Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 11, 2014

Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Dec. 21, 2023)

(Applied Materials, Inc.)
AMAT latest price $20.9802 (-0.4%) ($20.8601 - $21.2035) on Tue. Nov. 11, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.85% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $20.9802(-0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMAT advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMAT advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(59%)    XHB(52%)    GDXJ(15%)    SMH(14%)    QQQ(12%)
Factors Impacting AMAT price   AMAT will decline at least -0.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-7%)    XLU(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    EMHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.925% (StdDev 1.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $21(-0.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.69(1.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.92(5.32%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   19.2%
Market Cap   $18.882b

Applied Materials, Inc. engages in the provision of materials engineering solutions used to produce new chip and advanced display. It operates through the following segments: Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets. The Semiconductor Systems segment includes semiconductor capital equipment for deposition, etch, ion implantation, rapid thermal processing, chemical mechanical planarization, metrology and inspection, and wafer level packaging. The Applied Global Services segment provides solutions to optimize equipment, performance, and productivity. The Display and Adjacent Markets segment offers products for manufacturing liquid crystal displays, organic light-emitting diodes; coating systems and display technologies for television; personal computers, tablets, smart phones, and consumer-oriented devices. The company was founded on November 10, 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. AMAT price fluctuates within 5.02% (three month std-dev: 1.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 1.9%(47%) Average negative next day return: -1.03%(53%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 2.75%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -2.3%(60%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 3.69%(47%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.53%(53%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_11_2014	20.26	19.92	20.69	21	21	21.04	20.98(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	37	10	7	125	8.12	57%	0	62.7	1.85%	0	1.1	84	INF
2	Nov_10_2014	20.26	19.77	20.57	20.91	20.95	20.97	21.06(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	36	10	6	126	10.65	57%	0	53.2	1.85%	0	1.2	78	INF
3	Nov_7_2014	20.26	19.6	20.43	20.83	20.83	20.96	20.88(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	40	5	136	8.22	55%	0	45.8	1.85%	0	1.2	82	INF
4	Nov_6_2014	20.26	19.48	20.29	20.77	20.78	20.92	21.03(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	54	50	20	155	11.77	55%	0	42.3	1.87%	0	1.6	85	INF
5	Nov_5_2014	20.26	19.39	20.13	20.54	20.64	20.7	21.05(2.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	50	30	17	149	10.38	55%	0	40.3	1.88%	0	1.8	86	INF

6	Nov_4_2014	20.26	19.31	19.94	20.33	20.38	20.64	20.55(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	100	13	148	12.06	53%	0	38.2	1.87%	0	1.5	86	INF
7	Nov_3_2014	20.26	19.22	19.81	20.17	20.19	20.57	20.67(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	62	130	28	165	11.65	53%	0	28.7	1.87%	0	1.8	89	INF
8	Oct_31_2014	20.26	19.14	19.61	19.95	19.94	20.12	20.56(3.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	58	60	23	163	18.06	53%	0	16.5	1.87%	0	2	90	INF
9	Oct_30_2014	20.26	19.07	19.41	19.75	19.71	19.8	19.86(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	30	7	145	13.32	50%	0	3	1.83%	0	1.2	67	INF
10	Oct_29_2014	20.26	19.02	19.27	19.67	19.67	19.75	19.99(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	30	16	129	11.03	50%	0	-6.9	1.83%	0	1.5	53	INF

11	Oct_28_2014	20.26	18.99	19.09	19.48	19.56	19.61	19.77(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	30	7	85	10.94	50%	-0.05	-21.4	1.82%	0	1.2	49	INF
12	Oct_27_2014	20.27	19	18.91	19.4	19.45	19.59	19.58(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	60	15	66	10.46	50%	-0.05	-24.4	1.82%	0	0.9	55	INF
13	Oct_24_2014	20.28	19.02	18.72	19.22	19.33	19.51	19.54(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	80	22	26	19.8	48%	0	-31.4	1.85%	0	0.7	52	INF
14	Oct_23_2014	20.28	19.05	18.6	19.01	19.05	19.32	19.45(1.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	12	110	19	-8	19.16	46%	-0.05	-43.1	1.85%	0	0.5	50	INF
15	Oct_22_2014	20.29	19.07	18.58	18.82	18.86	19.14	19.07(-1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	15	110	26	-19	14.91	42%	-0.05	-53.1	1.86%	0	0	49	INF

16	Oct_21_2014	20.3	19.13	18.62	18.62	18.58	18.78	19.34(3.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	11	70	26	-36	18.14	42%	0.05	-61.2	1.86%	0	0.3	47	INF
17	Oct_20_2014	20.29	19.16	18.57	18.35	18.28	18.57	18.68(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	100	20	-85	10.23	39%	0	-71	1.8%	0	-0.6	36	INF
18	Oct_17_2014	20.29	19.25	18.61	18.14	18.15	18.38	18.5(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	90	14	-125	17.46	39%	-0.05	-72.7	1.81%	0	-0.8	34	INF
19	Oct_16_2014	20.3	19.37	18.69	18.13	17.99	17.99	18.49(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-46	-20	-11	-152	17.52	39%	0	-69.8	1.81%	0	-0.9	34	INF
20	Oct_15_2014	20.3	19.49	18.75	18.31	18.14	17.91	18.09(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-62	-120	-29	-160	30.27	36%	-0.05	-65.3	1.78%	0	-1.4	32	INF

21	Oct_14_2014	20.31	19.63	18.89	18.63	18.56	18	18(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-58	-220	-28	-146	20.06	36%	-0.1	-58.9	1.78%	0	-1.7	28	INF
22	Oct_13_2014	20.33	19.78	19.1	18.83	18.91	18.37	17.61(-4.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-68	-190	-44	-138	36.07	34%	-0.05	-58.9	1.76%	0	-2.5	28	INF
23	Oct_10_2014	20.34	19.93	19.38	19.14	19.18	19.12	18.46(-4.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-45	-20	-23	-109	33.14	36%	0	-63.7	1.67%	0	-2	31	INF
24	Oct_9_2014	20.34	20.05	19.56	19.31	19.32	19.45	19.43(-1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	50	12	-98	17.55	43%	0.05	-63.4	1.57%	0	-0.9	32	INF
25	Oct_8_2014	20.33	20.15	19.61	19.25	19.25	19.24	19.69(3.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-27	-0	5	-123	16.94	43%		-65.3	1.6%	0	-0.7	33	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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