Trading Signals: ALGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 17, 2017

Trading Signals: ALGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Align Technology Inc)
ALGN latest price $111.8500 (1.25%) ($110.5600 - $113.0000) on Fri. Mar. 17, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $111.8500(1.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ALGN advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ALGN advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ALGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWO(55%)    VT(55%)    VUG(55%)    IVW(54%)    IWF(54%)
Factors Impacting ALGN price   ALGN will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-6%)    IPO(-4%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $109.62(2.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $107.03(4.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $104.89(6.64%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   24.3%
Market Cap   $8.812b

Align Technology, Inc. engages in the manufacture, design, and marketing of global medical devices. It operates through the Clear Aligner, and Scanner and Services segments. The Clear Aligner segment consists of invisalign full, teen and assist products, and vivera retainers along with training and ancillary products for treating malocclusion. The Scanner and Services segment comprises of intraoral scanning systems and additional services available with the intraoral scanners that provide digital alternatives to the traditional cast models. The company was founded by Zia Chishti, Brian Freyburger and Kelsey Wirth in March 1997 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ALGN price fluctuates within 3.01% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 25 Average positive next day return: 1.84%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.1%(60%) Sample size 25 Average positive next three day return: 5.58%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -2.37%(64%) Sample size 25 Average positive next weekly return: 6.6%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.5%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2017	96.68	104.89	107.03	109.62	109.64	111.07	111.85(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	103	90	84	161	1.2	62%	0.3	90.7	1.48%	0	2.2	85	0
2	Mar_16_2017	96.39	104.3	106.22	108.31	108.45	109.77	110.47(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	105	90	92	142	0.62	62%	0.28	95.9	1.48%	0	2.2	78	0
3	Mar_15_2017	96.12	103.76	105.55	107.29	107.15	108.21	110.31(2.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	89	70	76	126	1.08	64%	0.25	105.6	1.49%	0	2.5	81	0
4	Mar_14_2017	95.88	103.15	104.86	105.97	106.04	107.12	107.48(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	75	70	65	106	0.49	61%	0.2	112.1	1.46%	0	1.9	78	0
5	Mar_13_2017	95.69	102.66	104.37	105.11	105.14	106.08	107.99(2.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	78	60	72	95	0.67	61%	0.2	107.4	1.46%	0	2.3	74	0

6	Mar_10_2017	95.5	102.11	103.78	104.06	104.16	104.97	105.32(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	60	41	63	0.45	58%	0.16	100.4	1.42%	0	1.4	69	0
7	Mar_9_2017	95.35	101.65	103.52	103.8	103.67	104.2	105.36(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	30	36	65	0.48	58%	0.16	91.5	1.43%	0	1.5	74	0
8	Mar_8_2017	95.2	101.11	103.1	103.55	103.51	103.35	103.72(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10	6	54	0.38	56%	0.14	75.3	1.42%	0	0.9	71	0
9	Mar_7_2017	95.07	100.63	102.85	103.58	103.54	103.15	103.15(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-30	-21	55	0.61	59%	0.15	71	1.43%	0	0.8	75	0
10	Mar_6_2017	94.93	100.18	102.73	103.5	103.75	103.67	102.74(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	0	-4	76	0.77	61%	0.14	71.4	1.45%	0	0.8	77	0

11	Mar_3_2017	94.8	99.84	102.64	103.4	103.58	103.94	104.04(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	30	14	100	0.52	63%	0.14	76.7	1.47%	0	1.2	86	0
12	Mar_2_2017	94.67	99.39	102.28	103.17	103.24	103.82	104.12(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	60	40	39	123	0.57	63%	0.16	80.3	1.48%	0	1.4	88	0
13	Mar_1_2017	94.52	99.03	101.86	102.58	102.69	103.23	103.83(1.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	64	40	40	134	0.78	63%	0.16	85.7	1.48%	0	1.5	90	0
14	Feb_28_2017	94.37	98.43	101.33	102.03	102.04	102.66	102.76(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	56	40	29	138	0.78	59%	0.13	78.6	1.49%	0	1.3	90	0
15	Feb_27_2017	94.25	97.81	100.83	101.85	101.53	102.16	102.26(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	59	30	29	150	0.63	59%	0.14	69.4	1.5%	0	1.2	88	0

16	Feb_24_2017	94.12	97.25	100.32	101.75	101.4	101.42	102.89(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	60	-10	28	156	0.72	59%	0.15	66.2	1.5%	0	1.5	75	0
17	Feb_23_2017	93.98	96.71	99.64	101.26	101.18	100.9	101.16(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	29	-20	-8	138	0.61	57%	0.13	67.2	1.5%	0	1.2	74	0
18	Feb_22_2017	93.86	96.31	98.97	101.02	100.96	101.38	101.09(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	43	30	13	132	0.87	55%	0.13	66.8	1.5%	0	1.3	62	0
19	Feb_21_2017	93.74	95.83	98.25	100.48	100.56	101.46	101.86(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	83	70	61	148	0.57	55%	0.13	59.5	1.52%	0	1.7	76	0
20	Feb_17_2017	93.62	95.33	97.45	99.63	99.59	100.54	101.77(1.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	80	70	59	143	0.66	55%	0.11	50.9	1.55%	0	2	79	0

21	Feb_16_2017	93.52	94.8	96.81	98.67	98.68	99.66	100.42(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	81	70	61	140	0.85	55%	0.06	40.5	1.6%	0	1.8	73	0
22	Feb_15_2017	93.46	94.3	96.25	97.78	97.71	98.65	99.96(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	81	70	63	134	0.6	59%	0.05	27.2	1.6%	0	2.1	67	0
23	Feb_14_2017	93.41	93.98	95.93	96.62	96.74	97.7	98.39(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	75	70	60	119	0.79	56%	0.06	14.3	1.67%	0	1.8	61	0
24	Feb_13_2017	93.35	93.8	95.27	95.68	95.59	96.78	97.61(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	66	80	55	98	0.59	56%	0.04	5	1.68%	0	1.7	64	0
25	Feb_10_2017	93.31	93.68	94.53	94.92	94.75	95.77	96.97(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	57	70	51	75	0.74	56%		-0.9	1.68%	0	1.5	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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