Trading Signals: ALKS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ALKS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 28, 2016

Trading Signals: ALKS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(ALKERMES PLC)
ALKS latest price $30.6400 (-5.34%) ($30.4900 - $32.5300) on Thu. Jan. 28, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.25% (three month average)
RSI   11
Latest Price   $30.6400(-5.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ALKS declines -1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ALKS declines -28.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Rotation from growth to value for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ALKS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(37%)    XBI(36%)    XLV(29%)    IWO(28%)    IWM(27%)
Factors Impacting ALKS price   ALKS will decline at least -3.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-5%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.125% (StdDev 6.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $-0.78(-102.55%)
Resistance Level   $57.85
5 Day Moving Average   $33.97(-9.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.27(-30.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.85(-47.04%)
To recent high   -61.8%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $4.873b

Alkermes Plc is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development, research, and commercialization of medicines that are designed to address unmet medical needs of patients in major therapeutic areas. Its products include Aristada, which is used for the treatment of schizophrenia in adults; and Vivitrol, which is an injectable medication for the treatment of alcohol dependence and for the prevention of relapse to opioid dependence, following opioid detoxification. The company was founded on May 4, 2011 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. ALKS price fluctuates within 29.47% (three month std-dev: 6.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.73%(50%) Average negative next day return: -6.95%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 10.34%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.78%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 8.93%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.78%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160228

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_28_2016	66.99	57.85	44.27	33.97	34.15	32.55	30.64(-5.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-90	-310	-25	-284	1.35	27%	-0.58	-56.8	6.25%	0	-1.6	11	0
2	Jan_27_2016	67.38	60.31	47.58	34.58	34.92	34.49	32.37(-6.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-117	-60	-58	-293	1.76	27%	-0.56	-59	6.26%	0	-1.7	11	0
3	Jan_26_2016	67.76	62.77	51.14	40.19	35.71	35.74	34.76(-3.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-111	-330	-61	-260	1.31	28%	-0.5	-55.3	6.23%	0	-1.8	12	0
4	Jan_25_2016	68.1	65.07	54.57	45.15	41.63	35.34	35.94(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-108	-1290	-67	-232	2.49	28%	-0.44	-52.5	6.23%	0	-2	13	0
5	Jan_22_2016	68.4	67.32	58.18	50.43	47.96	35.67	36.16(7.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-183	-1940	-164	-240	5.52	28%	-0.41	-49.9	6.23%	0	-2.4	12	0

6	Jan_21_2016	68.68	69.46	61.91	56.13	54.85	47.92	33.69(-44.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.1	-176	-950	-165	-207	12.47	23%	-0.43	-46.6	6.15%	0	-3.3	6	0
7	Jan_20_2016	68.98	71.83	66.27	62.16	61.67	60.24	60.42(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-119	-190	-69	-268	1.4	40%	0.01	-49.6	2.59%	0	-1.6	12	0
8	Jan_19_2016	68.97	72.68	67.75	63.68	63.5	61.78	59.53(-4.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-116	-200	-69	-255	1.12	40%	0.09	-44.7	2.61%	0	-2	8	0
9	Jan_15_2016	68.91	73.64	69.31	65.5	65.46	63.1	62.36(-3.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-126	-250	-85	-250	2.34	47%	0.01	-40.1	2.54%	0	-2	14	0
10	Jan_14_2016	68.9	74.49	71.01	67.28	67.31	65.23	64.66(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-125	-210	-92	-222	0.95	50%	0.07	-31.6	2.55%	0	-2	17	0

11	Jan_13_2016	68.85	74.97	72.42	68.76	69.33	67.83	63.85(-6.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-102	-130	-74	-185	1.13	50%	0.09	-27.4	2.56%	0	-2.5	24	0
12	Jan_12_2016	68.79	75.44	73.96	71	70.92	69.4	68(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-84	-150	-63	-147	1.72	55%	0.17	-17.2	2.45%	0	-2.1	28	0
13	Jan_11_2016	68.67	75.68	75.19	72.45	72.36	70.83	68.65(-3.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-76	-150	-64	-113	1.85	55%	0.12	-9.8	2.47%	0	-2.2	33	0
14	Jan_8_2016	68.59	75.94	76.28	73.69	73.81	72.43	71.24(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-66	-130	-59	-88	0.72	60%	0.13	3.1	2.43%	0	-1.6	35	0
15	Jan_7_2016	68.5	76.08	77.06	75.31	74.74	73.89	72.04(-4.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-60	-100	-60	-61	1.41	60%	0.09	18	2.42%	0	-1.4	34	0

16	Jan_6_2016	68.44	76.19	77.56	76.65	76.28	75.18	75.05(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-120	-28	-15	2.18	65%	0.12	33.5	2.38%	0	-0.4	59	0
17	Jan_5_2016	68.36	76.06	77.83	77.4	77.16	75.59	75.27(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-44	-150	-59	3	1.12	65%	0.1	38.6	2.4%	0	-0.3	62	0
18	Jan_4_2016	68.29	75.99	78	78.37	78.08	77.38	74.83(-5.73%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-27	-70	-49	41	1.91	65%	0.13	43.2	2.4%	0	-0.4	62	0
19	Dec_31_2015	68.2	75.84	78.33	79.23	79.04	78.73	79.38(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	25	-30	0	98	0.73	74%	0.18	45.7	2.28%	0	1.1	69	0
20	Dec_30_2015	68.08	75.58	78.24	79.08	79.05	78.78	78.72(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	25	-30	-4	113	0.51	78%	0.16	46.2	2.28%	0	1.1	65	0

21	Dec_29_2015	67.97	75.28	77.69	78.6	78.83	79.36	78.8(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	60	10	105	0.91	78%	0.16	43.7	2.4%	0	1.2	64	0
22	Dec_28_2015	67.86	75	77.02	78.33	78.32	79.32	80.14(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	55	90	36	111	0.69	67%	0.19	44.6	2.43%	0	1.8	72	0
23	Dec_24_2015	67.73	74.73	76.16	77.6	77.7	78.31	79.11(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	60	25	82	0.26	62%	0.18	45.9	2.68%	0	1.7	63	0
24	Dec_23_2015	67.61	74.46	75.51	77.6	77.3	77.33	78.63(3.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	0	2	73	0.51	62%	0.16	46.7	2.71%	0	1.8	67	0
25	Dec_22_2015	67.5	74.22	74.96	77.32	77.54	77.09	76.3(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	23	-30	6	74	0.68	60%		52.1	2.69%	0	1	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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