70	16	14	13.22	64%	0.05	-32.6	1.6%	0	-0.1	42	INF
7	Jan_22_2015	21.17	22.64	22.24	22.32	22.26	22.62	23.02(1.23%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	24	110	33	-3	12.54	67%	0.09	-28.5	1.58%	0	0.5	45	INF
8	Jan_21_2015	21.15	22.67	22.13	22.02	22.05	22.26	22.74(2.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	5	70	26	-59	13.11	70%	0.05	-27.6	1.59%	0	0.1	40	INF
9	Jan_20_2015	21.14	22.69	22.02	22.02	21.82	21.9	22.09(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-28	20	1	-115	13.69	68%	0.05	-25.9	1.61%	0	-0.8	32	INF
10	Jan_16_2015	21.13	22.76	22.07	21.84	21.85	21.85	21.94(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	0	-8	-135	16.73	69%	0.05	-19.3	1.6%	0	-1	32	INF

11	Jan_15_2015	21.12	22.81	22.19	21.99	22	21.74	21.81(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-80	-15	-129	26.53	69%	0.05	-11.1	1.62%	0	-1.3	30	INF
12	Jan_14_2015	21.11	22.84	22.34	22.15	22.16	21.84	21.52(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-48	-100	-22	-127	21.95	71%	0	-8.6	1.61%	0	-1.8	25	INF
13	Jan_13_2015	21.11	22.87	22.54	22.24	22.38	22.26	21.81(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-20	-4	-115	14.42	65%	0.09	-11.4	1.62%	0	-1.6	27	INF
14	Jan_12_2015	21.09	22.9	22.73	22.22	22.3	22.48	22.12(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	70	-4	-106	12.58	65%	0.05	-20.8	1.72%	0	-1.2	38	INF
15	Jan_9_2015	21.08	22.91	22.87	22.31	22.25	22.49	22.66(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-21	70	2	-91	8.74	62%	0.09	-20.9	1.81%	0	-0.4	41	INF

16	Jan_8_2015	21.06	22.89	22.96	22.45	22.34	22.13	22.64(3.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	-80	-7	-76	16.7	64%	0.14	-19.9	1.82%	0	-0.4	49	INF
17	Jan_7_2015	21.03	22.9	23.07	22.58	22.56	22.02	21.94(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-42	-170	-36	-60	15.71	62%	0.05	-11.4	1.84%	0	-1.4	50	INF
18	Jan_6_2015	21.02	22.95	23.25	22.91	22.96	22.54	21.74(-3.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-32	-120	-38	-12	19.69	62%	0.05	4.8	1.85%	0	-1.8	54	INF
19	Jan_5_2015	21.01	23.03	23.43	23.29	23.3	23.1	22.59(-3.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-5	-60	-20	42	11.42	67%	0.1	29.8	1.78%	0	-0.7	60	INF
20	Jan_2_2015	20.99	23.05	23.52	23.49	23.46	23.39	23.34(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-20	-7	82	6.91	68%	0.29	43	1.73%	0	0.5	69	INF

21	Dec_31_2014	20.93	23.03	23.48	23.54	23.55	23.49	23.3(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	19	-20	-7	97	7.01	64%	0.19	57.4	1.75%	0	0.5	68	INF
22	Dec_30_2014	20.89	22.98	23.39	23.63	23.61	23.53	23.58(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	-30	-5	99	6.55	64%	0.19	65.9	1.79%	0	1	60	INF
23	Dec_29_2014	20.85	22.91	23.23	23.66	23.61	23.61	23.66(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	25	-20	1	96	5.89	64%	0.19	73.7	1.79%	0	1.2	63	INF
24	Dec_26_2014	20.81	22.85	23.08	23.59	23.68	23.68	23.55(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	10	1	74	4.06	64%	0.29	83.7	1.79%	0	1.2	50	INF
25	Dec_24_2014	20.75	22.79	22.96	23.55	23.6	23.76	23.61(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	50	11	69	2.88	63%		95.6	1.8%	0	1.4	57	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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