Trading Signals: ALL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 31, 2016

Trading Signals: ALL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Allstate Corporation)
ALL latest price $67.3700 (-0.52%) ($67.2500 - $67.9200) on Thu. Mar. 31, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.16% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $67.3700(-0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ALL advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ALL advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ALL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(65%)    IWD(65%)    VYM(65%)    XLF(65%)    SDY(63%)
Factors Impacting ALL price   ALL will decline at least -0.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-6%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.58% (StdDev 1.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $67.05(0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $67.02(0.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $66.15(1.84%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   16.8%
Market Cap   $21.087b

The Allstate Corp. engages in the property and casualty insurance business and the sale of life and accident and health insurance products through its subsidiaries. It operates through following business segments: Allstate Protection, Service Businesses, Allstate Life, Allstate Benefits, Allstate Annuities, Discontinued Lines and Coverages, and Corporate and Other. The Allstate Protection segment sells private passenger auto and homeowners insurance through agencies and directly through call centers and the internet. These products are marketed under the Allstate, Encompass, and Esurance brand names. The Service Businesses segment offers a range of products and services that expand and enhance customer value propositions including SquareTrade, Arity, Allstate Roadside, and Allstate Dealer Services. The Allstate Life segment provides traditional, interest-sensitive, and variable life insurance products through Allstate exclusive agencies and exclusive financial specialists. The Allstate Benefits segment offers voluntary benefits products, including life, accident, critical illness, short-term disability and other health products sold through workplace enrolling independent agents and Allstate exclusive agencies. The Allstate Annuities segment consists of deferred fixed annuities and immediate fixed annuities. The Discontinued Lines and Coverages segment includes results from property and casualty insurance coverage that primarily relates to policies written during the 1960s through the mid-1980s. The Corporate and Other segment comprises of the company's activities and certain non-insurance operations. The company was founded on April 17, 1931 and is headquartered in Northbrook, IL.

$. ALL price fluctuates within 1.59% (three month std-dev: 1.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 0.79%(53%) Average negative next day return: -0.63%(47%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 1.33%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -1.08%(47%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 1.62%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.05%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160501

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_31_2016	62.81	66.15	67.02	67.05	67.15	67.54	67.37(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	50	26	72	1.69	69%	0.06	61.6	1.16%	0	1.2	73	INF
2	Mar_30_2016	62.77	66.05	66.91	66.91	66.83	67.22	67.72(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	40	28	80	1.8	69%	0.08	66.9	1.17%	0	1.6	72	INF
3	Mar_29_2016	62.72	65.9	66.73	66.75	66.83	66.77	67.16(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	10	16	79	2.48	69%	0.06	71.4	1.17%	0	1.3	70	INF
4	Mar_28_2016	62.68	65.72	66.52	66.69	66.64	66.43	66.82(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-20	-8	69	1.73	69%	0.03	60.6	1.17%	0	1	63	INF
5	Mar_24_2016	62.66	65.59	66.4	66.77	66.72	66.52	66.19(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-20	-25	68	1.4	69%	0.05	64.2	1.17%	0	0.6	57	INF

6	Mar_23_2016	62.63	65.51	66.23	66.97	66.72	66.85	66.66(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-10	-1	81	2.08	69%	0.06	69.3	1.17%	0	1.1	61	INF
7	Mar_22_2016	62.59	65.37	66.03	66.89	66.96	66.91	66.92(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	22	-0	4	75	1.55	71%	0.08	62.4	1.17%	0	1.4	62	INF
8	Mar_21_2016	62.54	65.21	65.79	66.69	66.73	67.07	66.84(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	40	23	73	1.26	71%	0.08	57.8	1.19%	0	1.6	66	INF
9	Mar_18_2016	62.49	65.09	65.61	66.32	66.31	67.01	67.23(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	57	70	49	80	3.78	67%	0.08	52.6	1.19%	0	2.1	76	INF
10	Mar_17_2016	62.44	64.92	65.4	65.97	65.75	66.38	67.2(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	61	60	56	75	2.34	64%	0.08	58.1	1.21%	0	2.6	66	INF

11	Mar_16_2016	62.39	64.76	65.19	65.39	65.36	65.61	66.28(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	42	30	39	50	2.16	63%	0.1	57.3	1.22%	0	2.1	62	INF
12	Mar_15_2016	62.33	64.69	65.09	65.04	64.96	65.61	65.92(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	16	10	10	34	2.37	65%	0.08	65.6	1.22%	0	2	63	INF
13	Mar_14_2016	62.28	64.61	64.97	64.77	64.82	65.12	64.95(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	30	14	32	1.74	63%	0.05	70.1	1.24%	0	0.6	60	INF
14	Mar_11_2016	62.25	64.56	64.84	64.78	64.75	64.81	65.52(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	17	10	14	27	2.24	60%	0.06	73.3	1.23%	0	1.7	57	INF
15	Mar_10_2016	62.21	64.41	64.71	64.76	64.69	64.52	64.26(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-9	-20	-17	16	3.07	58%	0.06	61.8	1.23%	0	-0.2	54	INF

16	Mar_9_2016	62.17	64.35	64.74	64.97	64.91	64.69	64.53(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-30	-15	27	1.5	55%	0.05	83.5	1.23%	0	0.2	52	INF
17	Mar_8_2016	62.14	64.28	64.69	65.14	65.07	64.85	64.58(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-30	-14	28	1.8	55%	0.05	103.1	1.25%	0	0.4	46	INF
18	Mar_7_2016	62.11	64.22	64.61	65.19	65.15	65.13	65.03(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-0	6	33	1.61	55%	0.06	119.1	1.25%	0	1	53	INF
19	Mar_4_2016	62.07	64.14	64.55	64.87	64.97	65.29	65.38(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	40	19	29	1.63	59%	0.06	125.2	1.25%	0	1.5	60	INF
20	Mar_3_2016	62.03	63.98	64.41	64.66	64.61	65.17	65.31(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	60	29	35	1.99	59%	0.1	125.5	1.29%	0	1.5	69	INF

21	Mar_2_2016	61.97	63.71	64.3	64.48	64.4	64.66	65.41(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	20	36	40	2.22	59%	0.08	92.3	1.29%	0	1.4	63	INF
22	Mar_1_2016	61.92	63.45	64.24	64.19	64.16	64.05	64.81(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10	6	30	2.17	59%	0.06	82.4	1.29%	0	1	61	INF
23	Feb_29_2016	61.88	63.24	64.2	63.97	63.99	64.14	63.46(-1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	20	-11	24	2.29	56%	0.05	83.1	1.26%	0	0.1	52	INF
24	Feb_26_2016	61.85	63.11	64.26	64.17	63.99	64.28	64.32(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	20	19	49	2.39	58%	0.05	88.2	1.26%	0	0.8	57	INF
25	Feb_25_2016	61.82	62.86	64.08	64.11	64.02	63.83	64.41(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-20	4	42	1.94	58%		82.6	1.27%	0	0.9	66	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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