Trading Signals: ALKS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 5, 2017

Trading Signals: ALKS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(ALKERMES PLC)
ALKS latest price $54.3400 (-0.44%) ($53.7600 - $55.0000) on Tue. Dec. 5, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.45% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $54.3400(-0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ALKS advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ALKS advances 5.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ALKS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(32%)    XBI(31%)    XLV(28%)    IVE(27%)    VYM(27%)
Factors Impacting ALKS price   ALKS will decline at least -1.225% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-9%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.225% (StdDev 2.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.27(2.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.95(4.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.08(8.51%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   13.9%
Market Cap   $8.642b

Alkermes Plc is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development, research, and commercialization of medicines that are designed to address unmet medical needs of patients in major therapeutic areas. Its products include Aristada, which is used for the treatment of schizophrenia in adults; and Vivitrol, which is an injectable medication for the treatment of alcohol dependence and for the prevention of relapse to opioid dependence, following opioid detoxification. The company was founded on May 4, 2011 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. ALKS price fluctuates within 4.55% (three month std-dev: 2.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 49 Average positive next day return: 1.27%(47%) Average negative next day return: -1.65%(53%) Sample size 49 Average positive next three day return: 3.72%(45%) Average negative next three day return: -2.49%(55%) Sample size 49 Average positive next weekly return: 4.59%(37%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.85%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_5_2017	51.48	50.08	51.95	53.27	53.34	54.36	54.34(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	63	140	35	148	1.2	55%	-0.1	50.3	2.45%	0	1.9	81	INF
2	Dec_4_2017	51.53	49.78	51.3	52.63	52.53	53.62	54.58(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	72	140	51	134	1.55	55%	-0.1	47.1	2.45%	0	2.3	70	INF
3	Dec_1_2017	51.58	49.56	50.67	51.79	51.61	52.32	53.7(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	50	90	31	107	1.69	53%	-0.1	44.8	2.46%	0	2.4	73	INF
4	Nov_30_2017	51.63	49.3	50.06	51.26	51.2	51.44	52.29(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	30	22	90	0.86	53%	-0.1	24.7	2.46%	0	2	68	INF
5	Nov_29_2017	51.68	49.1	49.63	50.83	50.9	50.9	51.45(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	0	9	75	0.87	52%	-0.12	16	2.45%	0	1.8	66	INF

6	Nov_28_2017	51.74	48.96	49.25	50.41	50.59	50.96	51.15(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	60	18	68	1	52%	-0.14	1.3	2.46%	0	1.9	67	INF
7	Nov_27_2017	51.81	48.83	49.03	49.74	50.08	50.9	50.36(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	140	30	57	2.41	52%	-0.19	-19.1	2.46%	0	1.5	57	INF
8	Nov_24_2017	51.91	48.79	48.78	49.35	49.28	50.22	51.05(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	38	130	38	36	0.55	52%	-0.33	-33.5	2.45%	0	2.2	47	INF
9	Nov_22_2017	52.08	48.94	48.45	48.69	48.64	49.27	50.15(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	90	32	11	0.45	52%	-0.04	-20.9	2.42%	0	0.8	54	INF
10	Nov_21_2017	52.1	48.9	48.22	48.27	48.21	48.34	49.36(3.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	9	20	15	-10	0.91	52%	-0.17	-32.4	2.42%	0	0.3	53	INF

11	Nov_20_2017	52.19	48.94	48.05	47.94	47.99	48.01	47.77(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	10	-7	-34	0.43	49%	-0.19	-41.6	2.39%	0	-0.7	47	INF
12	Nov_17_2017	52.29	49.03	48.15	48.22	48.07	48.07	48.4(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	-10	2	-24	0.9	49%	-0.19	-40.5	2.38%	0	-0.4	48	INF
13	Nov_16_2017	52.39	49.14	48.37	48.11	48.21	47.97	47.75(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-30	-2	-24	0.59	49%	-0.19	-41.6	2.38%	0	-0.9	41	INF
14	Nov_15_2017	52.49	49.28	48.49	48.17	48.11	48.07	48.08(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-10	-8	-53	0.95	49%	-0.19	-40.5	2.38%	0	-0.7	28	INF
15	Nov_14_2017	52.59	49.43	48.55	48.17	48.13	48.46	47.69(-3.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-6	50	9	-52	1.16	49%	-0.19	-41.4	2.37%	0	-1	48	INF

16	Nov_13_2017	52.69	49.62	48.66	48.16	47.96	48.15	49.17(2.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	20	10	-60	0.91	51%	-0.19	-42	2.35%	0	-0.3	48	INF
17	Nov_10_2017	52.79	49.69	48.63	48.08	47.84	47.8	47.85(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	-20	-18	-79	1.29	49%	-0.21	-45.4	2.32%	0	-1.1	48	INF
18	Nov_9_2017	52.9	49.82	48.82	48.71	48.41	47.77	48.05(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-110	-11	-62	0.48	49%	-0.17	-39.9	2.33%	0	-1.1	46	INF
19	Nov_8_2017	52.99	49.94	49.47	48.86	48.89	47.88	48.03(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-140	-31	-46	0.8	48%	-0.19	-43.2	2.33%	0	-1.2	46	INF
20	Nov_7_2017	53.09	50.12	49.63	48.99	49.18	49.05	47.7(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-10	-24	-48	0.87	48%	-0.17	-44.1	2.34%	0	-1.6	44	INF

21	Nov_6_2017	53.18	50.31	49.92	49.2	49.36	49.9	48.76(-4.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	4	90	16	-31	1.68	48%	-0.17	-44.2	2.33%	0	-1.1	45	INF
22	Nov_3_2017	53.27	50.44	50.01	49.23	49.07	49.31	50.99(4.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	2	20	16	-39	0.96	51%	-0.13	-46.7	2.27%	0	0.4	52	INF
23	Nov_2_2017	53.34	50.45	49.95	49	48.94	49.31	48.84(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-20	-35	-67	0.83	47%	-0.21	-48.4	2.2%	0	-1.1	48	INF
24	Nov_1_2017	53.45	50.62	50.13	50.22	49.92	48.83	48.65(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-19	-170	-17	-23	0.85	47%	-0.19	-23.8	2.2%	0	-1.4	47	INF
25	Oct_31_2017	53.55	50.79	50.38	50.39	50.6	49.05	48.76(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-50	-200	-55	-35	0.9	47%		-20.2	2.2%	0	-1.5	44	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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