Trading Signals: AIG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 30, 2014

Trading Signals: AIG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American International Group Inc.)
AIG latest price $56.5100 (0.04%) ($56.2400 - $56.7900) on Tue. Dec. 30, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $56.5100(0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AIG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AIG advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AIG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(75%)    IVE(70%)    VYM(67%)    XLI(66%)    PEJ(65%)
Factors Impacting AIG price   AIG will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-8%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.43(0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.66(1.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.29(2.21%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $48.68b

American International Group, Inc. engages in the provision of a range of property casualty insurance, life insurance, retirement products, and other financial services to commercial and individual customers. It operates through the following segments: General Insurance, Life and Retirement, Other Operations, and Legacy Portfolio. The General Insurance segment consists of insurance businesses in North America and International business areas. The Life and Retirement segment includes Individual Retirement, Group Retirement, Life Insurance, and Institutional Markets. The Other Operations segment covers income from assets held by the company and other corporate subsidiaries. The Legacy Portfolio segment consists of run-off insurance lines and legacy investments. The company was founded by Cornelius Vander Starr in 1919 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. AIG price fluctuates within 1.83% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150130

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_30_2014	55.22	55.29	55.66	56.43	56.49	56.48	56.51(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	0	3	104	4.43	58%	0.13	0	1.02%	0	1.2	54	0
2	Dec_29_2014	55.15	55.18	55.37	56.35	56.45	56.5	56.49(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	10	8	81	5.13	58%	0.13	0	1.04%	0	1.3	53	0
3	Dec_26_2014	55.08	55.18	55.12	56.21	56.31	56.51	56.42(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	30	23	9	3.3	58%	0.13	0	1.07%	0	58.8	56	0
4	Dec_24_2014	55.01	55.18	54.98	55.93	56.02	56.4	56.28(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	50	39	16	3.63	58%	0.13	0	1.1%	0	60.5	56	0
5	Dec_23_2014	54.94	55.18	54.82	55.48	55.59	56.12	56.44(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	53	70	62	25	7.17	58%	0.18	0	1.13%	0	62.7	59	0

6	Dec_22_2014	54.84	55.18	54.71	54.76	54.91	55.65	56.13(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	50	100	59	24	10.21	58%	0.15	0	1.16%	0	66	56	0
7	Dec_19_2014	54.76	55.18	54.64	54.23	54.24	55.07	55.78(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	49	110	57	23	14.86	58%	0.15	0	1.2%	0	68.9	58	0
8	Dec_18_2014	54.68	55.18	54.57	53.89	53.87	54.18	55.01(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	28	40	33	13	8.56	52%	0.04	0	1.19%	0	70.5	50	0
9	Dec_17_2014	54.66	55.18	54.58	53.92	53.82	53.41	54.02(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	-60	-23	-9	8.74	44%	-0.09	0	1.13%	0	66.7	50	0
10	Dec_16_2014	54.71	55.18	54.67	54.09	54.22	53.56	52.88(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-60	-80	-71	-28	7.87	28%	-0.31	0	0.95%	0	64.5	50	0

11	Dec_15_2014	54.88	55.18	54.9	54.63	54.7	54.23	53.48(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-52	-60	-61	-24	8.61	33%	-0.25	0	0.95%	0	84.9	50	0
12	Dec_12_2014	55.02	55.18	55.02	55.07	55.03	54.87	54.05(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-28	-20	-33	-13	7.12	39%	-0.18	0	0.95%	0	115	50	0
13	Dec_11_2014	55.12	55.18	55.02	55.33	55.28	55.16	55.18(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	-20	-5	-2	7.44	61%	0	0	0.69%	0	149.1	50	0
14	Dec_10_2014	55.12	55.18	55.02	55.32	55.34	55.2	54.84(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-11	-20	-13	-5	7.68	61%	-0.07	0	0.71%	0	140.6	50	0
15	Dec_9_2014	55.16	55.18	55.02	55.34	55.3	55.39	55.59(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	10	4	2	5.27	100%	0.15	0	0.42%	0	139	50	0

16	Dec_8_2014	55.08	55.18	55.02	55.21	55.24	55.49	55.69(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	66	30	78	31	7.53	100%	0.22	0	0.38%	0	142.8	50	0
17	Dec_5_2014	54.96	55.18	55.02	54.96	55.04	55.2	55.33(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	1057	20	1243	497	6.5	100%	0.16	0	0.42%	0	178.5	50	0
18	Dec_4_2014	54.87	55.18	55.02	43.9	54.78	54.99	55.17(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	41.7	1216	770	1430	572	5.44	100%	0.18	0	0.47%	0	204.3	50	0
19	Dec_3_2014	54.77	55.18	55.02	32.86	54.78	54.99	54.9(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	91.8	1471	-10000	1730	692	7.32	100%	0.11	0	0.58%	0	228.8	50	0
20	Dec_2_2014	54.71	55.18	55.02	21.88	54.78	54.99	54.98(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	122.6	0	-10000	0	0	6.01	100%	0.51	0	0%	0	203.6	50	0

21	Dec_1_2014	54.43	55.18	55.02	10.89	54.78	54.99	54.43(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	7.15	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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