Trading Signals: ALXN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 9, 2014

Trading Signals: ALXN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Tue. Jul. 20, 2021)

(Alexion Pharmaceuticals Inc)
ALXN latest price $167.8100 (-1.4%) ($166.8000 - $170.3000) on Mon. Jun. 9, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.68% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $167.8100(-1.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ALXN advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ALXN advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ALXN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(56%)    XLV(54%)    QQQ(50%)    SPY(47%)    VT(45%)
Factors Impacting ALXN price   ALXN will decline at least -1.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-19%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-8%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.34% (StdDev 2.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $169.06(-0.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $168.24(-0.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $163.94(2.36%)
To recent high   -7.3%
To recent low   20.2%
Market Cap   $36.767b

Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which focuses on serving patients with devastating and ultra-rare disorders through the development and commercialization of life-transforming therapeutic products. Its products include ultomiris, soliris, strensiq and kanuma. The company was founded by Joseph A. Madri, David W. Keiser, Stephen P. Squinto and Leonard Bell in January 1992 and is headquartered in Boston, MA.

$. ALXN price fluctuates within 2.94% (three month std-dev: 2.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.58%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.17%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.61%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -3.53%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.82%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.39%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140709

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_9_2014	157.85	163.94	168.24	169.06	169.22	169.66	167.81(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	20	20	4	69	0.8	41%	0.11	76.9	2.68%	0	0.8	71	0
2	Jun_6_2014	157.68	163.22	167.76	168.91	168.82	169.72	170.2(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	48	40	35	88	0.66	41%	0.13	68.6	2.69%	0	1.3	78	0
3	Jun_5_2014	157.47	162.29	166.83	168.14	167.57	168.78	169.5(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	40	24	82	0.95	41%	0.13	53.8	2.72%	0	1.3	78	0
4	Jun_4_2014	157.26	161.5	165.6	167.74	167.01	167.92	169.59(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	30	31	79	1.23	41%	0.14	48.6	2.74%	0	1.4	70	0
5	Jun_3_2014	157.04	160.78	164.27	167.74	166.9	166.36	168.22(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-30	3	60	0.81	41%	0.13	47.7	2.76%	0	1.4	63	0

6	Jun_2_2014	156.83	160.31	163.3	167.35	167.02	166.11	167.05(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-40	-21	48	0.75	41%	0.12	58.2	2.79%	0	1.3	62	0
7	May_30_2014	156.64	159.7	162.39	166.4	167.11	167.44	166.32(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	24	30	11	61	0.98	41%	0.12	57	2.81%	0	1.4	73	0
8	May_29_2014	156.46	159.33	161.52	165.23	165.71	167.94	167.52(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	100	53	78	1.11	41%	0.13	57.7	2.84%	0	1.8	77	0
9	May_28_2014	156.25	158.82	160.68	163.05	163.53	166.78	167.65(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	95	150	97	87	0.99	41%	0.15	55.6	2.87%	0	2.1	70	0
10	May_27_2014	156.02	158.26	159.97	160.69	160.74	163.48	168.2(3.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	84	120	87	73	1.31	41%	0.15	47.4	2.89%	0	2.7	66	0

11	May_23_2014	155.78	157.41	159.14	158.73	158.54	160.29	162.3(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	51	70	52	47	0.9	37%	0.08	37.1	2.88%	0	1.5	53	0
12	May_22_2014	155.65	156.95	158.22	157.86	157.68	158.01	160.48(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	10	29	29	1.29	37%	0.06	37	2.9%	0	1.2	58	0
13	May_21_2014	155.55	156.71	157.32	157.3	157.17	156.8	156.6(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-20	-15	-2	0.57	37%	0.02	42.1	2.9%	0	-0	46	0
14	May_20_2014	155.52	156.51	157.32	157.93	157.46	157.35	155.85(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10	-18	-5	0.97	37%	0	58.5	2.93%	0	-0.2	48	0
15	May_19_2014	155.52	156.53	157.08	159.06	158.4	157.54	158.42(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-9	-50	-13	4	0.58	37%	0.05	87.7	2.96%	0	0.6	52	0

16	May_16_2014	155.45	156.23	157.17	159.59	159.44	157.57	157.93(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-14	-80	-23	13	1.07	37%	0.03	110.7	2.99%	0	0.5	59	0
17	May_15_2014	155.4	155.85	156.9	158.58	159.38	159.26	157.71(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	10	-13	12	1.18	37%	0.04	102.7	3.03%	0	0.5	57	0
18	May_14_2014	155.34	155.44	157.06	157.25	157.88	161.31	159.72(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	49	160	54	34	0.87	37%	0.06	77.9	3.06%	0	1.1	54	0
19	May_13_2014	155.24	154.75	156.87	156.04	155.91	159.49	161.5(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	90	160	103	52	1.36	37%	0.1	59.9	3.09%	0	1.6	61	0
20	May_12_2014	155.09	153.8	156.39	154.87	154.22	154.45	161.1(5.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	33	-0	37	19	1.28	37%	0.1	43.1	3.13%	0	1.6	55	0

21	May_9_2014	154.94	152.75	155.43	154.59	154.06	152.32	152.87(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-90	-42	-15	1.1	29%	-0.03	34.6	3.04%	0	0	52	0
22	May_8_2014	154.99	152.36	155.52	155.04	155.35	153.99	151.05(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-39	-60	-48	-10	1.04	29%	-0.06	29.2	3.07%	0	-0.2	54	0
23	May_7_2014	155.09	152.59	156.07	156.79	156.53	155.81	153.68(-1.27%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-17	-40	-28	18	1.15	29%	-0.03	39.4	3.1%	0	0.2	58	0
24	May_6_2014	155.13	152.3	155.99	157.7	157.56	156.7	155.66(-2.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-40	-14	39	1.06	29%	0.01	37.7	3.14%	0	0.6	64	0
25	May_5_2014	155.12	151.82	156.03	158.03	158.01	157.25	159.7(2.95%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	10	-30	-7	61	0.89	29%		33.8	3.16%	0	1.4	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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