Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Dec. 21, 2023)

(Applied Materials, Inc.)
AMAT latest price $23.7479 (2.05%) ($23.2991 - $23.8133) on Mon. Dec. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.82% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $23.7479(2.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMAT advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMAT advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(59%)    XHB(52%)    GDXJ(16%)    SMH(14%)    IBB(12%)
Factors Impacting AMAT price   AMAT will decline at least -0.91% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-8%)    XLU(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    EMHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.91% (StdDev 1.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.11(2.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.71(4.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.59(5.13%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   34.9%
Market Cap   $21.373b

Applied Materials, Inc. engages in the provision of materials engineering solutions used to produce new chip and advanced display. It operates through the following segments: Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets. The Semiconductor Systems segment includes semiconductor capital equipment for deposition, etch, ion implantation, rapid thermal processing, chemical mechanical planarization, metrology and inspection, and wafer level packaging. The Applied Global Services segment provides solutions to optimize equipment, performance, and productivity. The Display and Adjacent Markets segment offers products for manufacturing liquid crystal displays, organic light-emitting diodes; coating systems and display technologies for television; personal computers, tablets, smart phones, and consumer-oriented devices. The company was founded on November 10, 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. AMAT price fluctuates within 2.48% (three month std-dev: 1.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 0.54%(28%) Average negative next day return: -0.81%(72%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 0.93%(39%) Average negative next three day return: -1.34%(61%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 1.71%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.49%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2014	20.67	22.59	22.71	23.11	23.16	23.44	23.75(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	31	90	28	38	17.58	60%	0.24	87.5	1.82%	0	2.1	62	0
2	Dec_19_2014	20.62	22.47	22.71	22.74	22.8	23.3	23.27(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	24	160	27	13	14.8	59%	0.15	71.4	1.84%	0	1.5	61	0
3	Dec_18_2014	20.59	22.37	22.59	22.51	22.48	22.89	23.38(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	26	120	32	9	18.58	59%	0.19	56.8	1.84%	0	1.7	58	0
4	Dec_17_2014	20.55	22.26	22.59	22.28	22.22	22.29	22.86(2.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	7	10	13	-11	17.43	58%	0.15	47	1.82%	0	1	56	0
5	Dec_16_2014	20.52	22.18	22.52	22.15	22.18	22.08	22.3(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-30	-9	-14	25.51	57%	0.15	42.1	1.8%	0	0.2	58	0

6	Dec_15_2014	20.49	22.11	22.53	22.26	22.28	22.15	21.87(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-11	-40	-14	0	14.97	55%	0.1	42.9	1.79%	0	-0.4	55	0
7	Dec_12_2014	20.47	22.09	22.57	22.42	22.43	22.28	22.12(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-9	-50	-20	23	14.27	53%	0.1	50.5	1.79%	0	0	61	0
8	Dec_11_2014	20.45	22.04	22.62	22.68	22.64	22.41	22.24(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-80	-13	66	7.74	55%	0.1	59.5	1.82%	0	0.3	65	0
9	Dec_10_2014	20.43	21.98	22.63	22.79	22.84	22.58	22.23(-2.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	10	-70	-17	90	10.68	55%	0.1	61.3	1.85%	0	0.3	65	0
10	Dec_9_2014	20.41	21.92	22.59	22.94	22.84	22.87	22.83(0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	30	-20	-1	121	13.24	57%	0.05	67.8	1.82%	0	1.2	71	0

11	Dec_8_2014	20.4	21.83	22.49	22.84	22.96	23.1	22.66(-3.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	41	60	10	132	18.68	57%	0.1	68.8	1.82%	0	1.1	73	0
12	Dec_5_2014	20.38	21.74	22.37	22.74	22.76	23.04	23.41(2.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	47	90	18	135	19.27	60%	0.1	68.1	1.77%	0	2.2	77	0
13	Dec_4_2014	20.36	21.61	22.14	22.56	22.56	22.83	22.81(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	80	18	125	10.15	57%	0.1	79	1.75%	0	1.8	75	0
14	Dec_3_2014	20.34	21.52	21.97	22.46	22.4	22.48	22.99(3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	47	20	21	123	17.47	57%	0.05	89.9	1.76%	0	2.4	79	0
15	Dec_2_2014	20.33	21.4	21.79	22.21	22.24	22.29	22.32(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	20	8	103	10.58	54%	0.05	95.3	1.72%	0	1.7	73	0

16	Dec_1_2014	20.32	21.31	21.65	22.09	22.09	22.33	22.2(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	80	17	96	10.26	54%	0.05	105.3	1.72%	0	1.7	70	0
17	Nov_28_2014	20.31	21.23	21.55	21.92	21.89	22.19	22.49(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	44	90	28	93	9.71	54%	0	110.6	1.72%	0	2.5	78	0
18	Nov_26_2014	20.31	21.1	21.4	21.66	21.65	21.86	22.32(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	37	70	26	70	14.86	56%	0.1	94.8	1.72%	0	2.3	72	0
19	Nov_25_2014	20.29	20.98	21.26	21.42	21.4	21.58	21.71(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	60	12	42	8.72	53%	0	94.2	1.69%	0	1.4	64	0
20	Nov_24_2014	20.29	20.88	21.18	21.32	21.28	21.44	21.73(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	50	18	42	13.51	53%	0.05	86.7	1.69%	0	1.5	73	0

21	Nov_21_2014	20.28	20.78	21.11	21.16	21.18	21.21	21.37(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	10	6	29	9.89	53%	0.05	83.9	1.68%	0	1	65	0
22	Nov_20_2014	20.27	20.69	21.06	21.13	21.09	21.12	21.16(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	8	0	1	30	9.4	53%	0	85.8	1.68%	0	0.8	64	0
23	Nov_19_2014	20.27	20.61	21.05	21.11	21.09	21.15	21.12(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	20	5	49	9.93	53%	0	84.9	1.69%	0	0.8	74	0
24	Nov_18_2014	20.27	20.51	21.04	21.07	21.06	21.06	21.2(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-0	5	62	9.72	52%	0	87.4	1.69%	0	1	72	0
25	Nov_17_2014	20.27	20.42	20.98	21.03	21.03	20.98	20.92(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-20	-4	68	11.37	52%		87	1.69%	0	0.6	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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