Trading Signals: ALKS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: ALKS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(ALKERMES PLC)
ALKS latest price $71.4100 (0.65%) ($69.7400 - $71.4800) on Mon. Sep. 14, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.38% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $71.4100(0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ALKS advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ALKS advances 8.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ALKS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(39%)    XBI(38%)    XLV(31%)    IWO(29%)    IWM(28%)
Factors Impacting ALKS price   ALKS will decline at least -1.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)    GLD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.69% (StdDev 3.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $69.82(2.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $66.13(7.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $64.24(11.16%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   26.1%
Market Cap   $11.356b

Alkermes Plc is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development, research, and commercialization of medicines that are designed to address unmet medical needs of patients in major therapeutic areas. Its products include Aristada, which is used for the treatment of schizophrenia in adults; and Vivitrol, which is an injectable medication for the treatment of alcohol dependence and for the prevention of relapse to opioid dependence, following opioid detoxification. The company was founded on May 4, 2011 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. ALKS price fluctuates within 6.86% (three month std-dev: 3.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.67%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 117.35%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -11.91%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 135.71%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.56%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151014

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_14_2015	64.8	64.24	66.13	69.82	69.68	70.47	71.41(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	69	70	37	166	1.19	48%	0.42	19.4	3.38%	0	1.6	81	0
2	Sep_11_2015	64.53	63.91	65.26	68.45	68.71	69.33	70.95(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	64	70	35	152	1.08	48%	0.44	0	3.45%	0	1.7	68	0
3	Sep_10_2015	64.25	63.71	64.25	66.84	67.06	68.89	69.67(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	56	200	34	122	0.99	48%	0.39	0	3.51%	0	1.5	60	0
4	Sep_9_2015	64	63.57	63.26	65.53	65.72	68.1	68.27(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	80	260	72	102	1.14	48%	0.31	0	3.57%	0	1.2	52	0
5	Sep_8_2015	63.8	63.5	62.18	63.76	63.83	65.24	68.79(6.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	52	160	55	43	1.14	48%	0.39	0	3.65%	0	1.4	49	0

6	Sep_4_2015	63.55	63.4	60.94	61.91	62.25	63.34	64.58(2.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	8	140	20	-28	0.93	41%	0.09	0	3.44%	0	0.3	42	0
7	Sep_3_2015	63.49	63.4	60.48	61.63	61.79	62.43	62.91(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	80	25	10	1.16	41%	-0.06	0	3.46%	0	16.5	45	0
8	Sep_2_2015	63.53	63.4	60.41	61.28	61.46	61.16	63.11(6.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-30	8	3	1.24	41%	-0.03	0	3.56%	0	16.1	41	0
9	Sep_1_2015	63.55	63.4	60.62	60.67	61.27	61.14	59.41(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2	10	-2	-1	1.44	31%	-0.41	0	3.26%	0	14.8	35	0
10	Aug_31_2015	63.81	63.4	61.39	60.3	60.85	61.76	59.56(-5.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	130	17	7	0.75	31%	-0.44	0	3.36%	0	14.9	35	0

11	Aug_28_2015	64.09	63.4	62.21	59.71	60.17	61.39	63.15(3.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	170	42	17	0.81	37%	-0.11	0	3.21%	0	15.9	40	0
12	Aug_27_2015	64.16	63.4	62.43	59.15	58.69	59.94	61.17(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	130	11	4	0.67	30%	-0.36	0	3.15%	0	14.9	50	0
13	Aug_26_2015	64.39	63.4	63.11	59.48	58.83	58.94	60.07(4.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-20	-1	-0	0.98	30%	-0.56	0	3.19%	0	14.4	50	0
14	Aug_25_2015	64.75	63.4	63.89	60.67	60.13	57.43	57.53(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-56	-340	-66	-26	0.91	18%	-1.01	0	2.87%	0	13.9	50	0
15	Aug_24_2015	65.41	63.4	64.97	62.7	62.11	58.72	56.65(-6.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-110	-410	-129	-52	1.15	18%	-1.31	0	2.84%	0	15.4	50	0

16	Aug_21_2015	66.28	63.4	66.16	65.01	65.11	62.83	60.35(-3.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-68	-240	-80	-32	1.2	24%	-0.99	0	2.57%	0	23.7	50	0
17	Aug_20_2015	66.94	63.4	66.16	66.1	66.38	65.5	62.79(-4.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-49	-80	-57	-23	0.76	30%	-0.77	0	2.54%	0	36.9	50	0
18	Aug_19_2015	67.46	63.4	66.16	67.21	66.97	67.39	66.05(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-6	30	-7	-3	0.76	43%	-0.3	0	2.17%	0	72.6	50	0
19	Aug_18_2015	67.66	63.4	66.16	67.58	67.34	67.27	67.67(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-20	19	8	0.62	56%	0	0	2.16%	0	85.7	50	0
20	Aug_17_2015	67.66	63.4	66.16	67.64	67.1	66.56	68.2(3.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-18	-80	-21	-8	0.72	56%	0.16	0	2.34%	0	80.2	50	0

21	Aug_14_2015	67.55	63.4	66.16	67.55	67.37	67.41	65.81(-3.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-2	224	-0	263	105	1.29	21%	-0.65	0	1.75%	0	73.9	50	0
22	Aug_13_2015	67.99	63.4	66.16	54.39	67.78	67.63	68.34(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	63.4	1730	720	2035	814	0.45	100%	0.18	0	0.33%	0	310.6	50	0
23	Aug_12_2015	67.87	63.4	66.16	40.72	67.78	67.63	67.88(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	301.8	3863	-10000	4544	1818	0.97	100%	0	0	0.22%	0	754.2	50	0
24	Aug_11_2015	67.87	63.4	66.16	27.15	67.78	67.63	67.97(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	408.2	0	-10000	0	0	0.72	100%	0.16	0	0%	0	679.7	50	0
25	Aug_10_2015	67.76	63.4	66.16	13.55	67.78	67.63	67.76(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	0.59	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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