Trading Signals: AIG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 13, 2017

Trading Signals: AIG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American International Group Inc.)
AIG latest price $66.1400 (0.81%) ($65.6500 - $66.3000) on Mon. Feb. 13, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $66.1400(0.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AIG advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AIG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(75%)    IWD(70%)    IVE(69%)    IWN(69%)    SDY(68%)
Factors Impacting AIG price   AIG will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    UUP(-18%)    VIXM(-17%)    IGOV(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $65.37(1.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $64.97(1.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $65.34(1.22%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $56.975b

American International Group, Inc. engages in the provision of a range of property casualty insurance, life insurance, retirement products, and other financial services to commercial and individual customers. It operates through the following segments: General Insurance, Life and Retirement, Other Operations, and Legacy Portfolio. The General Insurance segment consists of insurance businesses in North America and International business areas. The Life and Retirement segment includes Individual Retirement, Group Retirement, Life Insurance, and Institutional Markets. The Other Operations segment covers income from assets held by the company and other corporate subsidiaries. The Legacy Portfolio segment consists of run-off insurance lines and legacy investments. The company was founded by Cornelius Vander Starr in 1919 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. AIG price fluctuates within 1.07% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.12%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.04%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.83%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -1.53%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.16%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.73%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170313

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_13_2017	63.44	65.34	64.97	65.37	65.38	65.76	66.14(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	38	40	44	19	4.57	65%	0.11	-40.2	0.75%	0	1.1	54	0
2	Feb_10_2017	63.37	65.35	64.83	65.12	65.15	65.39	65.61(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	28	30	40	-7	5.08	70%	0.11	-53.2	0.74%	0	0.4	50	0
3	Feb_9_2017	63.3	65.37	64.78	64.99	64.94	65	65.32(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	0	17	-33	5.37	74%	0.13	-52.2	0.87%	0	-0.1	35	0
4	Feb_8_2017	63.22	65.45	64.83	64.75	64.86	64.9	64.91(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	10	11	-50	3.18	74%	0.11	-51.6	0.92%	0	-0.7	35	0
5	Feb_7_2017	63.15	65.55	64.9	64.62	64.69	64.88	64.88(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	20	12	-63	3.65	77%	0.11	-41	0.92%	0	-0.8	35	0

6	Feb_6_2017	63.08	65.63	64.96	64.62	64.56	64.82	64.9(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	30	18	-67	2.87	77%	0.11	-40.3	1%	0	-0.8	38	0
7	Feb_3_2017	63.01	65.72	65.01	64.5	64.51	64.49	64.94(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-0	9	-78	4.38	64%	0.11	-34.1	1.02%	0	-0.9	36	0
8	Feb_2_2017	62.94	65.76	65.16	64.55	64.47	64.3	64.12(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-44	-20	-31	-83	4.53	62%	0.1	-34.8	1.13%	0	-1.9	27	0
9	Feb_1_2017	62.88	65.86	65.38	64.93	64.83	64.54	64.27(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-40	-22	-68	4.69	59%	0.1	-29.7	1.13%	0	-2	23	0
10	Jan_31_2017	62.82	65.92	65.58	65.22	65.2	64.63	64.26(-0.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-44	-60	-36	-68	6.2	59%	0.1	-29.6	1.15%	0	-2.3	22	0

11	Jan_30_2017	62.76	65.99	65.77	65.47	65.5	65.13	64.89(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-44	-40	-38	-61	5.15	59%	0.1	-30.4	1.15%	0	-1.8	38	0
12	Jan_27_2017	62.7	66.02	65.92	65.59	65.74	65.78	65.21(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	10	-13	-50	5.61	59%	0.11	-35.2	1.15%	0	-1.4	36	0
13	Jan_26_2017	62.63	66.06	66.03	65.85	65.84	65.87	66.02(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	0	2	-29	4.87	61%	0.1	-29.4	1.14%	0	-0.1	55	0
14	Jan_25_2017	62.57	66.09	66.12	65.91	66	65.69	65.72(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-30	-13	-26	6.8	61%	0.11	-25.9	1.14%	0	-0.7	49	0
15	Jan_24_2017	62.5	66.13	66.26	66.01	66.16	65.82	65.5(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-25	-30	-29	-14	6.52	61%	0.05	-19.8	1.14%	0	-1.1	56	0

16	Jan_23_2017	62.47	66.17	66.36	66.12	66.3	66.32	65.49(-1.58%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-8	10	-12	6	5.71	61%	0.1	-14	1.14%	0	-1.2	54	0
17	Jan_20_2017	62.41	66.17	66.5	66.3	66.28	66.49	66.54(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	20	13	34	9.07	65%	0.11	-1.2	1.12%	0	0.6	59	0
18	Jan_19_2017	62.34	66.23	66.41	66.24	66.21	66.28	66.29(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	10	6	27	4.41	65%	0.11	-1.2	1.13%	0	0.1	54	0
19	Jan_18_2017	62.27	66.23	66.38	66.37	66.2	66.07	66.24(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-20	-12	21	4.95	65%	0.11	13.3	1.13%	0	0	46	0
20	Jan_17_2017	62.2	66.24	66.29	66.56	66.36	66.14	66.06(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-8	-30	-17	19	5.16	65%	0.16	25.9	1.13%	0	-0.3	48	0

21	Jan_13_2017	62.1	66.25	66.22	66.63	66.59	66.34	66.35(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-30	-13	17	5.39	62%	0.13	33.7	1.12%	0	0.2	51	0
22	Jan_12_2017	62.02	66.23	66.14	66.72	66.62	66.57	66.25(-1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-5	-10	-11	14	5.56	62%	0.11	47	1.14%	0	0	47	0
23	Jan_11_2017	61.95	66.24	66.11	66.59	66.71	66.84	66.95(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	20	21	16	4.76	62%	0.13	57.8	1.13%	0	1.3	51	0
24	Jan_10_2017	61.87	66.17	66.06	66.39	66.4	66.67	67.2(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	19	30	22	9	4.95	62%	0.15	63.3	1.14%	0	2	54	0
25	Jan_9_2017	61.78	66.1	65.97	65.98	66.13	66.58	66.38(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	24	50	33	-5	4.34	60%		64.4	1.13%	0	0.6	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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