Trading Signals: ALGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ALGN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: ALGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Align Technology Inc)
ALGN latest price $65.1600 (-1.33%) ($64.7400 - $66.4500) on Tue. Jul. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $65.1600(-1.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ALGN advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ALGN advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ALGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(54%)    IWM(53%)    SPY(53%)    XLK(53%)    XLY(53%)
Factors Impacting ALGN price   ALGN will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-7%)    IGOV(-2%)    SHY(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $65.23(-0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $64.26(1.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $63.43(2.73%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   16.5%
Market Cap   $5.133b

Align Technology, Inc. engages in the manufacture, design, and marketing of global medical devices. It operates through the Clear Aligner, and Scanner and Services segments. The Clear Aligner segment consists of invisalign full, teen and assist products, and vivera retainers along with training and ancillary products for treating malocclusion. The Scanner and Services segment comprises of intraoral scanning systems and additional services available with the intraoral scanners that provide digital alternatives to the traditional cast models. The company was founded by Zia Chishti, Brian Freyburger and Kelsey Wirth in March 1997 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ALGN price fluctuates within 2.07% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 1.25%(53%) Average negative next day return: -2.03%(47%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 2.34%(47%) Average negative next three day return: -2.72%(53%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 2.66%(27%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.19%(73%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150821

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2015	59.14	63.43	64.26	65.23	65.42	65.67	65.16(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	40	19	86	0.85	75%	0.12	46.4	1.4%	0	1.3	63	INF
2	Jul_20_2015	59.07	63.32	64.09	65.06	65.13	65.41	66.04(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	44	30	27	93	0.65	75%	0.15	45.7	1.45%	0	2.2	73	INF
3	Jul_17_2015	58.98	63.17	63.73	64.57	64.72	65.18	64.93(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	60	29	77	0.61	73%	0.15	42	1.45%	0	1.6	62	INF
4	Jul_16_2015	58.89	63.02	63.55	64.17	64.26	64.86	65.37(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	56	70	47	81	0.56	73%	0.15	30.2	1.44%	0	2.4	68	INF
5	Jul_15_2015	58.8	62.86	63.32	63.54	63.66	64.25	64.63(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	46	70	38	68	0.81	73%	0.15	14.1	1.44%	0	2.1	68	INF

6	Jul_14_2015	58.71	62.82	63.12	63.16	63.21	63.66	64.31(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	34	50	29	49	0.42	73%	0.12	16	1.45%	0	1.8	55	INF
7	Jul_13_2015	58.64	62.76	62.85	63	62.96	63.07	63.61(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	10	17	29	0.47	73%	0.12	19.2	1.46%	0	1.1	50	INF
8	Jul_10_2015	58.57	62.76	62.75	62.78	62.85	62.77	62.94(1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-10	-5	10	0.57	75%	0.12	12.1	1.46%	0	0.3	48	INF
9	Jul_9_2015	58.5	62.72	62.62	62.85	62.88	62.84	62.2(-0.86%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-7	-0	-11	6	0.57	75%	0.09	16.4	1.49%	0	-0.7	51	INF
10	Jul_8_2015	58.45	62.74	62.53	63.05	63.04	62.94	62.74(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10	-1	11	0.75	75%	0.1	19.1	1.49%	0	0	53	INF

11	Jul_7_2015	58.39	62.69	62.55	63.04	63.1	62.93	63.5(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	-20	3	5	0.64	75%	0.09	13.2	1.48%	0	1.1	45	INF
12	Jul_6_2015	58.34	62.61	62.51	62.67	62.98	63.14	62.5(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	30	-1	-10	2.09	74%	0.12	1.7	1.47%	0	-0.1	47	INF
13	Jul_2_2015	58.27	62.63	62.57	62.7	62.76	63.28	63.29(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	60	29	4	1.01	74%	0.12	16.1	1.46%	0	0.9	51	INF
14	Jul_1_2015	58.2	62.63	62.45	62.36	62.48	62.82	63.22(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	25	40	37	-10	0.79	70%	0.14	12.7	1.46%	0	0.8	51	INF
15	Jun_30_2015	58.12	62.6	62.35	61.94	62.06	62.25	62.71(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-6	30	5	-39	0.84	70%	0.14	19.7	1.51%	0	0.2	51	INF

16	Jun_29_2015	58.04	62.59	62.49	61.99	61.96	62.13	61.65(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	20	-4	-26	0.86	68%	0.12	39.7	1.5%	0	-1.2	53	INF
17	Jun_26_2015	57.97	62.6	62.65	62.32	62.23	61.88	62.63(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-7	-40	-6	-8	0.73	71%	0.14	61.2	1.49%	0	0	54	INF
18	Jun_25_2015	57.89	62.6	62.69	62.44	62.52	61.8	61.57(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-80	-35	-15	0.79	70%	0.12	69.5	1.48%	0	-1.1	44	INF
19	Jun_24_2015	57.82	62.51	62.84	62.56	62.84	62.58	61.12(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-24	-20	-29	-8	0.96	70%	0.12	70.8	1.49%	0	-1.3	43	INF
20	Jun_23_2015	57.75	62.46	63	62.79	62.95	63.24	62.98(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	40	-0	7	0.66	76%	0.14	69.1	1.45%	0	0.4	47	INF

21	Jun_22_2015	57.67	62.29	62.88	63.06	62.89	63.11	63.31(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	20	15	19	0.5	76%	0.17	73.1	1.46%	0	0.8	56	INF
22	Jun_19_2015	57.57	62.09	62.75	63.04	62.94	63.11	63.24(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-40	1	14	0.99	78%	0.09	66.2	1.49%	0	0.8	59	INF
23	Jun_18_2015	57.52	61.91	62.71	62.99	62.92	62.66	62.15(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-14	-30	-24	15	0.78	77%	0.07	62.7	1.53%	0	0.2	60	INF
24	Jun_17_2015	57.48	61.77	62.77	63.16	63.03	63.22	62.29(-3.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	11	10	1	41	3.3	77%	0.05	63.3	1.53%	0	0.3	57	INF
25	Jun_16_2015	57.45	61.63	62.88	63.2	62.99	63.18	64.29(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	10	32	79	0.67	85%		63.6	1.47%	0	1.6	75	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.