Trading Signals: ALGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 10, 2016

Trading Signals: ALGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Align Technology Inc)
ALGN latest price $90.6000 (-0.31%) ($88.7400 - $92.6200) on Thu. Nov. 10, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $90.6000(-0.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ALGN advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ALGN advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ALGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWO(55%)    VT(55%)    VUG(55%)    IVW(54%)    IWF(54%)
Factors Impacting ALGN price   ALGN will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-6%)    IGOV(-1%)    SHY(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $88.77(2.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $87.2(3.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $87.92(3.05%)
To recent high   -5.9%
To recent low   7.7%
Market Cap   $7.138b

Align Technology, Inc. engages in the manufacture, design, and marketing of global medical devices. It operates through the Clear Aligner, and Scanner and Services segments. The Clear Aligner segment consists of invisalign full, teen and assist products, and vivera retainers along with training and ancillary products for treating malocclusion. The Scanner and Services segment comprises of intraoral scanning systems and additional services available with the intraoral scanners that provide digital alternatives to the traditional cast models. The company was founded by Zia Chishti, Brian Freyburger and Kelsey Wirth in March 1997 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ALGN price fluctuates within 2.88% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.72%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.15%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.32%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.62%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 5.97%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.98%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161210

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_10_2016	89.24	87.92	87.2	88.77	89.27	90.12	90.6(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	74	80	71	84	0.91	40%	0.12	-11.8	1.38%	0	1.1	50	INF
2	Nov_9_2016	89.13	87.9	86.54	87.87	88.04	89.32	90.88(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	58	110	69	25	1.18	42%	0.12	-19.5	1.38%	0	1.2	45	INF
3	Nov_8_2016	89.02	87.84	85.87	86.73	87.22	88.43	88.79(1.06%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	68	110	99	-26	2.25	39%	0.11	-31.3	1.36%	0	0.4	41	INF
4	Nov_7_2016	88.92	87.87	85.69	85.89	86.18	86.75	87.86(2.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	14	60	47	-85	1.24	39%	0.09	-39.3	1.35%	0	-0	40	INF
5	Nov_4_2016	88.84	88.02	85.77	85.5	85.61	86.02	85.73(-0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	40	22	-114	0.72	35%	0.08	-42.1	1.31%	0	-0.9	36	INF

6	Nov_3_2016	88.77	88.22	86.11	85.39	85.44	85.61	86.08(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	20	31	-122	0.59	38%	0.08	-51.7	1.31%	0	-0.8	33	INF
7	Nov_2_2016	88.7	88.4	86.6	85	85.1	85.19	85.21(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-32	10	4	-141	1.15	38%	0.07	-62.7	1.33%	0	-1.3	30	INF
8	Nov_1_2016	88.64	88.62	87.16	84.86	84.89	85.27	84.56(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	30	-3	-147	1.31	38%	0.07	-77.4	1.33%	0	-1.7	31	INF
9	Oct_31_2016	88.58	88.89	87.75	85.45	85	85.01	85.92(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-43	-10	-12	-134	1.38	39%	0.09	-87.3	1.32%	0	-1.4	37	INF
10	Oct_28_2016	88.5	89.11	88.14	86.12	85.84	84.51	85.17(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-76	-120	-57	-132	0.75	45%	0.06	-81.6	1.43%	0	-1.7	30	INF

11	Oct_27_2016	88.45	89.54	88.72	86.98	87.12	84.99	84.14(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-131	-170	-129	-137	0.81	45%	0.06	-77.2	1.42%	0	-2.5	34	INF
12	Oct_26_2016	88.4	89.97	89.44	88.46	88.51	87.16	84.52(-3.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-115	-110	-123	-91	1.18	47%	0.07	-71.6	1.42%	0	-2.7	36	INF
13	Oct_25_2016	88.34	90.49	90.07	89.76	89.89	89.24	87.5(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-39	-50	-44	-23	0.7	51%	0.1	-64.2	1.37%	0	-1.7	44	INF
14	Oct_24_2016	88.25	90.83	90.32	90.34	90.47	89.85	89.26(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-40	-32	-2	0.85	53%	0.12	-56.8	1.35%	0	-0.9	51	INF
15	Oct_21_2016	88.14	91.02	90.5	90.45	90.68	90.54	89.5(-2.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-19	-0	-27	7	1.01	56%	0.11	-56	1.37%	0	-0.9	47	INF

16	Oct_20_2016	88.04	91.24	90.54	90.72	90.79	91.09	91.53(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	30	12	13	0.4	59%	0.14	-46.5	1.35%	0	0.1	38	INF
17	Oct_19_2016	87.92	91.43	90.33	90.61	90.76	90.83	91.01(0.66%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	13	10	18	-1	0.5	59%	0.14	-39.1	1.35%	0	-0.2	43	INF
18	Oct_18_2016	87.8	91.63	90.18	90.46	90.63	90.49	90.41(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-9	-10	-0	-35	0.54	59%	0.03	-34.6	1.35%	0	-0.6	34	INF
19	Oct_17_2016	87.77	91.79	90.09	90.3	90.45	90.68	89.79(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	20	-9	-65	0.64	59%	0.13	-33.1	1.35%	0	-0.9	33	INF
20	Oct_14_2016	87.66	92	90.13	90.56	90.49	90.77	90.88(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	6	20	27	-58	0.63	59%	0.14	-28.3	1.34%	0	-0.5	42	INF

21	Oct_13_2016	87.54	92.15	90.37	90.32	90.39	90.77	90.95(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	-10	10	-75	0.64	56%	0.14	-27.8	1.34%	0	-0.6	39	INF
22	Oct_12_2016	87.42	92.25	90.49	90.01	90.15	90.22	90.26(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	10	-7	-103	0.5	58%	0.14	-37.3	1.36%	0	-0.9	32	INF
23	Oct_11_2016	87.3	92.37	90.89	89.86	90	90.56	89.61(-1.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-8	50	23	-101	0.66	58%	0.15	-49.1	1.36%	0	-1.3	32	INF
24	Oct_10_2016	87.17	92.51	91.35	89.83	89.8	90.08	91.08(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	20	30	-99	0.54	60%	0.15	-59.9	1.34%	0	-0.7	42	INF
25	Oct_7_2016	87.04	92.62	91.54	89.65	89.66	89.44	89.68(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-50	-20	-23	-131	0.7	60%		-70.2	1.34%	0	-1.5	36	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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