Trading Signals: AIG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 28, 2016

Trading Signals: AIG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American International Group Inc.)
AIG latest price $49.8200 (2.11%) ($48.8000 - $49.8800) on Tue. Jun. 28, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.47% (three month average)
RSI   20
Latest Price   $49.8200(2.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AIG declines -1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AIG declines -3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AIG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(75%)    IWD(70%)    IVE(69%)    IWN(69%)    SDY(68%)
Factors Impacting AIG price   AIG will decline at least -0.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-18%)    IPO(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.735% (StdDev 1.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $43.6(-12.48%)
Resistance Level   $54.33
5 Day Moving Average   $51.54(-3.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.5(-5.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.33(-8.3%)
To recent high   -14.6%
To recent low   2.1%
Market Cap   $42.917b

American International Group, Inc. engages in the provision of a range of property casualty insurance, life insurance, retirement products, and other financial services to commercial and individual customers. It operates through the following segments: General Insurance, Life and Retirement, Other Operations, and Legacy Portfolio. The General Insurance segment consists of insurance businesses in North America and International business areas. The Life and Retirement segment includes Individual Retirement, Group Retirement, Life Insurance, and Institutional Markets. The Other Operations segment covers income from assets held by the company and other corporate subsidiaries. The Legacy Portfolio segment consists of run-off insurance lines and legacy investments. The company was founded by Cornelius Vander Starr in 1919 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. AIG price fluctuates within 4.69% (three month std-dev: 1.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 48 Average positive next day return: 2.3%(44%) Average negative next day return: -2.02%(56%) Sample size 48 Average positive next three day return: 4.13%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -3.72%(46%) Sample size 48 Average positive next weekly return: 3.83%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.23%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160728

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_28_2016	54.24	54.33	52.5	51.54	51.22	49.44	49.82(2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-100	-260	-76	-172	9.84	43%	-0.06	-62.3	1.47%	0	-1.8	20	0
2	Jun_27_2016	54.27	54.74	52.94	52.34	52.29	50.41	48.79(-3.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-153	-250	-140	-191	12.32	39%	-0.09	-57	1.44%	0	-2.5	13	0
3	Jun_24_2016	54.32	55.23	53.53	53.33	53.44	53	50.72(-7.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-90	-50	-70	-148	14.91	44%	-0.06	-51.5	1.38%	0	-2.2	15	0
4	Jun_23_2016	54.35	55.6	53.98	53.87	54.06	54.17	54.71(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	20	29	-139	4.28	60%	0.02	-47.2	1.04%	0	-0.5	24	0
5	Jun_22_2016	54.34	55.76	54.09	53.65	53.81	53.88	53.68(-0.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0	-45	20	2	-184	4.78	56%	-0.04	-46.7	1.02%	0	-1.1	8	0

6	Jun_21_2016	54.36	55.96	54.39	53.63	53.67	53.94	53.79(0.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0.1	-43	40	8	-194	5.38	56%	-0.06	-42.8	1.02%	0	-1.2	10	0
7	Jun_20_2016	54.39	56.13	54.7	53.67	53.68	53.75	53.73(0.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0	-41	10	12	-200	5.21	56%	-0.06	-40.1	1.02%	0	-1.4	9	0
8	Jun_17_2016	54.42	56.3	55.05	53.8	53.7	53.39	53.42(-0.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-79	-50	-31	-222	9.56	56%	-0.02	-36.9	1.02%	0	-1.7	4	0
9	Jun_16_2016	54.43	56.46	55.43	54.12	53.98	53.62	53.63(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-93	-50	-50	-220	6.38	56%	-0.02	-34.9	1.02%	0	-1.9	15	0
10	Jun_15_2016	54.44	56.63	55.85	54.61	54.46	54	53.57(-0.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-94	-70	-58	-200	6.81	56%	-0.04	-27.1	1.02%	0	-2.3	13	0

11	Jun_14_2016	54.46	56.75	56.28	55.28	55.03	54.35	53.99(-0.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-97	-100	-72	-171	8.39	56%	-0.04	-19	1.02%	0	-2.3	20	0
12	Jun_13_2016	54.48	56.84	56.68	55.89	55.78	54.93	54.4(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-93	-110	-79	-134	5.45	56%	-0.04	-5.3	1.01%	0	-2.3	34	0
13	Jun_10_2016	54.5	56.92	57.09	56.47	56.43	55.72	54.99(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-76	-90	-73	-85	8.11	64%	0	13.6	1.05%	0	-2	36	0
14	Jun_9_2016	54.5	57	57.38	56.93	56.93	56.62	56.1(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-43	-40	-44	-38	7.29	71%	0.02	37.3	1.02%	0	-1	52	0
15	Jun_8_2016	54.49	57.01	57.59	57.27	57.16	57.15	56.92(-0.25%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-10	-10	-15	6	5.73	77%	0.02	54.5	1.01%	0	-0.1	55	0

16	Jun_7_2016	54.48	56.98	57.59	57.44	57.33	57.23	57.06(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-20	-5	41	5.18	77%	0.06	62.2	1.02%	0	0.1	67	0
17	Jun_6_2016	54.45	56.9	57.67	57.6	57.4	57.17	57.29(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-40	-27	58	5.74	77%	0.02	56.2	1.02%	0	0.4	70	0
18	Jun_3_2016	54.44	56.79	57.65	57.81	57.63	57.43	57.26(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-30	-19	88	6.36	77%	0	55.8	1.02%	0	0.5	65	0
19	Jun_2_2016	54.44	56.68	57.58	57.91	57.86	57.62	57.84(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	-30	-12	99	6.3	77%	0.02	50.5	1.02%	0	1	62	0
20	Jun_1_2016	54.43	56.53	57.47	57.95	57.88	57.83	57.74(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10	-17	110	5.96	81%	0	44	1.02%	0	1.1	64	0

21	May_31_2016	54.43	56.43	57.25	57.94	58.01	58.11	57.88(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	44	20	20	116	10.54	77%	-0.06	42.6	1.03%	0	1.3	61	0
22	May_27_2016	54.46	56.36	57	57.74	57.84	57.93	58.32(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	20	18	100	5.6	75%	0	44.2	1.11%	0	1.9	70	0
23	May_26_2016	54.46	56.23	56.73	57.47	57.55	57.9	57.75(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	50	21	94	4.55	75%	-0.04	39	1.11%	0	1.7	70	0
24	May_25_2016	54.48	56.12	56.58	57.2	57.33	57.75	58.05(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	60	60	45	104	5.15	75%	-0.06	34.6	1.11%	0	2.2	73	0
25	May_24_2016	54.51	56.04	56.36	56.93	56.9	57.19	57.7(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	52	30	37	97	6.56	75%		33.6	1.12%	0	2.2	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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