Trading Signals: ALGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: ALGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Align Technology Inc)
ALGN latest price $64.2900 (1.69%) ($62.7500 - $64.3100) on Tue. Jun. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.47% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $64.2900(1.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ALGN advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ALGN advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ALGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(54%)    IWM(53%)    SPY(53%)    XLK(53%)    XLY(53%)
Factors Impacting ALGN price   ALGN will decline at least -0.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)    SHY(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.735% (StdDev 1.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $63.2(1.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $62.88(2.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.63(4.32%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   22.6%
Market Cap   $5.065b

Align Technology, Inc. engages in the manufacture, design, and marketing of global medical devices. It operates through the Clear Aligner, and Scanner and Services segments. The Clear Aligner segment consists of invisalign full, teen and assist products, and vivera retainers along with training and ancillary products for treating malocclusion. The Scanner and Services segment comprises of intraoral scanning systems and additional services available with the intraoral scanners that provide digital alternatives to the traditional cast models. The company was founded by Zia Chishti, Brian Freyburger and Kelsey Wirth in March 1997 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ALGN price fluctuates within 2.64% (three month std-dev: 1.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.75%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.2%(40%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.81%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -1.64%(56%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.61%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.57%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150716

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_16_2015	57.45	61.63	62.88	63.2	62.99	63.18	64.29(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	10	32	79	0.67	85%	0.1	63.6	1.47%	0	1.6	75	INF
2	Jun_15_2015	57.39	61.4	62.68	62.66	62.6	62.83	63.22(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	20	11	72	0.64	84%	0.1	59.4	1.46%	0	1.2	74	INF
3	Jun_12_2015	57.33	61.2	62.54	62.41	62.37	62.8	63.02(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	50	17	81	0.68	84%	0.09	54	1.48%	0	1.2	73	INF
4	Jun_11_2015	57.28	61.02	62.31	62.39	62.27	62.37	62.96(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	10	16	89	0.41	84%	0.14	56.2	1.48%	0	1.3	72	INF
5	Jun_10_2015	57.2	60.81	62.14	62.36	62.25	61.94	62.52(1.53%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	-40	-16	89	0.29	84%	0.11	56	1.48%	0	1.1	71	INF

6	Jun_9_2015	57.14	60.61	61.87	62.53	62.47	62.17	61.58(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	-40	-23	99	0.25	83%	0.09	57	1.47%	0	0.6	68	INF
7	Jun_8_2015	57.09	60.5	61.67	62.69	62.78	62.55	61.99(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	26	-20	-3	112	0.34	83%	0.09	57.8	1.48%	0	1	65	INF
8	Jun_5_2015	57.04	60.38	61.42	62.64	62.61	62.76	62.91(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	20	6	117	0.48	83%	0.05	60.4	1.48%	0	1.7	74	INF
9	Jun_4_2015	57.01	60.17	61.07	62.19	62.38	63.02	62.79(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	80	36	115	1.31	83%	0.04	55.8	1.48%	0	1.9	74	INF
10	Jun_3_2015	56.99	59.97	60.71	61.87	61.89	62.47	63.4(1.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	70	70	55	116	1.24	83%	0.02	50.5	1.48%	0	2.7	81	INF

11	Jun_2_2015	56.98	59.76	60.27	61.13	61.19	61.74	62.37(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	52	70	40	87	0.79	82%	-0.02	44.5	1.48%	0	2.7	79	INF
12	Jun_1_2015	56.99	59.64	60	60.51	60.59	61.31	61.74(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	52	90	46	71	0.84	82%	-0.02	44.3	1.47%	0	2.7	67	INF
13	May_29_2015	57	59.5	59.74	60.02	59.97	60.65	60.67(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	43	80	41	48	0.64	81%	-0.02	33.7	1.47%	0	1.9	57	INF
14	May_28_2015	57.01	59.4	59.59	59.76	59.56	59.86	61.18(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	34	30	33	38	1.06	81%	0.04	46.9	1.48%	0	3.1	68	INF
15	May_27_2015	56.99	59.34	59.34	59.37	59.29	59.3	59.7(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	-0	4	11	0.33	79%	0.04	79.7	1.46%	0	0.8	59	INF

16	May_26_2015	56.97	59.32	59.23	59.28	59.27	59.25	59.27(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-4	-0	-5	-1	0.46	79%	0.05	112.5	1.47%	0	-0.1	47	INF
17	May_22_2015	56.94	59.32	59.24	59.28	59.36	59.27	59.29(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2	-10	-2	-2	0.32	79%	0.05	159.2	1.44%	0	0	40	INF
18	May_21_2015	56.91	59.29	59.28	59.4	59.42	59.3	59.38(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-4	-10	-5	0	0.42	79%	0.05	120	1.45%	0	0.1	52	INF
19	May_20_2015	56.88	59.14	59.23	59.38	59.44	59.45	59.22(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	1	0	0	2	0.34	79%	0.05	107.7	1.46%	0	0.1	54	INF
20	May_19_2015	56.85	58.99	59.2	59.29	59.39	59.54	59.24(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	7	20	11	-5	0.57	79%	0.05	104.3	1.46%	0	0.2	44	INF

21	May_18_2015	56.82	58.85	59.22	59.17	59.19	59.43	59.86(0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	30	13	-9	0.49	79%	0.07	89.5	1.46%	0	0.6	52	INF
22	May_15_2015	56.78	58.58	59.25	59.07	58.98	59.23	59.28(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	4	30	7	-5	0.28	79%	0.04	74.6	1.47%	0	0.4	55	INF
23	May_14_2015	56.76	58.31	59.24	59.15	59.02	58.95	59.31(0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	5	-10	7	-1	0.44	79%	0.05	63.9	1.48%	0	0.5	51	INF
24	May_13_2015	56.73	58.01	59.2	59.06	59.16	58.73	58.75(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-10	-50	-14	4	0.53	79%	0.04	57.5	1.49%	0	0.3	64	INF
25	May_12_2015	56.71	57.73	59.34	59.1	59.19	59.1	58.64(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-10	-10	-23	28	0.49	81%		55.3	1.49%	0	0.4	65	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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