Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AGN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Sep. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. May. 8, 2020)

(Allergan plc)
AGN latest price $236.7450 (0.04%) ($235.6978 - $238.4823) on Mon. Sep. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.55% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $236.7450(0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGN advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGN advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(52%)    XLV(50%)    XBI(46%)    ARKG(43%)    SPY(42%)
Factors Impacting AGN price   AGN will decline at least -0.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-12%)    IBUY(-8%)    BOTZ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.775% (StdDev 1.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $235.85(0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $233.51(1.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $232.78(1.7%)
To recent high   -5.7%
To recent low   12.8%
Market Cap   $78.055b

Allergan Plc engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical products. It operates through the following business segments: US Specialized Therapeutics; US General Medicine, and International. The US Specialized Therapeutics segment includes sales and expenses relating to branded products within the United States. The US General Medicine segment involves Central Nervous System; Gastrointestinal; Women's Health; Anti-Infectives; and Diversified brands. The International segment comprises of products sold outside the United States. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. AGN price fluctuates within 2.21% (three month std-dev: 1.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161019

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_19_2016	230.6	232.78	233.51	235.85			236.75(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	5	69	2.63	45%	0.12	-34.8	1.55%	0	0.8	63	0
2	Sep_16_2016	230.32	233.07	232.62	234.88			236.65(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	9	59	3.36	45%	0.11	-34.2	1.55%	0	0.6	60	0
3	Sep_15_2016	230.06	233.37	231.88	233.18			237.86(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	5	45	3.71	45%	0.11	-39.7	1.55%	0	0.7	64	0
4	Sep_14_2016	229.8	233.62	230.71	232.26			236.28(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	7	25	4.03	45%	0.1	-40.9	1.57%	0	0.4	50	0
5	Sep_13_2016	229.56	233.95	229.91	231.03			231.74(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10000	1	-12	2.96	41%	0.07	-42.7	1.56%	0	-0.3	33	0

6	Sep_12_2016	229.41	234.58	229.56	230.84			231.86(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	-10000	5	-37	2.98	41%	0.05	-38.2	1.56%	0	-0.4	33	0
7	Sep_9_2016	229.3	235.02	229.31	230.01			228.16(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-2	-69	3.67	38%	0.04	-43.9	1.58%	0	-0.9	29	0
8	Sep_8_2016	229.21	235.82	229.33	230.28			233.27(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	-10000	8	-88	2.55	41%	0.06	-43.1	1.56%	0	-0.3	32	0
9	Sep_7_2016	229.07	236.31	229.38	228.9			230.11(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-29	-10000	2	-120	2.32	41%	0.05	-48.3	1.55%	0	-0.8	26	0
10	Sep_6_2016	228.95	236.93	230.65	228.62			230.79(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-29	-10000	3	-123	2.97	41%	0.17	-50	1.56%	0	-0.8	27	0

11	Sep_2_2016	228.57	237.4	231.91	228.15			227.74(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-35	-10000	-2	-133	2.82	41%	0.08	-57	1.54%	0	-1.3	19	0
12	Sep_1_2016	228.38	238.28	233.5	228.53			229.48(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	-10000	2	-125	2.83	46%	0.07	-57.6	1.55%	0	-1.3	33	0
13	Aug_31_2016	228.21	239.06	234.92	228.25			226.37(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-40	-10000	-9	-131	3.42	46%	0.05	-62.9	1.58%	0	-1.9	23	0
14	Aug_30_2016	228.09	239.98	236.74	229.93			228.73(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-10000	-17	-120	2.46	46%	0.04	-68.5	1.58%	0	-1.8	27	0
15	Aug_29_2016	228.01	240.7	238.34	233.06			228.41(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-10000	-17	-92	2.87	46%	0	-58.8	1.59%	0	-2.2	30	0

16	Aug_26_2016	228	241.63	240.08	236.32			229.64(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-26	-10000	-15	-57	3.45	46%	-0.01	-44.3	1.6%	0	-2.5	38	0
17	Aug_25_2016	228.03	242.41	241.33	239.26			228.08(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-22	-10000	-16	-38	6.13	46%	-0.04	-28.8	1.62%	0	-3.5	29	0
18	Aug_24_2016	228.11	243.4	243.08	242.47			234.8(-3.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-10	-10000	-10	-10	4.53	51%	0.03	0.8	1.57%	0	-2.9	36	0
19	Aug_23_2016	228.05	244.23	244.04	242.47			244.39(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	3	-10000	0	11	1.61	60%	-0.1	49	1.5%	0	0.1	51	0
20	Aug_22_2016	228.28	244.04	243.85	244.4			244.71(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-10000	-1	11	1.68	60%	-0.06	56.2	1.52%	0	0.3	56	0

21	Aug_19_2016	228.42	243.79	243.37	244.5			244.32(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	4	6	1.99	60%	-0.07	61.5	1.52%	0	0.2	46	0
22	Aug_18_2016	228.57	243.61	243.41	243.82			244.12(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-0	-10000	0	-1	1.71	60%	-0.09	61.2	1.53%	0	0.2	50	0
23	Aug_17_2016	228.78	243.38	243.44	243.83			244.48(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	-10000	1	-4	3.43	60%	-0.09	63.7	1.53%	0	0.4	46	0
24	Aug_16_2016	228.98	243.09	243.35	243.62			244.37(-0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-10000	2	-16	2.7	60%	-0.1	60.7	1.54%	0	0.4	39	0
25	Aug_15_2016	229.2	242.62	243.12	243.21			245.2(1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	6	-16	2.8	60%		57.7	1.54%	0	0.7	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.