Trading Signals: ALGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: ALGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Align Technology Inc)
ALGN latest price $100.2500 (-0.88%) ($100.0900 - $102.1000) on Mon. Dec. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.54% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $100.2500(-0.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ALGN advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ALGN advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ALGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWO(55%)    VT(55%)    VUG(55%)    IVW(54%)    IWF(54%)
Factors Impacting ALGN price   ALGN will decline at least -0.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-6%)    IPO(-4%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.77% (StdDev 1.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $99.88(0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $99.09(1.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $96.9(3.46%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   19.1%
Market Cap   $7.898b

Align Technology, Inc. engages in the manufacture, design, and marketing of global medical devices. It operates through the Clear Aligner, and Scanner and Services segments. The Clear Aligner segment consists of invisalign full, teen and assist products, and vivera retainers along with training and ancillary products for treating malocclusion. The Scanner and Services segment comprises of intraoral scanning systems and additional services available with the intraoral scanners that provide digital alternatives to the traditional cast models. The company was founded by Zia Chishti, Brian Freyburger and Kelsey Wirth in March 1997 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ALGN price fluctuates within 2.69% (three month std-dev: 1.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 43 Average positive next day return: 1.11%(49%) Average negative next day return: -1.37%(51%) Sample size 43 Average positive next three day return: 1.72%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -2.23%(44%) Sample size 43 Average positive next weekly return: 2.09%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.13%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2016	92.75	96.9	99.09	99.88	100.05	100.89	100.25(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	63	60	37	141	0.74	50%	0.12	58.7	1.54%	0	1.3	65	INF
2	Dec_16_2016	92.64	96.62	98.5	99.54	99.63	100.15	101.14(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	71	40	49	137	1.4	50%	0.17	63.2	1.54%	0	1.8	68	INF
3	Dec_15_2016	92.48	96.4	97.66	99.03	99.04	99.21	100.27(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	10	6	97	0.83	50%	0.16	77.3	1.54%	0	1.7	62	INF
4	Dec_14_2016	92.33	96.07	96.9	98.84	99.01	99.11	98.6(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	10	11	87	0.73	48%	0.14	87.5	1.53%	0	1.2	60	INF
5	Dec_13_2016	92.2	95.84	96.36	98.75	98.92	98.86	99.15(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	0	16	84	0.75	48%	0.16	100.5	1.52%	0	1.6	66	INF

6	Dec_12_2016	92.05	95.4	95.97	98.17	98.45	98.9	98.53(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	40	27	73	1.03	49%	0.15	91.6	1.53%	0	1.4	56	INF
7	Dec_9_2016	91.91	95.05	95.62	97.26	97.6	98.97	98.62(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	75	110	75	74	1.19	46%	0.17	92.1	1.54%	0	1.6	60	INF
8	Dec_8_2016	91.75	94.65	95.34	96.03	96.2	98	99.3(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	88	140	100	52	0.93	46%	0.17	85.8	1.61%	0	2	53	INF
9	Dec_7_2016	91.59	94.22	94.91	94.68	94.76	96.22	98.14(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	75	110	92	25	1.48	46%	0.17	86.6	1.61%	0	1.8	59	INF
10	Dec_6_2016	91.43	93.76	94.51	93.66	93.57	94.4	96.24(2.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	27	60	41	-17	1.18	44%	0.14	79.5	1.6%	0	1.1	56	INF

11	Dec_5_2016	91.3	93.36	94.47	93.51	93.31	93.3	94.01(1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-10	5	-14	0.88	42%	0.13	74.5	1.57%	0	0.3	62	INF
12	Dec_2_2016	91.18	92.98	94.55	93.78	93.78	92.75	92.46(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-80	-45	-16	0.79	42%	0.1	66.7	1.57%	0	-0.2	55	INF
13	Dec_1_2016	91.09	92.7	95.03	94.53	94.63	93.33	92.54(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-50	-90	-71	14	1.44	42%	0.11	70.1	1.59%	0	-0	58	INF
14	Nov_30_2016	90.99	92.37	95.22	95.13	95.53	94.8	93.05(-2.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-20	-40	-44	52	4.98	42%	0.1	69.7	1.58%	0	0.2	58	INF
15	Nov_29_2016	90.9	91.98	95.35	95.41	95.77	95.93	95.51(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	20	20	-6	96	1.09	44%	0.13	63	1.55%	0	0.9	69	INF

16	Nov_28_2016	90.78	91.51	94.87	95.54	95.47	96.25	95.34(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	50	50	25	124	1.04	44%	0.13	59.5	1.55%	0	0.9	70	INF
17	Nov_25_2016	90.66	91.01	94.52	95.44	95.31	95.62	96.19(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	57	20	26	148	0.51	44%	0.27	53.4	1.55%	0	1.2	76	INF
18	Nov_23_2016	90.42	90.41	93.97	95.65	95.36	94.69	95.55(1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	34	-60	-9	161	0.77	43%	0.17	46.3	1.55%	0	1.2	74	INF
19	Nov_22_2016	90.27	89.86	93.51	95.35	95.5	95.01	94.46(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	21	-30	-30	174	1.1	43%	0.04	39.1	1.54%	0	1.1	74	INF
20	Nov_21_2016	90.23	89.49	92.98	95.25	95.39	96.03	96.18(1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	80	50	33	221	0.88	45%	0.16	36.9	1.53%	0	1.7	80	INF

21	Nov_18_2016	90.09	89.1	92.16	94.06	94.6	96	94.84(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	113	120	76	223	0.95	47%	0.16	30.4	1.52%	0	1.5	73	INF
22	Nov_17_2016	89.95	88.8	91.27	93.4	93.29	94.75	97.24(3.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	126	110	93	224	1.29	47%	0.2	25.1	1.5%	0	2.4	81	INF
23	Nov_16_2016	89.77	88.45	90.13	92.07	92.17	93.2	94.04(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	104	80	72	199	0.99	42%	0.17	18	1.46%	0	1.8	80	INF
24	Nov_15_2016	89.62	88.25	89.25	91.44	91.4	91.84	93.95(4.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	87	30	55	182	1.37	42%	0.19	14.5	1.47%	0	2	77	INF
25	Nov_14_2016	89.45	88.03	88.29	90.41	90.63	91.15	90.22(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	54	50	25	142	1.11	37%		6.2	1.38%	0	0.9	57	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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