Trading Signals: ALKS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: ALKS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(ALKERMES PLC)
ALKS latest price $50.4800 (1.43%) ($49.1300 - $50.8800) on Wed. Sep. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.52% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $50.4800(1.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ALKS advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ALKS advances 4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ALKS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(33%)    XBI(32%)    XLV(28%)    IWO(27%)    IVE(26%)
Factors Impacting ALKS price   ALKS will decline at least -1.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-6%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.26% (StdDev 2.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.56(1.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.4(4.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.76(7.96%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   26.2%
Market Cap   $8.028b

Alkermes Plc is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development, research, and commercialization of medicines that are designed to address unmet medical needs of patients in major therapeutic areas. Its products include Aristada, which is used for the treatment of schizophrenia in adults; and Vivitrol, which is an injectable medication for the treatment of alcohol dependence and for the prevention of relapse to opioid dependence, following opioid detoxification. The company was founded on May 4, 2011 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. ALKS price fluctuates within 4.6% (three month std-dev: 2.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.08%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.22%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.85%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -2.02%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 3.71%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.5%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161021

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_21_2016	45.21	46.76	48.4	49.56	49.7	49.99	50.48(1.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	41	50	18	110	0.69	55%	0.24	53.9	2.52%	0	1.7	78	INF
2	Sep_20_2016	45.1	46.54	48.09	48.99	49.13	49.91	49.77(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	48	120	25	116	1.02	55%	0.22	50.8	2.52%	0	1.6	75	INF
3	Sep_19_2016	45	46.3	47.78	48.47	48.55	49.41	49.69(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	57	130	36	119	0.74	55%	0.22	40.2	2.52%	0	1.9	71	INF
4	Sep_16_2016	44.9	46.03	47.32	48.08	47.81	48.35	49.52(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	54	60	34	112	2.1	55%	0.18	31.1	2.53%	0	2.1	71	INF
5	Sep_15_2016	44.82	45.8	46.84	47.25	47.18	47.7	48.34(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	70	16	86	0.59	55%	0.18	15.1	2.52%	0	1.8	69	INF

6	Sep_14_2016	44.74	45.63	46.4	47.07	46.76	47.28	47.65(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	60	13	79	1.05	55%	0.13	9.6	2.52%	0	1.5	65	INF
7	Sep_13_2016	44.68	45.57	46.04	47.06	46.75	46.66	47.16(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-30	10	67	0.61	55%	0.11	7.5	2.52%	0	1.3	52	INF
8	Sep_12_2016	44.63	45.59	45.77	46.97	46.78	46.23	47.74(5.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	13	-90	-2	57	0.71	55%	0.11	8.2	2.51%	0	1.6	59	INF
9	Sep_9_2016	44.58	45.52	45.43	46.45	46.7	46.83	45.38(-4.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	7	40	-5	43	0.89	48%	0.04	-9.7	2.46%	0	-0.1	56	INF
10	Sep_8_2016	44.56	45.58	45.32	46.32	46.45	47.33	47.42(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	140	38	52	0.73	51%	0.13	-19.3	2.45%	0	1.4	59	INF

11	Sep_7_2016	44.5	45.5	45	45.59	45.64	46.58	47.6(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	40	150	44	29	0.86	51%	0.16	-48.7	2.45%	0	1.7	60	INF
12	Sep_6_2016	44.43	45.47	44.85	44.86	44.84	45.57	46.72(3.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	23	110	31	0	1.17	51%	0.27	-70.9	2.44%	0	1	48	INF
13	Sep_2_2016	44.31	45.48	44.68	44.41	44.42	44.71	45.12(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	50	16	-33	0.98	45%	0.14	-79.5	2.44%	0	-0.3	35	INF
14	Sep_1_2016	44.25	45.64	44.61	44.29	44.25	44.12	44.74(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-20	2	-53	0.69	45%	0.11	-78.2	2.46%	0	-0.6	42	INF
15	Aug_31_2016	44.2	45.83	44.65	44.17	44.27	44.13	43.77(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-20	-9	-70	0.52	45%	0.14	-71.2	2.45%	0	-1.2	37	INF

16	Aug_30_2016	44.14	46.12	44.8	44.31	44.36	44.38	43.96(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	10	-14	-73	0.78	45%	0.14	-75.3	2.45%	0	-1.3	42	INF
17	Aug_29_2016	44.08	46.35	45.07	44.82	44.72	44.4	44.47(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-60	-7	-59	0.41	45%	0.14	-72	2.47%	0	-1.1	38	INF
18	Aug_26_2016	44.02	46.6	45.41	44.99	45.14	44.35	44.5(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-110	-15	-54	0.59	48%	0.16	-69.1	2.52%	0	-1.2	39	INF
19	Aug_25_2016	43.95	46.87	45.62	44.97	45.28	45.04	44.17(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-20	-22	-66	1.14	48%	0.14	-72.4	2.53%	0	-1.5	33	INF
20	Aug_24_2016	43.89	47.08	45.89	45.19	45.34	45.94	44.45(-4.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-10	100	7	-59	1.07	48%	0.18	-66.1	2.53%	0	-1.4	33	INF

21	Aug_23_2016	43.81	47.43	46.08	45.34	45.21	45.53	46.5(2.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	40	15	-69	0.93	52%	0.23	-57	2.47%	0	-0.5	36	INF
22	Aug_22_2016	43.71	47.65	46.15	45.39	45.18	44.74	45.35(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-38	-80	-20	-90	0.69	50%	0.23	-47.1	2.45%	0	-1.2	36	INF
23	Aug_19_2016	43.61	47.89	46.33	45.93	45.79	44.89	44.39(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-43	-150	-29	-83	0.66	57%	0.23	-36.3	2.7%	0	-1.8	28	INF
24	Aug_18_2016	43.51	48.17	46.75	46.38	46.52	45.62	45.25(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-130	-29	-78	0.96	57%	0.3	-27.7	2.71%	0	-1.7	29	INF
25	Aug_17_2016	43.38	48.37	47.12	46.69	46.88	46.69	45.19(-3.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-29	-20	-18	-63	0.66	57%		-21.5	2.71%	0	-2	40	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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