Trading Signals: ALKS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ALKS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: ALKS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(ALKERMES PLC)
ALKS latest price $57.5800 (4.63%) ($55.0100 - $57.7700) on Thu. Dec. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.16% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $57.5800(4.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ALKS advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ALKS declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ALKS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(33%)    XBI(32%)    XLV(28%)    IVE(27%)    IWO(27%)
Factors Impacting ALKS price   ALKS will decline at least -2.08% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-7%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.08% (StdDev 4.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $50.78(-11.81%)
5 Day Moving Average   $55.53(3.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.95(2.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.95(1.11%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   36.1%
Market Cap   $9.157b

Alkermes Plc is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development, research, and commercialization of medicines that are designed to address unmet medical needs of patients in major therapeutic areas. Its products include Aristada, which is used for the treatment of schizophrenia in adults; and Vivitrol, which is an injectable medication for the treatment of alcohol dependence and for the prevention of relapse to opioid dependence, following opioid detoxification. The company was founded on May 4, 2011 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. ALKS price fluctuates within 2.83% (three month std-dev: 4.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.48%(60%) Average negative next day return: -2.39%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.46%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -2.89%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.64%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.23%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170115

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_15_2016	50.28	56.95	55.95	55.53	55.29	55.61	57.58(4.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	7	30	14	-16	0.84	65%	0.12	-51.9	4.16%	0	0.4	45	INF
2	Dec_14_2016	50.22	56.98	55.67	55.17	55.2	54.8	55.03(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-50	-4	-38	0.82	63%	0.08	-57	4.13%	0	-1.2	35	INF
3	Dec_13_2016	50.18	57.2	55.85	55.27	55.4	54.96	54.44(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-50	-17	-46	0.79	63%	0.08	-40.8	4.13%	0	-1.7	36	INF
4	Dec_12_2016	50.14	57.44	56.21	56.04	55.74	55.61	55.14(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-30	-8	-35	0.7	66%	0.1	-15.7	4.13%	0	-1.5	35	INF
5	Dec_9_2016	50.09	57.61	56.47	56.25	56.26	55.84	55.47(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-50	-2	-31	0.63	62%	0.14	7.5	4.17%	0	-1.5	40	INF

6	Dec_8_2016	50.02	57.8	56.8	56.41	56.26	55.88	55.75(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-60	-8	-33	0.9	62%	0.14	37.1	4.21%	0	-1.5	37	INF
7	Dec_7_2016	49.95	57.92	57.12	56.23	56.31	56.68	55.55(-4.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	50	-3	-33	1.51	62%	0.18	56.7	4.21%	0	-1.8	42	INF
8	Dec_6_2016	49.86	57.88	57.4	56.49	56.24	56.75	58.27(3.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	50	10	-27	0.71	68%	0.2	60.6	4.17%	0	0.3	45	INF
9	Dec_5_2016	49.76	57.68	57.47	56.45	56.32	55.93	56.21(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-60	-3	-33	1.14	68%	0.18	62.4	4.17%	0	-0.9	39	INF
10	Dec_2_2016	49.67	57.5	57.7	56.76	56.65	55.73	56.25(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-120	-21	-37	0.89	68%	0.18	58	4.2%	0	-0.6	42	INF

11	Dec_1_2016	49.58	57.29	58.03	57.29	57.3	56.72	54.89(-3.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-70	-22	-30	1.14	68%	0.14	54.6	4.19%	0	-1	34	INF
12	Nov_30_2016	49.51	57.2	58.42	58.11	58.06	57.57	56.83(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-60	-7	-12	1.39	68%	0.14	58.7	4.14%	0	-0.1	47	INF
13	Nov_29_2016	49.44	56.98	58.68	58.41	58.15	57.88	58.07(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-9	-50	-12	2	0.91	68%	0.18	53.7	4.13%	0	0.4	69	INF
14	Nov_28_2016	49.35	56.62	58.78	58.64	58.46	58.55	57.77(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	0	-0	22	0.57	68%	0.18	42	4.13%	0	0.4	68	INF
15	Nov_25_2016	49.26	56.31	58.87	58.77	58.59	58.42	58.89(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	-30	-0	40	0.31	68%	0.29	35	4.12%	0	0.8	77	INF

16	Nov_23_2016	49.12	55.95	58.89	58.9	58.58	58.37	59(1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	-40	-6	59	0.6	65%	0.29	47.3	4.14%	0	0.9	79	INF
17	Nov_22_2016	48.98	55.66	58.8	58.78	58.89	58.76	58.34(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-10	-2	74	0.95	65%	0.2	62.7	4.14%	0	0.8	72	INF
18	Nov_21_2016	48.88	55.46	58.4	58.99	58.83	58.79	59.2(1.3%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	19	-10	-3	84	0.94	65%	0.29	82.6	4.14%	0	1.1	76	INF
19	Nov_18_2016	48.74	55.3	57.91	58.96	58.92	59.02	58.44(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	10	3	98	0.63	65%	0.31	108.3	4.15%	0	1	78	INF
20	Nov_17_2016	48.59	55.14	57.31	58.97	58.76	58.88	59.5(1.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	28	0	3	104	0.76	62%	0.33	106	4.14%	0	1.1	78	INF

21	Nov_16_2016	48.43	54.37	56.51	58.88	58.56	58.81	58.42(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	10	2	104	0.85	62%	0.33	93.5	4.17%	0	0.9	72	INF
22	Nov_15_2016	48.27	53.63	55.91	58.8	58.71	58.63	59.4(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	-10	17	110	0.8	63%	0.42	86.3	4.17%	0	1.2	67	INF
23	Nov_14_2016	48.07	52.85	55.15	57.69	58.11	58.31	59.02(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	50	11	85	1.48	63%	0.35	74.7	4.19%	0	1.2	61	INF
24	Nov_11_2016	47.9	52.04	54.29	56.68	56.91	58.79	58.51(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	240	31	64	1.18	63%	0.31	63.2	4.19%	0	1.2	52	INF
25	Nov_10_2016	47.75	51.24	53.51	55.37	55.68	57.9	59.07(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	58	300	62	46	1.27	63%		53.3	4.18%	0	1.5	56	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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