Trading Signals: AIG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: AIG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American International Group Inc.)
AIG latest price $58.0300 (-1.12%) ($57.9700 - $58.8700) on Wed. Oct. 14, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.45% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $58.0300(-1.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AIG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AIG advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AIG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(75%)    IWD(70%)    IVE(69%)    IWN(69%)    SDY(68%)
Factors Impacting AIG price   AIG will decline at least -0.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-15%)    IGOV(-8%)    GDXJ(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.725% (StdDev 1.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $58.37(-0.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58(0.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.57(0.8%)
To recent high   -10.1%
To recent low   4.3%
Market Cap   $49.989b

American International Group, Inc. engages in the provision of a range of property casualty insurance, life insurance, retirement products, and other financial services to commercial and individual customers. It operates through the following segments: General Insurance, Life and Retirement, Other Operations, and Legacy Portfolio. The General Insurance segment consists of insurance businesses in North America and International business areas. The Life and Retirement segment includes Individual Retirement, Group Retirement, Life Insurance, and Institutional Markets. The Other Operations segment covers income from assets held by the company and other corporate subsidiaries. The Legacy Portfolio segment consists of run-off insurance lines and legacy investments. The company was founded by Cornelius Vander Starr in 1919 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. AIG price fluctuates within 1.51% (three month std-dev: 1.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_14_2015	60.83	57.57	58	58.37	58.36	58.44	58.03(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	19	10	3	68	7	42%	-0.03	4	1.45%	0	0.5	58	INF
2	Oct_13_2015	60.85	57.6	57.89	58.32	58.24	58.46	58.69(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	20	14	70	6.68	43%	-0.03	3.9	1.45%	0	1.2	60	INF
3	Oct_12_2015	60.87	57.59	57.6	58.12	58.09	58.28	58.68(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	20	13	53	4.96	43%	-0.02	-5.4	1.45%	0	1.3	58	INF
4	Oct_9_2015	60.88	57.55	57.31	58.04	57.97	58.02	58.19(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	0	10	34	7.76	45%	-0.03	-8.8	1.46%	0	0.8	50	INF
5	Oct_8_2015	60.9	57.55	57.23	57.84	57.91	57.9	58.24(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	0	14	26	5.91	44%	-0.03	-20.9	1.47%	0	0.8	52	INF

6	Oct_7_2015	60.92	57.54	57.08	57.58	57.5	57.9	57.82(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	50	10	4	7.85	44%	-0.02	-34.2	1.48%	0	0.3	45	INF
7	Oct_6_2015	60.93	57.57	57	57.38	57.23	57.92	57.68(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	33	80	44	-2	6.54	44%	-0.03	-38.9	1.48%	0	0.1	41	INF
8	Oct_5_2015	60.95	57.63	56.95	56.99	56.89	57.08	58.28(1.91%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	25	20	42	-28	6.62	44%	0	-55.2	1.47%	0	0.7	46	INF
9	Oct_2_2015	60.95	57.62	56.9	56.46	56.35	56.55	57.19(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-23	20	-8	-69	7.89	41%	-0.03	-85.3	1.46%	0	-0.5	44	INF
10	Oct_1_2015	60.97	57.72	56.94	56.46	56.39	56.7	56.92(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	30	15	-62	6.89	41%	-0.02	-85.1	1.46%	0	-0.8	40	INF

11	Sep_30_2015	60.98	57.83	57.08	56.53	56.59	56.15	56.82(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	-50	1	-68	7.41	41%	-0.03	-84.8	1.47%	0	-1	41	INF
12	Sep_29_2015	61	57.93	57.28	56.58	56.62	56.07	55.72(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-57	-70	-48	-85	5.71	37%	-0.07	-76.1	1.45%	0	-2.2	30	INF
13	Sep_28_2015	61.04	58.16	57.58	56.9	56.97	57.03	55.66(-3.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-32	10	-20	-66	9.8	37%	-0.07	-55.2	1.46%	0	-2.5	26	INF
14	Sep_25_2015	61.08	58.43	57.83	57.37	57.18	57.17	57.54(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10	5	-40	5.3	40%	-0.03	-37.4	1.41%	0	-0.9	47	INF
15	Sep_24_2015	61.1	58.6	57.91	57.42	57.31	56.92	56.9(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-50	-22	-58	5.84	40%	-0.02	-34.6	1.4%	0	-1.5	34	INF

16	Sep_23_2015	61.11	58.6	58.05	57.72	57.54	57.2	57.1(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-50	-35	-57	5.07	41%	-0.02	-45.3	1.4%	0	-1.5	38	INF
17	Sep_22_2015	61.12	58.6	58.2	58.08	57.95	57.69	57.28(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-40	-22	-39	7.86	43%	-0.02	-63.4	1.41%	0	-1.3	42	INF
18	Sep_21_2015	61.13	58.72	58.4	58.36	58.34	57.88	58.03(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-60	-13	-32	5.23	43%	0.02	-84.3	1.42%	0	-0.6	36	INF
19	Sep_18_2015	61.12	58.8	58.41	58.35	58.42	58.22	57.78(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-20	-26	-57	18.15	43%	0.02	-102.1	1.42%	0	-0.9	32	INF
20	Sep_17_2015	61.11	58.99	58.57	58.46	58.52	58.81	58.43(-0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-3	40	12	-49	6.42	43%	0.03	-95.3	1.41%	0	-0.4	34	INF

21	Sep_16_2015	61.09	59.2	58.64	58.42	58.32	58.61	58.9(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	30	19	-49	6.1	43%	0.03	-82.4	1.41%	0	-0.2	49	INF
22	Sep_15_2015	61.07	59.42	58.62	58.35	58.16	58.23	58.65(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	-0	1	-48	5.62	45%	0.03	-70	1.41%	0	-0.4	61	INF
23	Sep_14_2015	61.05	59.68	58.77	58.46	58.34	58.02	58(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-40	-8	-25	7.16	45%	0.02	-59.4	1.41%	0	-0.8	57	INF
24	Sep_11_2015	61.04	59.98	59.06	58.48	58.58	58.08	58.33(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-50	-28	-25	7.29	45%	0.02	-53.6	1.41%	0	-0.7	46	INF
25	Sep_10_2015	61.03	60.22	59.32	58.7	58.66	58.66	58.22(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-0	-26	-19	6.94	48%		-49.5	1.41%	0	-0.9	40	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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