Trading Signals: ALKS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 29, 2015

Trading Signals: ALKS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(ALKERMES PLC)
ALKS latest price $78.8000 (-1.67%) ($77.7300 - $80.7100) on Tue. Dec. 29, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.4% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $78.8000(-1.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ALKS advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ALKS advances 4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ALKS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(37%)    XBI(36%)    XLV(30%)    IWO(28%)    IWM(27%)
Factors Impacting ALKS price   ALKS will decline at least -1.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-5%)    GLD(-5%)    TIP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.2% (StdDev 2.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $78.6(0.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $77.69(1.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.28(4.68%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   43.1%
Market Cap   $12.531b

Alkermes Plc is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development, research, and commercialization of medicines that are designed to address unmet medical needs of patients in major therapeutic areas. Its products include Aristada, which is used for the treatment of schizophrenia in adults; and Vivitrol, which is an injectable medication for the treatment of alcohol dependence and for the prevention of relapse to opioid dependence, following opioid detoxification. The company was founded on May 4, 2011 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. ALKS price fluctuates within 3.89% (three month std-dev: 2.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.04%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.24%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.22%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.08%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.12%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160129

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_29_2015	67.97	75.28	77.69	78.6	78.83	79.36	78.8(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	60	10	105	0.91	78%	0.16	43.7	2.4%	0	1.2	64	0
2	Dec_28_2015	67.86	75	77.02	78.33	78.32	79.32	80.14(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	55	90	36	111	0.69	67%	0.19	44.6	2.43%	0	1.8	72	0
3	Dec_24_2015	67.73	74.73	76.16	77.6	77.7	78.31	79.11(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	60	25	82	0.26	62%	0.18	45.9	2.68%	0	1.7	63	0
4	Dec_23_2015	67.61	74.46	75.51	77.6	77.3	77.33	78.63(3.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	0	2	73	0.51	62%	0.16	46.7	2.71%	0	1.8	67	0
5	Dec_22_2015	67.5	74.22	74.96	77.32	77.54	77.09	76.3(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	23	-30	6	74	0.68	60%	0.15	52.1	2.69%	0	1	54	0

6	Dec_21_2015	67.4	74.02	74.69	76.61	77.32	77.27	77.48(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	20	10	67	0.69	54%	0.16	42.5	2.7%	0	1.6	60	0
7	Dec_18_2015	67.29	73.75	74.1	75.44	76.21	77.99	76.5(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	190	37	53	1.67	54%	0.15	29.1	2.79%	0	1.4	57	0
8	Dec_17_2015	67.19	73.57	73.8	74.42	74.73	77.36	77.69(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.7	72	260	80	49	1.22	54%	0.16	19.5	2.79%	0	2.2	53	0
9	Dec_16_2015	67.08	73.37	73.13	73.43	73.05	74.43	78.65(8.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.2	50	120	61	18	1.42	54%	0.19	7.2	2.79%	0	3.2	58	0
10	Dec_15_2015	66.95	73.12	72.62	72.36	72.26	72.1	72.74(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-20	4	-24	0.85	47%	0.1	-13.7	2.61%	0	-0.3	46	0

11	Dec_14_2015	66.88	73.14	72.63	72.53	72.48	71.68	71.63(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-80	-17	-29	0.71	47%	0.07	-5.9	2.6%	0	-1.3	49	0
12	Dec_11_2015	66.83	73.18	72.8	72.55	72.71	72.43	71.4(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-25	-20	-23	-29	0.63	47%	0.07	-4.7	2.6%	0	-1.6	50	0
13	Dec_10_2015	66.78	73.2	73.21	73.01	72.89	73.29	72.71(-0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	7	30	10	-1	0.44	47%	0.1	7.4	2.6%	0	-0.4	50	0
14	Dec_9_2015	66.71	73.25	73.35	72.72	72.77	73	73.33(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	20	10	-6	0.86	47%	0.12	7.4	2.61%	0	0.1	48	0
15	Dec_8_2015	66.63	73.27	73.43	72.91	72.61	72.49	73.58(2.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-4	-20	-3	-8	0.74	53%	0.12	20.7	2.61%	0	0.3	48	0

16	Dec_7_2015	66.55	73.21	73.34	72.77	72.95	72.54	71.73(-2.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-10	-30	-8	-14	0.58	53%	0.09	9.8	2.71%	0	-1.3	47	0
17	Dec_4_2015	66.49	73.23	73.42	73.1	73.04	72.73	73.7(3.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-19	-30	-21	-14	0.64	53%	0.14	18.4	2.71%	0	0.4	56	0
18	Dec_3_2015	66.4	73.12	73.36	73.48	73.51	72.73	71.24(-4.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-8	-10	-11	1	0.59	50%	0.09	28	2.7%	0	-1.6	52	0
19	Dec_2_2015	66.34	73.17	73.68	74.04	74.03	73.36	74.32(1.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-2	-60	-7	14	0.75	59%	0.15	64.3	2.64%	0	1	52	0
20	Dec_1_2015	66.24	73.04	73.66	74.03	74.17	73.66	72.88(-0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-12	-40	-19	10	0.69	59%	0.14	95.5	2.74%	0	-0.1	47	0

21	Nov_30_2015	66.15	73.09	73.71	73.96	74.24	73.66	73.36(-2.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	11	50	7	22	0.83	54%	0.14	140.8	2.81%	0	0.2	55	0
22	Nov_27_2015	66.06	73.03	73.6	73.75	73.81	74.69	75.6(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	26	90	26	27	0.27	59%	0.18	174.1	2.81%	0	2.2	64	0
23	Nov_25_2015	65.94	72.79	73.18	73.24	73.3	73.79	74.06(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	50	16	16	0.56	61%	0.17	146.7	2.83%	0	0.8	63	0
24	Nov_24_2015	65.83	72.45	73.13	73.24	73.17	72.94	74.26(2.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	-30	-0	15	0.67	56%	0.17	116.6	2.83%	0	0.8	59	0
25	Nov_23_2015	65.72	71.97	73.07	73.29	73.41	72.81	72.53(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-9	-50	-16	14	0.86	56%		97	2.93%	0	0.2	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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