Trading Signals: ALGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: ALGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Align Technology Inc)
ALGN latest price $100.4200 (0.46%) ($99.6200 - $100.7600) on Thu. Feb. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $100.4200(0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ALGN advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ALGN advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ALGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWO(55%)    VT(55%)    VUG(55%)    IVW(54%)    IWF(54%)
Factors Impacting ALGN price   ALGN will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-6%)    IPO(-4%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $98.67(1.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $96.81(3.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $94.8(5.93%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   11.6%
Market Cap   $7.911b

Align Technology, Inc. engages in the manufacture, design, and marketing of global medical devices. It operates through the Clear Aligner, and Scanner and Services segments. The Clear Aligner segment consists of invisalign full, teen and assist products, and vivera retainers along with training and ancillary products for treating malocclusion. The Scanner and Services segment comprises of intraoral scanning systems and additional services available with the intraoral scanners that provide digital alternatives to the traditional cast models. The company was founded by Zia Chishti, Brian Freyburger and Kelsey Wirth in March 1997 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ALGN price fluctuates within 3.21% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 21 Average positive next day return: 1.43%(38%) Average negative next day return: -0.97%(62%) Sample size 21 Average positive next three day return: 1.92%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -2.17%(43%) Sample size 21 Average positive next weekly return: 2.68%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.9%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170316

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_16_2017	93.52	94.8	96.81	98.67	98.68	99.66	100.42(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	81	70	61	140	0.85	55%	0.06	40.5	1.6%	0	1.8	73	0
2	Feb_15_2017	93.46	94.3	96.25	97.78	97.71	98.65	99.96(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	81	70	63	134	0.6	59%	0.05	27.2	1.6%	0	2.1	67	0
3	Feb_14_2017	93.41	93.98	95.93	96.62	96.74	97.7	98.39(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	75	70	60	119	0.79	56%	0.06	14.3	1.67%	0	1.8	61	0
4	Feb_13_2017	93.35	93.8	95.27	95.68	95.59	96.78	97.61(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	66	80	55	98	0.59	56%	0.04	5	1.68%	0	1.7	64	0
5	Feb_10_2017	93.31	93.68	94.53	94.92	94.75	95.77	96.97(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	57	70	51	75	0.74	56%	0.01	-0.9	1.68%	0	1.5	61	0

6	Feb_9_2017	93.3	93.58	93.93	94.69	94.38	94.39	95.98(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10	21	58	0.67	58%	0.01	-2.3	1.67%	0	1.2	61	0
7	Feb_8_2017	93.29	93.56	93.54	94.52	94.44	93.72	94.17(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-21	-60	-40	36	0.6	56%	0	-8.6	1.68%	0	0.3	60	0
8	Feb_7_2017	93.29	93.64	93.46	95.14	95.16	94.37	93.65(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-15	-60	-36	49	0.95	58%	0	-2.2	1.69%	0	0	48	0
9	Feb_6_2017	93.29	93.69	93.27	94.75	96.17	95.16	93.85(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	15	-30	5	44	1.24	58%	0	-10	1.71%	0	0.1	46	0
10	Feb_3_2017	93.29	93.7	93.1	93.97	95.12	95.96	95.82(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	5	100	2	14	1.1	61%	0.03	-26.2	1.69%	0	1	48	0

11	Feb_2_2017	93.26	93.63	92.66	93	93.64	97.18	95.13(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	94	290	117	26	1.76	61%	0.02	-43.6	1.69%	0	0.7	48	0
12	Feb_1_2017	93.24	93.73	92.19	92.42	92.34	94.27	97.25(6.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	121	140	158	10	3.78	61%	0.06	-50	1.67%	0	1.6	51	0
13	Jan_31_2017	93.18	93.68	91.83	91.65	91.05	90.09	91.69(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-39	-90	-21	-93	1.69	56%	-0.02	-62.9	1.51%	0	-0.9	35	0
14	Jan_30_2017	93.2	93.9	92.16	91.64	91.57	90.41	89.98(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-83	-90	-72	-114	1.43	54%	-0.02	-67.2	1.49%	0	-1.7	35	0
15	Jan_27_2017	93.22	94.26	92.75	92.05	92.15	92.02	90.93(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-42	-10	-29	-81	1.72	54%	-0.04	-71.7	1.49%	0	-1.6	41	0

16	Jan_26_2017	93.26	94.56	93.21	92.21	92.31	92.72	92.23(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	7	30	27	-54	0.59	50%	-0.04	-78.2	1.48%	0	-1.1	42	0
17	Jan_25_2017	93.3	94.88	93.57	91.87	91.96	92.29	93.41(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	30	18	-70	0.45	48%	-0.02	-87.8	1.54%	0	-0.7	35	0
18	Jan_24_2017	93.32	95.12	93.82	92.07	91.55	91.9	91.65(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	10	-17	-84	0.85	45%	-0.02	-85.5	1.54%	0	-1.6	33	0
19	Jan_23_2017	93.34	95.46	94.16	92.81	92.33	91.63	92.04(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-70	-14	-73	0.67	45%	-0.04	-85.2	1.54%	0	-1.7	38	0
20	Jan_20_2017	93.38	95.79	94.39	93.6	93.21	91.2	91.7(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-92	-160	-90	-96	0.82	43%	-0.02	-76.9	1.57%	0	-2	34	0

21	Jan_19_2017	93.4	96.18	94.73	94.37	94.34	93.03	90.55(-4.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-103	-100	-106	-94	2.11	43%	-0.02	-72.7	1.56%	0	-3	31	0
22	Jan_18_2017	93.42	96.68	95.47	95.46	95.42	95.22	94.42(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-20	-24	-43	0.79	47%	0.01	-69.8	1.47%	0	-1.6	33	0
23	Jan_17_2017	93.41	97.01	95.73	95.81	95.65	95.65	95.34(-0.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-6	-10	2	-31	0.54	47%	0.03	-53.5	1.47%	0	-1.1	36	0
24	Jan_13_2017	93.38	97.25	95.81	95.7	95.66	95.62	96.01(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-0	11	-38	0.52	47%	0.04	-43.2	1.46%	0	-0.7	40	0
25	Jan_12_2017	93.34	97.38	95.89	95.31	95.33	95.66	95.55(-0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	20	5	-57	0.51	47%		-45.5	1.46%	0	-0.9	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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